A risk score for prediction of poor treatment outcomes among tuberculosis patients with diagnosed diabetes mellitus from eastern China

Abstract Persons living with diabetes (PLWD) with newly diagnosed tuberculosis are at greater risk of poor treatment outcomes. Identifying and prioritizing high-risk subgroups of PLWD and tuberculosis for tuberculosis programs to target has been rarely performed. We investigated risk factors for poo...

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Autores principales:	Nannan You, Hongqiu Pan, Yi Zeng, Peng Lu, Limei Zhu, Wei Lu, Qiao Liu, Leonardo Martinez
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/e919713a28514069bad4afe376e6004b
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:e919713a28514069bad4afe376e6004b2021-12-02T14:47:38ZA risk score for prediction of poor treatment outcomes among tuberculosis patients with diagnosed diabetes mellitus from eastern China10.1038/s41598-021-90664-y2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/e919713a28514069bad4afe376e6004b2021-05-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-90664-yhttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Persons living with diabetes (PLWD) with newly diagnosed tuberculosis are at greater risk of poor treatment outcomes. Identifying and prioritizing high-risk subgroups of PLWD and tuberculosis for tuberculosis programs to target has been rarely performed. We investigated risk factors for poor tuberculosis treatment outcomes among PLWD and developed a predictive risk score for tuberculosis control prioritization. Among PLWD diagnosed with tuberculosis, demographic, clinical, and tuberculosis treatment outcome data were collected. Poor treatment outcomes included treatment failure, death, default, and transfer. Multivariable logistic regression modeling was used to analyze risk factors of poor treatment outcomes. Risk scores were derived based on regression coefficients to classify participants at low-, intermediate-, and high-risk of poor treatment outcomes. Among 335 PLWD newly diagnosed with tuberculosis, 109 were cured and 172 completed treatment. Multivariable logistic regression found that risk factors of poor treatment outcomes included bacteriologically-positivity, low body mass index, no physical activity, and pulmonary cavitation. Rates of poor treatment outcomes in low- (0–2), intermediate- (3–4), and high-risk (5–8) groups were 4.2%, 10.5%, and 55.4% (Ptrend < 0.0001), respectively. The risk score accurately discriminated poor and successful treatment outcomes (C-statistic, 0.85, 95% CI 0.78–0.91). We derived a simple predictive risk score that accurately distinguished those at high- and low-risk of treatment failure. This score provides a potentially useful tool for tuberculosis control programs in settings with a double burden of both tuberculosis and diabetes.Nannan YouHongqiu PanYi ZengPeng LuLimei ZhuWei LuQiao LiuLeonardo MartinezNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-8 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Nannan You Hongqiu Pan Yi Zeng Peng Lu Limei Zhu Wei Lu Qiao Liu Leonardo Martinez A risk score for prediction of poor treatment outcomes among tuberculosis patients with diagnosed diabetes mellitus from eastern China
description	Abstract Persons living with diabetes (PLWD) with newly diagnosed tuberculosis are at greater risk of poor treatment outcomes. Identifying and prioritizing high-risk subgroups of PLWD and tuberculosis for tuberculosis programs to target has been rarely performed. We investigated risk factors for poor tuberculosis treatment outcomes among PLWD and developed a predictive risk score for tuberculosis control prioritization. Among PLWD diagnosed with tuberculosis, demographic, clinical, and tuberculosis treatment outcome data were collected. Poor treatment outcomes included treatment failure, death, default, and transfer. Multivariable logistic regression modeling was used to analyze risk factors of poor treatment outcomes. Risk scores were derived based on regression coefficients to classify participants at low-, intermediate-, and high-risk of poor treatment outcomes. Among 335 PLWD newly diagnosed with tuberculosis, 109 were cured and 172 completed treatment. Multivariable logistic regression found that risk factors of poor treatment outcomes included bacteriologically-positivity, low body mass index, no physical activity, and pulmonary cavitation. Rates of poor treatment outcomes in low- (0–2), intermediate- (3–4), and high-risk (5–8) groups were 4.2%, 10.5%, and 55.4% (Ptrend < 0.0001), respectively. The risk score accurately discriminated poor and successful treatment outcomes (C-statistic, 0.85, 95% CI 0.78–0.91). We derived a simple predictive risk score that accurately distinguished those at high- and low-risk of treatment failure. This score provides a potentially useful tool for tuberculosis control programs in settings with a double burden of both tuberculosis and diabetes.
format	article
author	Nannan You Hongqiu Pan Yi Zeng Peng Lu Limei Zhu Wei Lu Qiao Liu Leonardo Martinez
author_facet	Nannan You Hongqiu Pan Yi Zeng Peng Lu Limei Zhu Wei Lu Qiao Liu Leonardo Martinez
author_sort	Nannan You
title	A risk score for prediction of poor treatment outcomes among tuberculosis patients with diagnosed diabetes mellitus from eastern China
title_short	A risk score for prediction of poor treatment outcomes among tuberculosis patients with diagnosed diabetes mellitus from eastern China
title_full	A risk score for prediction of poor treatment outcomes among tuberculosis patients with diagnosed diabetes mellitus from eastern China
title_fullStr	A risk score for prediction of poor treatment outcomes among tuberculosis patients with diagnosed diabetes mellitus from eastern China
title_full_unstemmed	A risk score for prediction of poor treatment outcomes among tuberculosis patients with diagnosed diabetes mellitus from eastern China
title_sort	risk score for prediction of poor treatment outcomes among tuberculosis patients with diagnosed diabetes mellitus from eastern china
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/e919713a28514069bad4afe376e6004b
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A risk score for prediction of poor treatment outcomes among tuberculosis patients with diagnosed diabetes mellitus from eastern China

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