Newcastle disease virus transmission dynamics in wild peridomestic birds in the United Arab Emirates

Abstract To understand the dynamics of a pathogen in an animal population, one must assess how the infection status of individuals changes over time. With wild animals, this can be very challenging because individuals can be difficult to trap and sample, even more so since they are tested with imper...

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Autores principales:	Julien Hirschinger, Lucile Marescot, Yves Hingrat, Jean Luc Guerin, Guillaume Le Loc’h, Timothée Vergne
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/e9b6a8a791bf48cba898f89d0278cf33
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:e9b6a8a791bf48cba898f89d0278cf332021-12-02T14:26:47ZNewcastle disease virus transmission dynamics in wild peridomestic birds in the United Arab Emirates10.1038/s41598-020-79184-32045-2322https://doaj.org/article/e9b6a8a791bf48cba898f89d0278cf332021-02-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-79184-3https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract To understand the dynamics of a pathogen in an animal population, one must assess how the infection status of individuals changes over time. With wild animals, this can be very challenging because individuals can be difficult to trap and sample, even more so since they are tested with imperfect diagnostic techniques. Multi-event capture-recapture models allow analysing longitudinal capture data of individuals whose infection status is assessed using imperfect tests. In this study, we used a two-year dataset from a longitudinal field study of peridomestic wild bird populations in the United Arab Emirates during which thousands of birds from various species were captured, sampled and tested for Newcastle disease virus exposure using a serological test. We developed a multi-event capture-recapture model to estimate important demographic and epidemiological parameters of the disease. The modelling outputs provided important insights into the understanding of Newcastle disease dynamics in peridomestics birds, which varies according to ecological and epidemiological parameters, and useful information in terms of surveillance strategies. To our knowledge, this study is the first attempt to model the dynamics of Newcastle disease in wild bird populations by combining longitudinal capture data and serological test results. Overall, it showcased that multi-event capture-recapture models represent a suitable method to analyse imperfect capture data and make reliable inferences on infectious disease dynamics in wild populations.Julien HirschingerLucile MarescotYves HingratJean Luc GuerinGuillaume Le Loc’hTimothée VergneNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Julien Hirschinger Lucile Marescot Yves Hingrat Jean Luc Guerin Guillaume Le Loc’h Timothée Vergne Newcastle disease virus transmission dynamics in wild peridomestic birds in the United Arab Emirates
description	Abstract To understand the dynamics of a pathogen in an animal population, one must assess how the infection status of individuals changes over time. With wild animals, this can be very challenging because individuals can be difficult to trap and sample, even more so since they are tested with imperfect diagnostic techniques. Multi-event capture-recapture models allow analysing longitudinal capture data of individuals whose infection status is assessed using imperfect tests. In this study, we used a two-year dataset from a longitudinal field study of peridomestic wild bird populations in the United Arab Emirates during which thousands of birds from various species were captured, sampled and tested for Newcastle disease virus exposure using a serological test. We developed a multi-event capture-recapture model to estimate important demographic and epidemiological parameters of the disease. The modelling outputs provided important insights into the understanding of Newcastle disease dynamics in peridomestics birds, which varies according to ecological and epidemiological parameters, and useful information in terms of surveillance strategies. To our knowledge, this study is the first attempt to model the dynamics of Newcastle disease in wild bird populations by combining longitudinal capture data and serological test results. Overall, it showcased that multi-event capture-recapture models represent a suitable method to analyse imperfect capture data and make reliable inferences on infectious disease dynamics in wild populations.
format	article
author	Julien Hirschinger Lucile Marescot Yves Hingrat Jean Luc Guerin Guillaume Le Loc’h Timothée Vergne
author_facet	Julien Hirschinger Lucile Marescot Yves Hingrat Jean Luc Guerin Guillaume Le Loc’h Timothée Vergne
author_sort	Julien Hirschinger
title	Newcastle disease virus transmission dynamics in wild peridomestic birds in the United Arab Emirates
title_short	Newcastle disease virus transmission dynamics in wild peridomestic birds in the United Arab Emirates
title_full	Newcastle disease virus transmission dynamics in wild peridomestic birds in the United Arab Emirates
title_fullStr	Newcastle disease virus transmission dynamics in wild peridomestic birds in the United Arab Emirates
title_full_unstemmed	Newcastle disease virus transmission dynamics in wild peridomestic birds in the United Arab Emirates
title_sort	newcastle disease virus transmission dynamics in wild peridomestic birds in the united arab emirates
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/e9b6a8a791bf48cba898f89d0278cf33
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Newcastle disease virus transmission dynamics in wild peridomestic birds in the United Arab Emirates

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