A nonlinear updating algorithm captures suboptimal inference in the presence of signal-dependent noise

Abstract Bayesian models have advanced the idea that humans combine prior beliefs and sensory observations to optimize behavior. How the brain implements Bayes-optimal inference, however, remains poorly understood. Simple behavioral tasks suggest that the brain can flexibly represent probability dis...

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Autores principales: Seth W. Egger, Mehrdad Jazayeri
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2018
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/f163ec5b6de640b5b546097fecc19846
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:f163ec5b6de640b5b546097fecc198462021-12-02T11:40:26ZA nonlinear updating algorithm captures suboptimal inference in the presence of signal-dependent noise10.1038/s41598-018-30722-02045-2322https://doaj.org/article/f163ec5b6de640b5b546097fecc198462018-08-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-30722-0https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Bayesian models have advanced the idea that humans combine prior beliefs and sensory observations to optimize behavior. How the brain implements Bayes-optimal inference, however, remains poorly understood. Simple behavioral tasks suggest that the brain can flexibly represent probability distributions. An alternative view is that the brain relies on simple algorithms that can implement Bayes-optimal behavior only when the computational demands are low. To distinguish between these alternatives, we devised a task in which Bayes-optimal performance could not be matched by simple algorithms. We asked subjects to estimate and reproduce a time interval by combining prior information with one or two sequential measurements. In the domain of time, measurement noise increases with duration. This property takes the integration of multiple measurements beyond the reach of simple algorithms. We found that subjects were able to update their estimates using the second measurement but their performance was suboptimal, suggesting that they were unable to update full probability distributions. Instead, subjects’ behavior was consistent with an algorithm that predicts upcoming sensory signals, and applies a nonlinear function to errors in prediction to update estimates. These results indicate that the inference strategies employed by humans may deviate from Bayes-optimal integration when the computational demands are high.Seth W. EggerMehrdad JazayeriNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 8, Iss 1, Pp 1-16 (2018)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Seth W. Egger
Mehrdad Jazayeri
A nonlinear updating algorithm captures suboptimal inference in the presence of signal-dependent noise
description Abstract Bayesian models have advanced the idea that humans combine prior beliefs and sensory observations to optimize behavior. How the brain implements Bayes-optimal inference, however, remains poorly understood. Simple behavioral tasks suggest that the brain can flexibly represent probability distributions. An alternative view is that the brain relies on simple algorithms that can implement Bayes-optimal behavior only when the computational demands are low. To distinguish between these alternatives, we devised a task in which Bayes-optimal performance could not be matched by simple algorithms. We asked subjects to estimate and reproduce a time interval by combining prior information with one or two sequential measurements. In the domain of time, measurement noise increases with duration. This property takes the integration of multiple measurements beyond the reach of simple algorithms. We found that subjects were able to update their estimates using the second measurement but their performance was suboptimal, suggesting that they were unable to update full probability distributions. Instead, subjects’ behavior was consistent with an algorithm that predicts upcoming sensory signals, and applies a nonlinear function to errors in prediction to update estimates. These results indicate that the inference strategies employed by humans may deviate from Bayes-optimal integration when the computational demands are high.
format article
author Seth W. Egger
Mehrdad Jazayeri
author_facet Seth W. Egger
Mehrdad Jazayeri
author_sort Seth W. Egger
title A nonlinear updating algorithm captures suboptimal inference in the presence of signal-dependent noise
title_short A nonlinear updating algorithm captures suboptimal inference in the presence of signal-dependent noise
title_full A nonlinear updating algorithm captures suboptimal inference in the presence of signal-dependent noise
title_fullStr A nonlinear updating algorithm captures suboptimal inference in the presence of signal-dependent noise
title_full_unstemmed A nonlinear updating algorithm captures suboptimal inference in the presence of signal-dependent noise
title_sort nonlinear updating algorithm captures suboptimal inference in the presence of signal-dependent noise
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2018
url https://doaj.org/article/f163ec5b6de640b5b546097fecc19846
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