Heterogeneous treatment effect analysis based on machine‐learning methodology

Abstract Heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) analysis focuses on examining varying treatment effects for individuals or subgroups in a population. For example, an HTE‐informed understanding can critically guide physicians to individualize the medical treatment for a certain disease. However, HTE an...

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Autores principales: Xiajing Gong, Meng Hu, Mahashweta Basu, Liang Zhao
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Wiley 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/e940d1e300514556aecec097f696b4a6
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:e940d1e300514556aecec097f696b4a62021-11-15T18:41:54ZHeterogeneous treatment effect analysis based on machine‐learning methodology2163-830610.1002/psp4.12715https://doaj.org/article/e940d1e300514556aecec097f696b4a62021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1002/psp4.12715https://doaj.org/toc/2163-8306Abstract Heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) analysis focuses on examining varying treatment effects for individuals or subgroups in a population. For example, an HTE‐informed understanding can critically guide physicians to individualize the medical treatment for a certain disease. However, HTE analysis has not been widely recognized and used, even given the explosive increase of data availability attributed to the arrival of the Big Data era. Part of the reason behind its underuse is that data are often of high dimension and high complexity, which pose significant challenges for applying conventional HTE analysis methods. To meet these challenges, a newly developed causal forest HTE method has been derived from the random forest machine‐learning algorithm. We conducted a systematic performance evaluation for the causal forest method against the conventional two‐step method by simulating scenarios with different levels of complexity for the analysis. Our results show that causal forest outperforms the conventional HTE method in assessing treatment effect, especially when data are complex (e.g., nonlinear) and high dimensional, suggesting that causal forest is a promising tool for real‐world applications of HTE analysis.Xiajing GongMeng HuMahashweta BasuLiang ZhaoWileyarticleTherapeutics. PharmacologyRM1-950ENCPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology, Vol 10, Iss 11, Pp 1433-1443 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Therapeutics. Pharmacology
RM1-950
spellingShingle Therapeutics. Pharmacology
RM1-950
Xiajing Gong
Meng Hu
Mahashweta Basu
Liang Zhao
Heterogeneous treatment effect analysis based on machine‐learning methodology
description Abstract Heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) analysis focuses on examining varying treatment effects for individuals or subgroups in a population. For example, an HTE‐informed understanding can critically guide physicians to individualize the medical treatment for a certain disease. However, HTE analysis has not been widely recognized and used, even given the explosive increase of data availability attributed to the arrival of the Big Data era. Part of the reason behind its underuse is that data are often of high dimension and high complexity, which pose significant challenges for applying conventional HTE analysis methods. To meet these challenges, a newly developed causal forest HTE method has been derived from the random forest machine‐learning algorithm. We conducted a systematic performance evaluation for the causal forest method against the conventional two‐step method by simulating scenarios with different levels of complexity for the analysis. Our results show that causal forest outperforms the conventional HTE method in assessing treatment effect, especially when data are complex (e.g., nonlinear) and high dimensional, suggesting that causal forest is a promising tool for real‐world applications of HTE analysis.
format article
author Xiajing Gong
Meng Hu
Mahashweta Basu
Liang Zhao
author_facet Xiajing Gong
Meng Hu
Mahashweta Basu
Liang Zhao
author_sort Xiajing Gong
title Heterogeneous treatment effect analysis based on machine‐learning methodology
title_short Heterogeneous treatment effect analysis based on machine‐learning methodology
title_full Heterogeneous treatment effect analysis based on machine‐learning methodology
title_fullStr Heterogeneous treatment effect analysis based on machine‐learning methodology
title_full_unstemmed Heterogeneous treatment effect analysis based on machine‐learning methodology
title_sort heterogeneous treatment effect analysis based on machine‐learning methodology
publisher Wiley
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/e940d1e300514556aecec097f696b4a6
work_keys_str_mv AT xiajinggong heterogeneoustreatmenteffectanalysisbasedonmachinelearningmethodology
AT menghu heterogeneoustreatmenteffectanalysisbasedonmachinelearningmethodology
AT mahashwetabasu heterogeneoustreatmenteffectanalysisbasedonmachinelearningmethodology
AT liangzhao heterogeneoustreatmenteffectanalysisbasedonmachinelearningmethodology
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