Response to climate change of montane herbaceous plants in the genus Rhodiola predicted by ecological niche modelling

Abstract Climate change profoundly influences species distributions. These effects are evident in poleward latitudinal range shifts for many taxa, and upward altitudinal range shifts for alpine species, that resulted from increased annual global temperatures since the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, ca....

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Autores principales:	Jianling You, Xiaoping Qin, Sailesh Ranjitkar, Stephen C. Lougheed, Mingcheng Wang, Wen Zhou, Dongxin Ouyang, Yin Zhou, Jianchu Xu, Wenju Zhang, Yuguo Wang, Ji Yang, Zhiping Song
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2018
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/ea02314fb2814f00aec424b453f66f96
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:ea02314fb2814f00aec424b453f66f962021-12-02T11:41:14ZResponse to climate change of montane herbaceous plants in the genus Rhodiola predicted by ecological niche modelling10.1038/s41598-018-24360-92045-2322https://doaj.org/article/ea02314fb2814f00aec424b453f66f962018-04-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-24360-9https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Climate change profoundly influences species distributions. These effects are evident in poleward latitudinal range shifts for many taxa, and upward altitudinal range shifts for alpine species, that resulted from increased annual global temperatures since the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, ca. 22,000 BP). For the latter, the ultimate consequence of upward shifts may be extinction as species in the highest alpine ecosystems can migrate no further, a phenomenon often characterized as “nowhere to go”. To predict responses to climate change of the alpine plants on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP), we used ecological niche modelling (ENM) to estimate the range shifts of 14 Rhodiola species, beginning with the Last Interglacial (ca. 120,000–140,000 BP) through to 2050. Distributions of Rhodiola species appear to be shaped by temperature-related variables. The southeastern QTP, and especially the Hengduan Mountains, were the origin and center of distribution for Rhodiola, and also served as refugia during the LGM. Under future climate scenario in 2050, Rhodiola species might have to migrate upward and northward, but many species would expand their ranges contra the prediction of the “nowhere to go” hypothesis, caused by the appearance of additional potential habitat concomitant with the reduction of permafrost with climate warming.Jianling YouXiaoping QinSailesh RanjitkarStephen C. LougheedMingcheng WangWen ZhouDongxin OuyangYin ZhouJianchu XuWenju ZhangYuguo WangJi YangZhiping SongNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 8, Iss 1, Pp 1-12 (2018)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Jianling You Xiaoping Qin Sailesh Ranjitkar Stephen C. Lougheed Mingcheng Wang Wen Zhou Dongxin Ouyang Yin Zhou Jianchu Xu Wenju Zhang Yuguo Wang Ji Yang Zhiping Song Response to climate change of montane herbaceous plants in the genus Rhodiola predicted by ecological niche modelling
description	Abstract Climate change profoundly influences species distributions. These effects are evident in poleward latitudinal range shifts for many taxa, and upward altitudinal range shifts for alpine species, that resulted from increased annual global temperatures since the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, ca. 22,000 BP). For the latter, the ultimate consequence of upward shifts may be extinction as species in the highest alpine ecosystems can migrate no further, a phenomenon often characterized as “nowhere to go”. To predict responses to climate change of the alpine plants on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP), we used ecological niche modelling (ENM) to estimate the range shifts of 14 Rhodiola species, beginning with the Last Interglacial (ca. 120,000–140,000 BP) through to 2050. Distributions of Rhodiola species appear to be shaped by temperature-related variables. The southeastern QTP, and especially the Hengduan Mountains, were the origin and center of distribution for Rhodiola, and also served as refugia during the LGM. Under future climate scenario in 2050, Rhodiola species might have to migrate upward and northward, but many species would expand their ranges contra the prediction of the “nowhere to go” hypothesis, caused by the appearance of additional potential habitat concomitant with the reduction of permafrost with climate warming.
format	article
author	Jianling You Xiaoping Qin Sailesh Ranjitkar Stephen C. Lougheed Mingcheng Wang Wen Zhou Dongxin Ouyang Yin Zhou Jianchu Xu Wenju Zhang Yuguo Wang Ji Yang Zhiping Song
author_facet	Jianling You Xiaoping Qin Sailesh Ranjitkar Stephen C. Lougheed Mingcheng Wang Wen Zhou Dongxin Ouyang Yin Zhou Jianchu Xu Wenju Zhang Yuguo Wang Ji Yang Zhiping Song
author_sort	Jianling You
title	Response to climate change of montane herbaceous plants in the genus Rhodiola predicted by ecological niche modelling
title_short	Response to climate change of montane herbaceous plants in the genus Rhodiola predicted by ecological niche modelling
title_full	Response to climate change of montane herbaceous plants in the genus Rhodiola predicted by ecological niche modelling
title_fullStr	Response to climate change of montane herbaceous plants in the genus Rhodiola predicted by ecological niche modelling
title_full_unstemmed	Response to climate change of montane herbaceous plants in the genus Rhodiola predicted by ecological niche modelling
title_sort	response to climate change of montane herbaceous plants in the genus rhodiola predicted by ecological niche modelling
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2018
url	https://doaj.org/article/ea02314fb2814f00aec424b453f66f96
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Response to climate change of montane herbaceous plants in the genus Rhodiola predicted by ecological niche modelling

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