Seasonal dynamics of typhoid and paratyphoid fever

Abstract Typhoid and paratyphoid fever may follow a seasonal pattern, but this pattern is not well characterized. Moreover, the environmental drivers that influence seasonal dynamics are not fully understood, although increasing evidence suggests that rainfall and temperature may play an important r...

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Autores principales: Neil J. Saad, Victoria D. Lynch, Marina Antillón, Chongguang Yang, John A. Crump, Virginia E. Pitzer
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2018
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/ef495c1475bb47ad87c384123f256cf2
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:ef495c1475bb47ad87c384123f256cf22021-12-02T12:31:56ZSeasonal dynamics of typhoid and paratyphoid fever10.1038/s41598-018-25234-w2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/ef495c1475bb47ad87c384123f256cf22018-05-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-25234-whttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Typhoid and paratyphoid fever may follow a seasonal pattern, but this pattern is not well characterized. Moreover, the environmental drivers that influence seasonal dynamics are not fully understood, although increasing evidence suggests that rainfall and temperature may play an important role. We compiled a database of typhoid, paratyphoid, or enteric fever and their potential environmental drivers. We assessed the seasonal dynamics by region and latitude, quantifying the mean timing of peak prevalence and seasonal variability. Moreover, we investigated the potential drivers of the seasonal dynamics and compared the seasonal dynamics for typhoid and paratyphoid fever. We observed a distinct seasonal pattern for enteric and typhoid fever by latitude, with seasonal variability more pronounced further from the equator. We also found evidence of a positive association between preceding rainfall and enteric fever among settings 35°–11°N and a more consistent positive association between temperature and enteric fever incidence across most regions of the world. In conclusion, we identified varying seasonal dynamics for enteric or typhoid fever in association with environmental factors. The underlying mechanisms that drive the seasonality of enteric fever are likely dependent on the local context and should be taken into account in future control efforts.Neil J. SaadVictoria D. LynchMarina AntillónChongguang YangJohn A. CrumpVirginia E. PitzerNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 8, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2018)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Neil J. Saad
Victoria D. Lynch
Marina Antillón
Chongguang Yang
John A. Crump
Virginia E. Pitzer
Seasonal dynamics of typhoid and paratyphoid fever
description Abstract Typhoid and paratyphoid fever may follow a seasonal pattern, but this pattern is not well characterized. Moreover, the environmental drivers that influence seasonal dynamics are not fully understood, although increasing evidence suggests that rainfall and temperature may play an important role. We compiled a database of typhoid, paratyphoid, or enteric fever and their potential environmental drivers. We assessed the seasonal dynamics by region and latitude, quantifying the mean timing of peak prevalence and seasonal variability. Moreover, we investigated the potential drivers of the seasonal dynamics and compared the seasonal dynamics for typhoid and paratyphoid fever. We observed a distinct seasonal pattern for enteric and typhoid fever by latitude, with seasonal variability more pronounced further from the equator. We also found evidence of a positive association between preceding rainfall and enteric fever among settings 35°–11°N and a more consistent positive association between temperature and enteric fever incidence across most regions of the world. In conclusion, we identified varying seasonal dynamics for enteric or typhoid fever in association with environmental factors. The underlying mechanisms that drive the seasonality of enteric fever are likely dependent on the local context and should be taken into account in future control efforts.
format article
author Neil J. Saad
Victoria D. Lynch
Marina Antillón
Chongguang Yang
John A. Crump
Virginia E. Pitzer
author_facet Neil J. Saad
Victoria D. Lynch
Marina Antillón
Chongguang Yang
John A. Crump
Virginia E. Pitzer
author_sort Neil J. Saad
title Seasonal dynamics of typhoid and paratyphoid fever
title_short Seasonal dynamics of typhoid and paratyphoid fever
title_full Seasonal dynamics of typhoid and paratyphoid fever
title_fullStr Seasonal dynamics of typhoid and paratyphoid fever
title_full_unstemmed Seasonal dynamics of typhoid and paratyphoid fever
title_sort seasonal dynamics of typhoid and paratyphoid fever
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2018
url https://doaj.org/article/ef495c1475bb47ad87c384123f256cf2
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AT victoriadlynch seasonaldynamicsoftyphoidandparatyphoidfever
AT marinaantillon seasonaldynamicsoftyphoidandparatyphoidfever
AT chongguangyang seasonaldynamicsoftyphoidandparatyphoidfever
AT johnacrump seasonaldynamicsoftyphoidandparatyphoidfever
AT virginiaepitzer seasonaldynamicsoftyphoidandparatyphoidfever
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