How risky is it to visit a supermarket during the pandemic?

We performed large-scale numerical simulations using a composite model to investigate the infection spread in a supermarket during a pandemic. The model is composed of the social force, purchasing strategy and infection transmission models. Specifically, we quantified the infection risk for customer...

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Autores principales: Alexey A Tsukanov, Alexandra M Senjkevich, Maxim V Fedorov, Nikolai V Brilliantov
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/ead4c16fdc3d467cb9153e1ebb60e5bc
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:ead4c16fdc3d467cb9153e1ebb60e5bc2021-12-02T20:09:48ZHow risky is it to visit a supermarket during the pandemic?1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0253835https://doaj.org/article/ead4c16fdc3d467cb9153e1ebb60e5bc2021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0253835https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203We performed large-scale numerical simulations using a composite model to investigate the infection spread in a supermarket during a pandemic. The model is composed of the social force, purchasing strategy and infection transmission models. Specifically, we quantified the infection risk for customers while in a supermarket that depended on the number of customers, the purchase strategies and the physical layout of the supermarket. The ratio of new infections compared to sales efficiency (earned profit for customer purchases) was computed as a factor of customer density and social distance. Our results indicate that the social distance between customers is the primary factor influencing infection rate. Supermarket layout and purchasing strategy do not impact social distance and hence the spread of infection. Moreover, we found only a weak dependence of sales efficiency and customer density. We believe that our study will help to establish scientifically-based safety rules that will reduce the social price of supermarket business.Alexey A TsukanovAlexandra M SenjkevichMaxim V FedorovNikolai V BrilliantovPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 7, p e0253835 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Alexey A Tsukanov
Alexandra M Senjkevich
Maxim V Fedorov
Nikolai V Brilliantov
How risky is it to visit a supermarket during the pandemic?
description We performed large-scale numerical simulations using a composite model to investigate the infection spread in a supermarket during a pandemic. The model is composed of the social force, purchasing strategy and infection transmission models. Specifically, we quantified the infection risk for customers while in a supermarket that depended on the number of customers, the purchase strategies and the physical layout of the supermarket. The ratio of new infections compared to sales efficiency (earned profit for customer purchases) was computed as a factor of customer density and social distance. Our results indicate that the social distance between customers is the primary factor influencing infection rate. Supermarket layout and purchasing strategy do not impact social distance and hence the spread of infection. Moreover, we found only a weak dependence of sales efficiency and customer density. We believe that our study will help to establish scientifically-based safety rules that will reduce the social price of supermarket business.
format article
author Alexey A Tsukanov
Alexandra M Senjkevich
Maxim V Fedorov
Nikolai V Brilliantov
author_facet Alexey A Tsukanov
Alexandra M Senjkevich
Maxim V Fedorov
Nikolai V Brilliantov
author_sort Alexey A Tsukanov
title How risky is it to visit a supermarket during the pandemic?
title_short How risky is it to visit a supermarket during the pandemic?
title_full How risky is it to visit a supermarket during the pandemic?
title_fullStr How risky is it to visit a supermarket during the pandemic?
title_full_unstemmed How risky is it to visit a supermarket during the pandemic?
title_sort how risky is it to visit a supermarket during the pandemic?
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/ead4c16fdc3d467cb9153e1ebb60e5bc
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