Vulnerability to climate change of islands worldwide and its impact on the tree of life

Abstract Island systems are among the most vulnerable to climate change, which is predicted to induce shifts in temperature, rainfall and/or sea levels. Our aim was: (i) to map the relative vulnerability of islands to each of these threats from climate change on a worldwide scale; (ii) to estimate h...

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Autores principales:	Simon Veron, Maud Mouchet, Rafaël Govaerts, Thomas Haevermans, Roseli Pellens
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2019
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/ed4ac85d599f4bcab4521c5ca73fd1b1
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:ed4ac85d599f4bcab4521c5ca73fd1b12021-12-02T15:07:53ZVulnerability to climate change of islands worldwide and its impact on the tree of life10.1038/s41598-019-51107-x2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/ed4ac85d599f4bcab4521c5ca73fd1b12019-10-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-51107-xhttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Island systems are among the most vulnerable to climate change, which is predicted to induce shifts in temperature, rainfall and/or sea levels. Our aim was: (i) to map the relative vulnerability of islands to each of these threats from climate change on a worldwide scale; (ii) to estimate how island vulnerability would impact phylogenetic diversity. We focused on monocotyledons, a major group of flowering plants that includes taxa of important economic value such as palms, grasses, bananas, taro. Islands that were vulnerable to climate change were found at all latitudes, e.g. in Australia, Indonesia, the Caribbean, Pacific countries, the United States, although they were more common near the equator. The loss of highly vulnerable islands would lead to relatively low absolute loss of plant phylogenetic diversity. However, these losses tended to be higher than expected by chance alone even in some highly vulnerable insular systems. This suggests the possible collapse of deep and long branches in vulnerable islands. Measuring the vulnerability of each island is a first step towards a risk analysis to identify where the impacts of climate change are the most likely and what may be their consequences on biodiversity.Simon VeronMaud MouchetRafaël GovaertsThomas HaevermansRoseli PellensNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 9, Iss 1, Pp 1-14 (2019)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Simon Veron Maud Mouchet Rafaël Govaerts Thomas Haevermans Roseli Pellens Vulnerability to climate change of islands worldwide and its impact on the tree of life
description	Abstract Island systems are among the most vulnerable to climate change, which is predicted to induce shifts in temperature, rainfall and/or sea levels. Our aim was: (i) to map the relative vulnerability of islands to each of these threats from climate change on a worldwide scale; (ii) to estimate how island vulnerability would impact phylogenetic diversity. We focused on monocotyledons, a major group of flowering plants that includes taxa of important economic value such as palms, grasses, bananas, taro. Islands that were vulnerable to climate change were found at all latitudes, e.g. in Australia, Indonesia, the Caribbean, Pacific countries, the United States, although they were more common near the equator. The loss of highly vulnerable islands would lead to relatively low absolute loss of plant phylogenetic diversity. However, these losses tended to be higher than expected by chance alone even in some highly vulnerable insular systems. This suggests the possible collapse of deep and long branches in vulnerable islands. Measuring the vulnerability of each island is a first step towards a risk analysis to identify where the impacts of climate change are the most likely and what may be their consequences on biodiversity.
format	article
author	Simon Veron Maud Mouchet Rafaël Govaerts Thomas Haevermans Roseli Pellens
author_facet	Simon Veron Maud Mouchet Rafaël Govaerts Thomas Haevermans Roseli Pellens
author_sort	Simon Veron
title	Vulnerability to climate change of islands worldwide and its impact on the tree of life
title_short	Vulnerability to climate change of islands worldwide and its impact on the tree of life
title_full	Vulnerability to climate change of islands worldwide and its impact on the tree of life
title_fullStr	Vulnerability to climate change of islands worldwide and its impact on the tree of life
title_full_unstemmed	Vulnerability to climate change of islands worldwide and its impact on the tree of life
title_sort	vulnerability to climate change of islands worldwide and its impact on the tree of life
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2019
url	https://doaj.org/article/ed4ac85d599f4bcab4521c5ca73fd1b1
work_keys_str_mv	AT simonveron vulnerabilitytoclimatechangeofislandsworldwideanditsimpactonthetreeoflife AT maudmouchet vulnerabilitytoclimatechangeofislandsworldwideanditsimpactonthetreeoflife AT rafaelgovaerts vulnerabilitytoclimatechangeofislandsworldwideanditsimpactonthetreeoflife AT thomashaevermans vulnerabilitytoclimatechangeofislandsworldwideanditsimpactonthetreeoflife AT roselipellens vulnerabilitytoclimatechangeofislandsworldwideanditsimpactonthetreeoflife
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Vulnerability to climate change of islands worldwide and its impact on the tree of life

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