FORECASTING OF SHIP’S CONSTRUCTION COST BY USING THE METHOD OF THE FUZZY SETS THEORY
In order to take a rational decision about construction of a ship it is necessary to have an adequate predictive estimate of a construction cost. Traditional forecasting methods do not provide the required level of reliability of a shipyard’s cost estimates. The method of cost forecasting based on f...
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| Auteurs principaux: | , |
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| Format: | article |
| Langue: | RU |
| Publié: |
Real Economics Publishing House
2014
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| Sujets: | |
| Accès en ligne: | https://doaj.org/article/f3d0c4a62b054936955fbcae66be088e |
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| Résumé: | In order to take a rational decision about construction of a ship it is necessary to have an adequate predictive estimate of a construction cost. Traditional forecasting methods do not provide the required level of reliability of a shipyard’s cost estimates. The method of cost forecasting based on fuzzy logic system is proposed. This method has several advantages, including: use of fuzzy initial information for forecasting; increase of the result’s validity due to the potential of use all relevant information for forecasting. In view of the aforesaid it increases the validity of management decisions and has a positive impact on the overall economic sustainability of an enterprise. |
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