A new look at risk patterns related to coronary heart disease incidence using survival tree analysis: 12 Years Longitudinal Study

Abstract We identified risk patterns associated with incident coronary heart disease (CHD) using survival tree, and compared performance of survival tree versus Cox proportional hazards (Cox PH) in a cohort of Iranian adults. Data on 8,279 participants (3,741 men) aged ≥30 yr were used to analysis....

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Autores principales: Azra Ramezankhani, Farideh Bagherzadeh-Khiabani, Davood Khalili, Fereidoun Azizi, Farzad Hadaegh
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Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2017
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/ef70fd02e1e340be8c801a1d7a7a242a
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:ef70fd02e1e340be8c801a1d7a7a242a2021-12-02T16:06:40ZA new look at risk patterns related to coronary heart disease incidence using survival tree analysis: 12 Years Longitudinal Study10.1038/s41598-017-03577-02045-2322https://doaj.org/article/ef70fd02e1e340be8c801a1d7a7a242a2017-06-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-03577-0https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract We identified risk patterns associated with incident coronary heart disease (CHD) using survival tree, and compared performance of survival tree versus Cox proportional hazards (Cox PH) in a cohort of Iranian adults. Data on 8,279 participants (3,741 men) aged ≥30 yr were used to analysis. Survival trees identified seven subgroups with different risk patterns using four [(age, non-HDL-C, fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and family history of diabetes] and five [(age, systolic blood pressure (SBP), non-HDL-C, FPG and family history of CVD] predictors in women and men, respectively. Additional risk factors were identified by Cox models which included: family history of CVD and waist circumference (in both genders); hip circumference, former smoking and using aspirin among men; diastolic blood pressure and lipid lowering drug among women. Survival trees and multivariate Cox models yielded comparable performance, as measured by integrated Brier score (IBS) and Harrell’s C-index on validation datasets; however, survival trees produced more parsimonious models with a minimum number of well recognized risk factors of CHD incidence, and identified important interactions between these factors which have important implications for intervention programs and improve clinical decision making.Azra RamezankhaniFarideh Bagherzadeh-KhiabaniDavood KhaliliFereidoun AziziFarzad HadaeghNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2017)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Azra Ramezankhani
Farideh Bagherzadeh-Khiabani
Davood Khalili
Fereidoun Azizi
Farzad Hadaegh
A new look at risk patterns related to coronary heart disease incidence using survival tree analysis: 12 Years Longitudinal Study
description Abstract We identified risk patterns associated with incident coronary heart disease (CHD) using survival tree, and compared performance of survival tree versus Cox proportional hazards (Cox PH) in a cohort of Iranian adults. Data on 8,279 participants (3,741 men) aged ≥30 yr were used to analysis. Survival trees identified seven subgroups with different risk patterns using four [(age, non-HDL-C, fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and family history of diabetes] and five [(age, systolic blood pressure (SBP), non-HDL-C, FPG and family history of CVD] predictors in women and men, respectively. Additional risk factors were identified by Cox models which included: family history of CVD and waist circumference (in both genders); hip circumference, former smoking and using aspirin among men; diastolic blood pressure and lipid lowering drug among women. Survival trees and multivariate Cox models yielded comparable performance, as measured by integrated Brier score (IBS) and Harrell’s C-index on validation datasets; however, survival trees produced more parsimonious models with a minimum number of well recognized risk factors of CHD incidence, and identified important interactions between these factors which have important implications for intervention programs and improve clinical decision making.
format article
author Azra Ramezankhani
Farideh Bagherzadeh-Khiabani
Davood Khalili
Fereidoun Azizi
Farzad Hadaegh
author_facet Azra Ramezankhani
Farideh Bagherzadeh-Khiabani
Davood Khalili
Fereidoun Azizi
Farzad Hadaegh
author_sort Azra Ramezankhani
title A new look at risk patterns related to coronary heart disease incidence using survival tree analysis: 12 Years Longitudinal Study
title_short A new look at risk patterns related to coronary heart disease incidence using survival tree analysis: 12 Years Longitudinal Study
title_full A new look at risk patterns related to coronary heart disease incidence using survival tree analysis: 12 Years Longitudinal Study
title_fullStr A new look at risk patterns related to coronary heart disease incidence using survival tree analysis: 12 Years Longitudinal Study
title_full_unstemmed A new look at risk patterns related to coronary heart disease incidence using survival tree analysis: 12 Years Longitudinal Study
title_sort new look at risk patterns related to coronary heart disease incidence using survival tree analysis: 12 years longitudinal study
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2017
url https://doaj.org/article/ef70fd02e1e340be8c801a1d7a7a242a
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