Trends of fatal road traffic injuries in Iran (2004-2011).

Road traffic injuries (RTIs) leading to death need the most essential concern for low, middle and high income societies. Mortality rate due to traffic injuries is considerable in Iran particularly during the last decade along with the industrialization process. The present study considered the trend...

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Autores principales:	Ayad Bahadorimonfared, Hamid Soori, Yadollah Mehrabi, Ali Delpisheh, Alireza Esmaili, Masoud Salehi, Mahmood Bakhtiyari
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2013
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/ef6b9dd60acf482b86d7300db783b182
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:ef6b9dd60acf482b86d7300db783b1822021-11-18T07:44:01ZTrends of fatal road traffic injuries in Iran (2004-2011).1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0065198https://doaj.org/article/ef6b9dd60acf482b86d7300db783b1822013-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/23724132/pdf/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203Road traffic injuries (RTIs) leading to death need the most essential concern for low, middle and high income societies. Mortality rate due to traffic injuries is considerable in Iran particularly during the last decade along with the industrialization process. The present study considered the trend of traffic injuries leading to death in Iran for a period of seven-years which started from March 2004 to March 2011. The formal merged Iranian database provided by the Ministry of Roads, the Legal Medicine Organization, the Traffic Police (NAJA), and the Ministry of Health covering 146, 269 deaths due to traffic injuries between 2004 and 2011 was analyzed. The time series method was carried out to determine the death trends of RTIs in the whole country. The Poisson regression model was used to estimate the changes in the frequency of events over time adjusting for associated known risk factors. The SARIMA (0, 1, 1)×(0, 1, 1)12 model was used for fitting to the time series of death rate. The death rate due to RTIs in Iran has statistically declined from 38 in 2004 to 31 per 100,000 populations in 2011. Based on the number of vehicles, the mortality rate has also declined from 38 to 12 cases per 10,000 vehicles from 2004 to 2011 respectively. However, the mortality rate was increased from 51 to 65 cases per 1000 accidents from 2004 to March 2011 respectively. Despite minor variations in mortality trends of RTIs in Iran according to different criteria, an annual average of 21,000 deaths is considerable and needs serious attentions. Modification of traffic laws, enhancement of police controls, improving transport infrastructure, holding education courses for drivers and providing optimal healthcare services are recommended.Ayad BahadorimonfaredHamid SooriYadollah MehrabiYadollah MehrabiAli DelpishehAlireza EsmailiMasoud SalehiMahmood BakhtiyariPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 8, Iss 5, p e65198 (2013)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Ayad Bahadorimonfared Hamid Soori Yadollah Mehrabi Yadollah Mehrabi Ali Delpisheh Alireza Esmaili Masoud Salehi Mahmood Bakhtiyari Trends of fatal road traffic injuries in Iran (2004-2011).
description	Road traffic injuries (RTIs) leading to death need the most essential concern for low, middle and high income societies. Mortality rate due to traffic injuries is considerable in Iran particularly during the last decade along with the industrialization process. The present study considered the trend of traffic injuries leading to death in Iran for a period of seven-years which started from March 2004 to March 2011. The formal merged Iranian database provided by the Ministry of Roads, the Legal Medicine Organization, the Traffic Police (NAJA), and the Ministry of Health covering 146, 269 deaths due to traffic injuries between 2004 and 2011 was analyzed. The time series method was carried out to determine the death trends of RTIs in the whole country. The Poisson regression model was used to estimate the changes in the frequency of events over time adjusting for associated known risk factors. The SARIMA (0, 1, 1)×(0, 1, 1)12 model was used for fitting to the time series of death rate. The death rate due to RTIs in Iran has statistically declined from 38 in 2004 to 31 per 100,000 populations in 2011. Based on the number of vehicles, the mortality rate has also declined from 38 to 12 cases per 10,000 vehicles from 2004 to 2011 respectively. However, the mortality rate was increased from 51 to 65 cases per 1000 accidents from 2004 to March 2011 respectively. Despite minor variations in mortality trends of RTIs in Iran according to different criteria, an annual average of 21,000 deaths is considerable and needs serious attentions. Modification of traffic laws, enhancement of police controls, improving transport infrastructure, holding education courses for drivers and providing optimal healthcare services are recommended.
format	article
author	Ayad Bahadorimonfared Hamid Soori Yadollah Mehrabi Yadollah Mehrabi Ali Delpisheh Alireza Esmaili Masoud Salehi Mahmood Bakhtiyari
author_facet	Ayad Bahadorimonfared Hamid Soori Yadollah Mehrabi Yadollah Mehrabi Ali Delpisheh Alireza Esmaili Masoud Salehi Mahmood Bakhtiyari
author_sort	Ayad Bahadorimonfared
title	Trends of fatal road traffic injuries in Iran (2004-2011).
title_short	Trends of fatal road traffic injuries in Iran (2004-2011).
title_full	Trends of fatal road traffic injuries in Iran (2004-2011).
title_fullStr	Trends of fatal road traffic injuries in Iran (2004-2011).
title_full_unstemmed	Trends of fatal road traffic injuries in Iran (2004-2011).
title_sort	trends of fatal road traffic injuries in iran (2004-2011).
publisher	Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate	2013
url	https://doaj.org/article/ef6b9dd60acf482b86d7300db783b182
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Trends of fatal road traffic injuries in Iran (2004-2011).

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