Assessment of localized seasonal precipitation variability in the upper middle catchment of the Olifants River basin

This study used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model together with regional climate downscaled (RCD) data from the CORDEX (Africa project), to assess the local seasonal precipitation variability in the upper middle catchment (UMC) of the Olifants River basin. The study results, based on t...

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Autores principales: German K. Nkhonjera, Megersa O. Dinka, Yali E. Woyessa
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: IWA Publishing 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/ed0f89ffa8fb443ca1ad65ce44df99e0
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:ed0f89ffa8fb443ca1ad65ce44df99e02021-11-05T18:41:07ZAssessment of localized seasonal precipitation variability in the upper middle catchment of the Olifants River basin2040-22442408-935410.2166/wcc.2020.187https://doaj.org/article/ed0f89ffa8fb443ca1ad65ce44df99e02021-02-01T00:00:00Zhttp://jwcc.iwaponline.com/content/12/1/250https://doaj.org/toc/2040-2244https://doaj.org/toc/2408-9354This study used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model together with regional climate downscaled (RCD) data from the CORDEX (Africa project), to assess the local seasonal precipitation variability in the upper middle catchment (UMC) of the Olifants River basin. The study results, based on two scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5), showed a wider monthly and seasonal variability of precipitation. The study also indicated a strong decreasing trend of east-to-west direction of spatial precipitation, with most precipitation concentrated in the eastern part of the study area. Within the western part of the UMC, we also noted another decreasing trend of precipitation from south-to-north with northern areas of the study area receiving the least amount of precipitation. This study has also revealed a considerable general reduction of future seasonal precipitation especially in the mid-term period (2021–2050). The general reduction in future seasonal precipitation, combined with the increasing temperatures in the area, may exacerbate the drought conditions and reduction in streamflow of the main river (Olifants) and its tributaries, consequently having a negative impact on the economic activities in the basin.German K. NkhonjeraMegersa O. DinkaYali E. WoyessaIWA Publishingarticleafricaclimate changeolifants river basinprecipitation variabilityEnvironmental technology. Sanitary engineeringTD1-1066Environmental sciencesGE1-350ENJournal of Water and Climate Change, Vol 12, Iss 1, Pp 250-264 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic africa
climate change
olifants river basin
precipitation variability
Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
spellingShingle africa
climate change
olifants river basin
precipitation variability
Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
German K. Nkhonjera
Megersa O. Dinka
Yali E. Woyessa
Assessment of localized seasonal precipitation variability in the upper middle catchment of the Olifants River basin
description This study used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model together with regional climate downscaled (RCD) data from the CORDEX (Africa project), to assess the local seasonal precipitation variability in the upper middle catchment (UMC) of the Olifants River basin. The study results, based on two scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5), showed a wider monthly and seasonal variability of precipitation. The study also indicated a strong decreasing trend of east-to-west direction of spatial precipitation, with most precipitation concentrated in the eastern part of the study area. Within the western part of the UMC, we also noted another decreasing trend of precipitation from south-to-north with northern areas of the study area receiving the least amount of precipitation. This study has also revealed a considerable general reduction of future seasonal precipitation especially in the mid-term period (2021–2050). The general reduction in future seasonal precipitation, combined with the increasing temperatures in the area, may exacerbate the drought conditions and reduction in streamflow of the main river (Olifants) and its tributaries, consequently having a negative impact on the economic activities in the basin.
format article
author German K. Nkhonjera
Megersa O. Dinka
Yali E. Woyessa
author_facet German K. Nkhonjera
Megersa O. Dinka
Yali E. Woyessa
author_sort German K. Nkhonjera
title Assessment of localized seasonal precipitation variability in the upper middle catchment of the Olifants River basin
title_short Assessment of localized seasonal precipitation variability in the upper middle catchment of the Olifants River basin
title_full Assessment of localized seasonal precipitation variability in the upper middle catchment of the Olifants River basin
title_fullStr Assessment of localized seasonal precipitation variability in the upper middle catchment of the Olifants River basin
title_full_unstemmed Assessment of localized seasonal precipitation variability in the upper middle catchment of the Olifants River basin
title_sort assessment of localized seasonal precipitation variability in the upper middle catchment of the olifants river basin
publisher IWA Publishing
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/ed0f89ffa8fb443ca1ad65ce44df99e0
work_keys_str_mv AT germanknkhonjera assessmentoflocalizedseasonalprecipitationvariabilityintheuppermiddlecatchmentoftheolifantsriverbasin
AT megersaodinka assessmentoflocalizedseasonalprecipitationvariabilityintheuppermiddlecatchmentoftheolifantsriverbasin
AT yaliewoyessa assessmentoflocalizedseasonalprecipitationvariabilityintheuppermiddlecatchmentoftheolifantsriverbasin
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