Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades

Abstract Satellite temperature measurements do not support the recent claim of a “leveling off of warming” over the past two decades. Tropospheric warming trends over recent 20-year periods are always significantly larger (at the 10% level or better) than model estimates of 20-year trends arising fr...

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Autores principales: Benjamin D. Santer, Susan Solomon, Frank J. Wentz, Qiang Fu, Stephen Po-Chedley, Carl Mears, Jeffrey F. Painter, Céline Bonfils
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2017
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/ec65760fc7314d069a6963f121b51062
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:ec65760fc7314d069a6963f121b510622021-12-02T16:06:31ZTropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades10.1038/s41598-017-02520-72045-2322https://doaj.org/article/ec65760fc7314d069a6963f121b510622017-05-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-02520-7https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Satellite temperature measurements do not support the recent claim of a “leveling off of warming” over the past two decades. Tropospheric warming trends over recent 20-year periods are always significantly larger (at the 10% level or better) than model estimates of 20-year trends arising from natural internal variability. Over the full 38-year period of the satellite record, the separation between observed warming and internal variability estimates is even clearer. In two out of three recent satellite datasets, the tropospheric warming from 1979 to 2016 is unprecedented relative to internally generated temperature trends on the 38-year timescale.Benjamin D. SanterSusan SolomonFrank J. WentzQiang FuStephen Po-ChedleyCarl MearsJeffrey F. PainterCéline BonfilsNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-6 (2017)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Benjamin D. Santer
Susan Solomon
Frank J. Wentz
Qiang Fu
Stephen Po-Chedley
Carl Mears
Jeffrey F. Painter
Céline Bonfils
Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades
description Abstract Satellite temperature measurements do not support the recent claim of a “leveling off of warming” over the past two decades. Tropospheric warming trends over recent 20-year periods are always significantly larger (at the 10% level or better) than model estimates of 20-year trends arising from natural internal variability. Over the full 38-year period of the satellite record, the separation between observed warming and internal variability estimates is even clearer. In two out of three recent satellite datasets, the tropospheric warming from 1979 to 2016 is unprecedented relative to internally generated temperature trends on the 38-year timescale.
format article
author Benjamin D. Santer
Susan Solomon
Frank J. Wentz
Qiang Fu
Stephen Po-Chedley
Carl Mears
Jeffrey F. Painter
Céline Bonfils
author_facet Benjamin D. Santer
Susan Solomon
Frank J. Wentz
Qiang Fu
Stephen Po-Chedley
Carl Mears
Jeffrey F. Painter
Céline Bonfils
author_sort Benjamin D. Santer
title Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades
title_short Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades
title_full Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades
title_fullStr Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades
title_full_unstemmed Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades
title_sort tropospheric warming over the past two decades
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2017
url https://doaj.org/article/ec65760fc7314d069a6963f121b51062
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AT frankjwentz troposphericwarmingoverthepasttwodecades
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AT stephenpochedley troposphericwarmingoverthepasttwodecades
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