Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades
Abstract Satellite temperature measurements do not support the recent claim of a “leveling off of warming” over the past two decades. Tropospheric warming trends over recent 20-year periods are always significantly larger (at the 10% level or better) than model estimates of 20-year trends arising fr...
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Nature Portfolio
2017
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oai:doaj.org-article:ec65760fc7314d069a6963f121b510622021-12-02T16:06:31ZTropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades10.1038/s41598-017-02520-72045-2322https://doaj.org/article/ec65760fc7314d069a6963f121b510622017-05-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-02520-7https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Satellite temperature measurements do not support the recent claim of a “leveling off of warming” over the past two decades. Tropospheric warming trends over recent 20-year periods are always significantly larger (at the 10% level or better) than model estimates of 20-year trends arising from natural internal variability. Over the full 38-year period of the satellite record, the separation between observed warming and internal variability estimates is even clearer. In two out of three recent satellite datasets, the tropospheric warming from 1979 to 2016 is unprecedented relative to internally generated temperature trends on the 38-year timescale.Benjamin D. SanterSusan SolomonFrank J. WentzQiang FuStephen Po-ChedleyCarl MearsJeffrey F. PainterCéline BonfilsNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-6 (2017) |
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Medicine R Science Q |
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Medicine R Science Q Benjamin D. Santer Susan Solomon Frank J. Wentz Qiang Fu Stephen Po-Chedley Carl Mears Jeffrey F. Painter Céline Bonfils Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades |
description |
Abstract Satellite temperature measurements do not support the recent claim of a “leveling off of warming” over the past two decades. Tropospheric warming trends over recent 20-year periods are always significantly larger (at the 10% level or better) than model estimates of 20-year trends arising from natural internal variability. Over the full 38-year period of the satellite record, the separation between observed warming and internal variability estimates is even clearer. In two out of three recent satellite datasets, the tropospheric warming from 1979 to 2016 is unprecedented relative to internally generated temperature trends on the 38-year timescale. |
format |
article |
author |
Benjamin D. Santer Susan Solomon Frank J. Wentz Qiang Fu Stephen Po-Chedley Carl Mears Jeffrey F. Painter Céline Bonfils |
author_facet |
Benjamin D. Santer Susan Solomon Frank J. Wentz Qiang Fu Stephen Po-Chedley Carl Mears Jeffrey F. Painter Céline Bonfils |
author_sort |
Benjamin D. Santer |
title |
Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades |
title_short |
Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades |
title_full |
Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades |
title_fullStr |
Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades |
title_full_unstemmed |
Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades |
title_sort |
tropospheric warming over the past two decades |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2017 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/ec65760fc7314d069a6963f121b51062 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT benjamindsanter troposphericwarmingoverthepasttwodecades AT susansolomon troposphericwarmingoverthepasttwodecades AT frankjwentz troposphericwarmingoverthepasttwodecades AT qiangfu troposphericwarmingoverthepasttwodecades AT stephenpochedley troposphericwarmingoverthepasttwodecades AT carlmears troposphericwarmingoverthepasttwodecades AT jeffreyfpainter troposphericwarmingoverthepasttwodecades AT celinebonfils troposphericwarmingoverthepasttwodecades |
_version_ |
1718384998583631872 |