Group-wise herding behavior in financial markets: an agent-based modeling approach.

In this paper, we shed light on the dynamic characteristics of rational group behaviors and the relationship between monetary policy and economic units in the financial market by using an agent-based model (ABM), the Hurst exponent, and the Shannon entropy. First, an agent-based model is used to ana...

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Autores principales: Minsung Kim, Minki Kim
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Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2014
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:f1beaaa374db424e95b4044a287e74582021-11-18T08:24:29ZGroup-wise herding behavior in financial markets: an agent-based modeling approach.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0093661https://doaj.org/article/f1beaaa374db424e95b4044a287e74582014-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/24714635/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203In this paper, we shed light on the dynamic characteristics of rational group behaviors and the relationship between monetary policy and economic units in the financial market by using an agent-based model (ABM), the Hurst exponent, and the Shannon entropy. First, an agent-based model is used to analyze the characteristics of the group behaviors at different levels of irrationality. Second, the Hurst exponent is applied to analyze the characteristics of the trend-following irrationality group. Third, the Shannon entropy is used to analyze the randomness and unpredictability of group behavior. We show that in a system that focuses on macro-monetary policy, steep fluctuations occur, meaning that the medium-level irrationality group has the highest Hurst exponent and Shannon entropy among all of the groups. However, in a system that focuses on micro-monetary policy, all group behaviors follow a stable trend, and the medium irrationality group thus remains stable, too. Likewise, in a system that focuses on both micro- and macro-monetary policies, all groups tend to be stable. Consequently, we find that group behavior varies across economic units at each irrationality level for micro- and macro-monetary policy in the financial market. Together, these findings offer key insights into monetary policy.Minsung KimMinki KimPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 9, Iss 4, p e93661 (2014)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Minsung Kim
Minki Kim
Group-wise herding behavior in financial markets: an agent-based modeling approach.
description In this paper, we shed light on the dynamic characteristics of rational group behaviors and the relationship between monetary policy and economic units in the financial market by using an agent-based model (ABM), the Hurst exponent, and the Shannon entropy. First, an agent-based model is used to analyze the characteristics of the group behaviors at different levels of irrationality. Second, the Hurst exponent is applied to analyze the characteristics of the trend-following irrationality group. Third, the Shannon entropy is used to analyze the randomness and unpredictability of group behavior. We show that in a system that focuses on macro-monetary policy, steep fluctuations occur, meaning that the medium-level irrationality group has the highest Hurst exponent and Shannon entropy among all of the groups. However, in a system that focuses on micro-monetary policy, all group behaviors follow a stable trend, and the medium irrationality group thus remains stable, too. Likewise, in a system that focuses on both micro- and macro-monetary policies, all groups tend to be stable. Consequently, we find that group behavior varies across economic units at each irrationality level for micro- and macro-monetary policy in the financial market. Together, these findings offer key insights into monetary policy.
format article
author Minsung Kim
Minki Kim
author_facet Minsung Kim
Minki Kim
author_sort Minsung Kim
title Group-wise herding behavior in financial markets: an agent-based modeling approach.
title_short Group-wise herding behavior in financial markets: an agent-based modeling approach.
title_full Group-wise herding behavior in financial markets: an agent-based modeling approach.
title_fullStr Group-wise herding behavior in financial markets: an agent-based modeling approach.
title_full_unstemmed Group-wise herding behavior in financial markets: an agent-based modeling approach.
title_sort group-wise herding behavior in financial markets: an agent-based modeling approach.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2014
url https://doaj.org/article/f1beaaa374db424e95b4044a287e7458
work_keys_str_mv AT minsungkim groupwiseherdingbehaviorinfinancialmarketsanagentbasedmodelingapproach
AT minkikim groupwiseherdingbehaviorinfinancialmarketsanagentbasedmodelingapproach
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