Seasonal dynamics of typhoid and paratyphoid fever
Abstract Typhoid and paratyphoid fever may follow a seasonal pattern, but this pattern is not well characterized. Moreover, the environmental drivers that influence seasonal dynamics are not fully understood, although increasing evidence suggests that rainfall and temperature may play an important r...
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Nature Portfolio
2018
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oai:doaj.org-article:ef495c1475bb47ad87c384123f256cf22021-12-02T12:31:56ZSeasonal dynamics of typhoid and paratyphoid fever10.1038/s41598-018-25234-w2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/ef495c1475bb47ad87c384123f256cf22018-05-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-25234-whttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Typhoid and paratyphoid fever may follow a seasonal pattern, but this pattern is not well characterized. Moreover, the environmental drivers that influence seasonal dynamics are not fully understood, although increasing evidence suggests that rainfall and temperature may play an important role. We compiled a database of typhoid, paratyphoid, or enteric fever and their potential environmental drivers. We assessed the seasonal dynamics by region and latitude, quantifying the mean timing of peak prevalence and seasonal variability. Moreover, we investigated the potential drivers of the seasonal dynamics and compared the seasonal dynamics for typhoid and paratyphoid fever. We observed a distinct seasonal pattern for enteric and typhoid fever by latitude, with seasonal variability more pronounced further from the equator. We also found evidence of a positive association between preceding rainfall and enteric fever among settings 35°–11°N and a more consistent positive association between temperature and enteric fever incidence across most regions of the world. In conclusion, we identified varying seasonal dynamics for enteric or typhoid fever in association with environmental factors. The underlying mechanisms that drive the seasonality of enteric fever are likely dependent on the local context and should be taken into account in future control efforts.Neil J. SaadVictoria D. LynchMarina AntillónChongguang YangJohn A. CrumpVirginia E. PitzerNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 8, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2018) |
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Medicine R Science Q Neil J. Saad Victoria D. Lynch Marina Antillón Chongguang Yang John A. Crump Virginia E. Pitzer Seasonal dynamics of typhoid and paratyphoid fever |
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Abstract Typhoid and paratyphoid fever may follow a seasonal pattern, but this pattern is not well characterized. Moreover, the environmental drivers that influence seasonal dynamics are not fully understood, although increasing evidence suggests that rainfall and temperature may play an important role. We compiled a database of typhoid, paratyphoid, or enteric fever and their potential environmental drivers. We assessed the seasonal dynamics by region and latitude, quantifying the mean timing of peak prevalence and seasonal variability. Moreover, we investigated the potential drivers of the seasonal dynamics and compared the seasonal dynamics for typhoid and paratyphoid fever. We observed a distinct seasonal pattern for enteric and typhoid fever by latitude, with seasonal variability more pronounced further from the equator. We also found evidence of a positive association between preceding rainfall and enteric fever among settings 35°–11°N and a more consistent positive association between temperature and enteric fever incidence across most regions of the world. In conclusion, we identified varying seasonal dynamics for enteric or typhoid fever in association with environmental factors. The underlying mechanisms that drive the seasonality of enteric fever are likely dependent on the local context and should be taken into account in future control efforts. |
format |
article |
author |
Neil J. Saad Victoria D. Lynch Marina Antillón Chongguang Yang John A. Crump Virginia E. Pitzer |
author_facet |
Neil J. Saad Victoria D. Lynch Marina Antillón Chongguang Yang John A. Crump Virginia E. Pitzer |
author_sort |
Neil J. Saad |
title |
Seasonal dynamics of typhoid and paratyphoid fever |
title_short |
Seasonal dynamics of typhoid and paratyphoid fever |
title_full |
Seasonal dynamics of typhoid and paratyphoid fever |
title_fullStr |
Seasonal dynamics of typhoid and paratyphoid fever |
title_full_unstemmed |
Seasonal dynamics of typhoid and paratyphoid fever |
title_sort |
seasonal dynamics of typhoid and paratyphoid fever |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/ef495c1475bb47ad87c384123f256cf2 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT neiljsaad seasonaldynamicsoftyphoidandparatyphoidfever AT victoriadlynch seasonaldynamicsoftyphoidandparatyphoidfever AT marinaantillon seasonaldynamicsoftyphoidandparatyphoidfever AT chongguangyang seasonaldynamicsoftyphoidandparatyphoidfever AT johnacrump seasonaldynamicsoftyphoidandparatyphoidfever AT virginiaepitzer seasonaldynamicsoftyphoidandparatyphoidfever |
_version_ |
1718394252223840256 |