Socio-Economic Implications and Potential Structural Adaptations of the Tunisian Agricultural Sector to Climate Change

Climate change is expected to have serious economic and social impacts on Tunisian rural farmers. The extent of these impacts will largely depend on the level of political and structural adaptations. This study aims to evaluate the effect of increasing water shortages on agricultural income and empl...

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Autores principales:	Aymen Frija, Amine Oulmane, Ali Chebil, Mariem Makhlouf
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	MDPI AG 2021
Materias:	agricultural supply model adaptations land use water shortage Tunisia Agriculture S
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/f216d223f92c410bac52fc03c84c384f
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:f216d223f92c410bac52fc03c84c384f2021-11-25T16:02:54ZSocio-Economic Implications and Potential Structural Adaptations of the Tunisian Agricultural Sector to Climate Change10.3390/agronomy111121122073-4395https://doaj.org/article/f216d223f92c410bac52fc03c84c384f2021-10-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2073-4395/11/11/2112https://doaj.org/toc/2073-4395Climate change is expected to have serious economic and social impacts on Tunisian rural farmers. The extent of these impacts will largely depend on the level of political and structural adaptations. This study aims to evaluate the effect of increasing water shortages on agricultural income and employment. It also analyzes structural adaptation strategies implemented by farmers in response to this challenge. We have therefore developed a regionally disaggregated supply model to simulate three types of scenarios concerning (i) decreasing quantities of irrigation water at the regional level; (ii) enhanced irrigation water use efficiency; and (iii) higher production prices. Observed crop production data for 21 crops and 24 districts of Tunisia have been used. Districts have been aggregated into five regions based on bioclimatic homogeneity. Results show that climate change will lead to the reduction of irrigated areas and an increased importance of rainfed agriculture. It will also have a negative impact on farm income and employment. This negative effect can be fully mitigated by improving water use efficiency, at farm and perimeter levels, and can be reversed by offering more attractive producer prices to farmers through enhanced value chain integration.Aymen FrijaAmine OulmaneAli ChebilMariem MakhloufMDPI AGarticleagricultural supply modeladaptationsland usewater shortageTunisiaAgricultureSENAgronomy, Vol 11, Iss 2112, p 2112 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	agricultural supply model adaptations land use water shortage Tunisia Agriculture S
spellingShingle	agricultural supply model adaptations land use water shortage Tunisia Agriculture S Aymen Frija Amine Oulmane Ali Chebil Mariem Makhlouf Socio-Economic Implications and Potential Structural Adaptations of the Tunisian Agricultural Sector to Climate Change
description	Climate change is expected to have serious economic and social impacts on Tunisian rural farmers. The extent of these impacts will largely depend on the level of political and structural adaptations. This study aims to evaluate the effect of increasing water shortages on agricultural income and employment. It also analyzes structural adaptation strategies implemented by farmers in response to this challenge. We have therefore developed a regionally disaggregated supply model to simulate three types of scenarios concerning (i) decreasing quantities of irrigation water at the regional level; (ii) enhanced irrigation water use efficiency; and (iii) higher production prices. Observed crop production data for 21 crops and 24 districts of Tunisia have been used. Districts have been aggregated into five regions based on bioclimatic homogeneity. Results show that climate change will lead to the reduction of irrigated areas and an increased importance of rainfed agriculture. It will also have a negative impact on farm income and employment. This negative effect can be fully mitigated by improving water use efficiency, at farm and perimeter levels, and can be reversed by offering more attractive producer prices to farmers through enhanced value chain integration.
format	article
author	Aymen Frija Amine Oulmane Ali Chebil Mariem Makhlouf
author_facet	Aymen Frija Amine Oulmane Ali Chebil Mariem Makhlouf
author_sort	Aymen Frija
title	Socio-Economic Implications and Potential Structural Adaptations of the Tunisian Agricultural Sector to Climate Change
title_short	Socio-Economic Implications and Potential Structural Adaptations of the Tunisian Agricultural Sector to Climate Change
title_full	Socio-Economic Implications and Potential Structural Adaptations of the Tunisian Agricultural Sector to Climate Change
title_fullStr	Socio-Economic Implications and Potential Structural Adaptations of the Tunisian Agricultural Sector to Climate Change
title_full_unstemmed	Socio-Economic Implications and Potential Structural Adaptations of the Tunisian Agricultural Sector to Climate Change
title_sort	socio-economic implications and potential structural adaptations of the tunisian agricultural sector to climate change
publisher	MDPI AG
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/f216d223f92c410bac52fc03c84c384f
work_keys_str_mv	AT aymenfrija socioeconomicimplicationsandpotentialstructuraladaptationsofthetunisianagriculturalsectortoclimatechange AT amineoulmane socioeconomicimplicationsandpotentialstructuraladaptationsofthetunisianagriculturalsectortoclimatechange AT alichebil socioeconomicimplicationsandpotentialstructuraladaptationsofthetunisianagriculturalsectortoclimatechange AT mariemmakhlouf socioeconomicimplicationsandpotentialstructuraladaptationsofthetunisianagriculturalsectortoclimatechange
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Socio-Economic Implications and Potential Structural Adaptations of the Tunisian Agricultural Sector to Climate Change

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