Distinguishing anthropogenic and natural contributions to coproduction of national crop yields globally

Abstract Crop production is a crucial ecosystem service that requires a combination of natural and anthropogenic contributions to high and stable yields, which is a coproduction process. We analysed this coproduction based on nationally aggregated data for 15 major crops for 67 countries and the Eur...

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Autores principales: Matthias Schröter, Lukas Egli, Lilith Brüning, Ralf Seppelt
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Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/edb8c5fa27884498b9e0d9e5af220052
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:edb8c5fa27884498b9e0d9e5af2200522021-12-02T15:49:32ZDistinguishing anthropogenic and natural contributions to coproduction of national crop yields globally10.1038/s41598-021-90340-12045-2322https://doaj.org/article/edb8c5fa27884498b9e0d9e5af2200522021-05-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-90340-1https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Crop production is a crucial ecosystem service that requires a combination of natural and anthropogenic contributions to high and stable yields, which is a coproduction process. We analysed this coproduction based on nationally aggregated data for 15 major crops for 67 countries and the European Union with data for four time steps (2000, 2006, 2010, 2014). We found strong increases in fertilizer use, net capital stock and manure use intensity for lower-middle-income countries and stagnation or decrease of these for high-income countries. We used a multiple linear regression model predicting yield to distinguish the effect of anthropogenic contributions (crop-specific fertilizer use intensity, net capital stock intensity, manure use intensity) and natural contributions (crop-specific agricultural suitability, including soil characteristics, topography and climate). We found that in particular fertilizer use intensity, manure use intensity and agricultural suitability explained variation in yields to a considerable degree (R2 = 0.62).Matthias SchröterLukas EgliLilith BrüningRalf SeppeltNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-8 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Matthias Schröter
Lukas Egli
Lilith Brüning
Ralf Seppelt
Distinguishing anthropogenic and natural contributions to coproduction of national crop yields globally
description Abstract Crop production is a crucial ecosystem service that requires a combination of natural and anthropogenic contributions to high and stable yields, which is a coproduction process. We analysed this coproduction based on nationally aggregated data for 15 major crops for 67 countries and the European Union with data for four time steps (2000, 2006, 2010, 2014). We found strong increases in fertilizer use, net capital stock and manure use intensity for lower-middle-income countries and stagnation or decrease of these for high-income countries. We used a multiple linear regression model predicting yield to distinguish the effect of anthropogenic contributions (crop-specific fertilizer use intensity, net capital stock intensity, manure use intensity) and natural contributions (crop-specific agricultural suitability, including soil characteristics, topography and climate). We found that in particular fertilizer use intensity, manure use intensity and agricultural suitability explained variation in yields to a considerable degree (R2 = 0.62).
format article
author Matthias Schröter
Lukas Egli
Lilith Brüning
Ralf Seppelt
author_facet Matthias Schröter
Lukas Egli
Lilith Brüning
Ralf Seppelt
author_sort Matthias Schröter
title Distinguishing anthropogenic and natural contributions to coproduction of national crop yields globally
title_short Distinguishing anthropogenic and natural contributions to coproduction of national crop yields globally
title_full Distinguishing anthropogenic and natural contributions to coproduction of national crop yields globally
title_fullStr Distinguishing anthropogenic and natural contributions to coproduction of national crop yields globally
title_full_unstemmed Distinguishing anthropogenic and natural contributions to coproduction of national crop yields globally
title_sort distinguishing anthropogenic and natural contributions to coproduction of national crop yields globally
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/edb8c5fa27884498b9e0d9e5af220052
work_keys_str_mv AT matthiasschroter distinguishinganthropogenicandnaturalcontributionstocoproductionofnationalcropyieldsglobally
AT lukasegli distinguishinganthropogenicandnaturalcontributionstocoproductionofnationalcropyieldsglobally
AT lilithbruning distinguishinganthropogenicandnaturalcontributionstocoproductionofnationalcropyieldsglobally
AT ralfseppelt distinguishinganthropogenicandnaturalcontributionstocoproductionofnationalcropyieldsglobally
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