Transboundary spread of peste des petits ruminants virus in western China: A prediction model.

In pan Pamir Plateau countries, Peste des petits ruminants (PPR) has brought huge losses to the livestock industry and threaten the endangered wildlife. In unknown regions, revealing PPRV transmission among countries is the premise of effective prevention and control, therefore calls for quantified...

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Autores principales:	Shan Gao, GuoYong Xu, Zan Zeng, JiaNing Lv, LiYa Huang, HaoNing Wang, XiaoLong Wang
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/ea720511c7e3430abb00c20d4f8e1275
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:ea720511c7e3430abb00c20d4f8e12752021-12-02T20:14:12ZTransboundary spread of peste des petits ruminants virus in western China: A prediction model.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0257898https://doaj.org/article/ea720511c7e3430abb00c20d4f8e12752021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0257898https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203In pan Pamir Plateau countries, Peste des petits ruminants (PPR) has brought huge losses to the livestock industry and threaten the endangered wildlife. In unknown regions, revealing PPRV transmission among countries is the premise of effective prevention and control, therefore calls for quantified monitoring on disease communication among countries. In this paper, a MaxEnt model was built for the first time to predict the PPR risk within the research area. The least cost path (LCP) for PPR transboundary communication were calculated and referred to as the maximum available paths (MAP). The results show that there are many places with high-risk in the research area, and the domestic risk in China is lower than that in foreign countries and is mainly determined by human activities. Five LCPs representing corridors among Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Pakistan, India and China were obtained. This study proves for the first time that there is the possibility of cross-border transmission of diseases by wild and domestic animals. In the future, it will play an important role in monitoring the PPR epidemic and blocking-up its cross-border transmission.Shan GaoGuoYong XuZan ZengJiaNing LvLiYa HuangHaoNing WangXiaoLong WangPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 9, p e0257898 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Shan Gao GuoYong Xu Zan Zeng JiaNing Lv LiYa Huang HaoNing Wang XiaoLong Wang Transboundary spread of peste des petits ruminants virus in western China: A prediction model.
description	In pan Pamir Plateau countries, Peste des petits ruminants (PPR) has brought huge losses to the livestock industry and threaten the endangered wildlife. In unknown regions, revealing PPRV transmission among countries is the premise of effective prevention and control, therefore calls for quantified monitoring on disease communication among countries. In this paper, a MaxEnt model was built for the first time to predict the PPR risk within the research area. The least cost path (LCP) for PPR transboundary communication were calculated and referred to as the maximum available paths (MAP). The results show that there are many places with high-risk in the research area, and the domestic risk in China is lower than that in foreign countries and is mainly determined by human activities. Five LCPs representing corridors among Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Pakistan, India and China were obtained. This study proves for the first time that there is the possibility of cross-border transmission of diseases by wild and domestic animals. In the future, it will play an important role in monitoring the PPR epidemic and blocking-up its cross-border transmission.
format	article
author	Shan Gao GuoYong Xu Zan Zeng JiaNing Lv LiYa Huang HaoNing Wang XiaoLong Wang
author_facet	Shan Gao GuoYong Xu Zan Zeng JiaNing Lv LiYa Huang HaoNing Wang XiaoLong Wang
author_sort	Shan Gao
title	Transboundary spread of peste des petits ruminants virus in western China: A prediction model.
title_short	Transboundary spread of peste des petits ruminants virus in western China: A prediction model.
title_full	Transboundary spread of peste des petits ruminants virus in western China: A prediction model.
title_fullStr	Transboundary spread of peste des petits ruminants virus in western China: A prediction model.
title_full_unstemmed	Transboundary spread of peste des petits ruminants virus in western China: A prediction model.
title_sort	transboundary spread of peste des petits ruminants virus in western china: a prediction model.
publisher	Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/ea720511c7e3430abb00c20d4f8e1275
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Transboundary spread of peste des petits ruminants virus in western China: A prediction model.

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