A social network analysis of the spread of COVID-19 in South Korea and policy implications

Abstract This study estimates the COVID-19 infection network from actual data and draws on implications for policy and research. Using contact tracing information of 3283 confirmed patients in Seoul metropolitan areas from January 20, 2020 to July 19, 2020, this study created an infection network an...

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Autores principales: Wonkwang Jo, Dukjin Chang, Myoungsoon You, Ghi-Hoon Ghim
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/f3cc9426253e42d2bdbe60d8b31ebac8
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:f3cc9426253e42d2bdbe60d8b31ebac82021-12-02T18:27:48ZA social network analysis of the spread of COVID-19 in South Korea and policy implications10.1038/s41598-021-87837-02045-2322https://doaj.org/article/f3cc9426253e42d2bdbe60d8b31ebac82021-04-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-87837-0https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract This study estimates the COVID-19 infection network from actual data and draws on implications for policy and research. Using contact tracing information of 3283 confirmed patients in Seoul metropolitan areas from January 20, 2020 to July 19, 2020, this study created an infection network and analyzed its structural characteristics. The main results are as follows: (i) out-degrees follow an extremely positively skewed distribution; (ii) removing the top nodes on the out-degree significantly decreases the size of the infection network, and (iii) the indicators that express the infectious power of the network change according to governmental measures. Efforts to collect network data and analyze network structures are urgently required for the efficiency of governmental responses to COVID-19. Implications for better use of a metric such as R0 to estimate infection spread are also discussed.Wonkwang JoDukjin ChangMyoungsoon YouGhi-Hoon GhimNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Wonkwang Jo
Dukjin Chang
Myoungsoon You
Ghi-Hoon Ghim
A social network analysis of the spread of COVID-19 in South Korea and policy implications
description Abstract This study estimates the COVID-19 infection network from actual data and draws on implications for policy and research. Using contact tracing information of 3283 confirmed patients in Seoul metropolitan areas from January 20, 2020 to July 19, 2020, this study created an infection network and analyzed its structural characteristics. The main results are as follows: (i) out-degrees follow an extremely positively skewed distribution; (ii) removing the top nodes on the out-degree significantly decreases the size of the infection network, and (iii) the indicators that express the infectious power of the network change according to governmental measures. Efforts to collect network data and analyze network structures are urgently required for the efficiency of governmental responses to COVID-19. Implications for better use of a metric such as R0 to estimate infection spread are also discussed.
format article
author Wonkwang Jo
Dukjin Chang
Myoungsoon You
Ghi-Hoon Ghim
author_facet Wonkwang Jo
Dukjin Chang
Myoungsoon You
Ghi-Hoon Ghim
author_sort Wonkwang Jo
title A social network analysis of the spread of COVID-19 in South Korea and policy implications
title_short A social network analysis of the spread of COVID-19 in South Korea and policy implications
title_full A social network analysis of the spread of COVID-19 in South Korea and policy implications
title_fullStr A social network analysis of the spread of COVID-19 in South Korea and policy implications
title_full_unstemmed A social network analysis of the spread of COVID-19 in South Korea and policy implications
title_sort social network analysis of the spread of covid-19 in south korea and policy implications
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/f3cc9426253e42d2bdbe60d8b31ebac8
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