FORECASTING OF SHIP’S CONSTRUCTION COST BY USING THE METHOD OF THE FUZZY SETS THEORY
In order to take a rational decision about construction of a ship it is necessary to have an adequate predictive estimate of a construction cost. Traditional forecasting methods do not provide the required level of reliability of a shipyard’s cost estimates. The method of cost forecasting based on f...
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| Autores principales: | , |
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| Formato: | article |
| Lenguaje: | RU |
| Publicado: |
Real Economics Publishing House
2014
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://doaj.org/article/f3d0c4a62b054936955fbcae66be088e |
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| Sumario: | In order to take a rational decision about construction of a ship it is necessary to have an adequate predictive estimate of a construction cost. Traditional forecasting methods do not provide the required level of reliability of a shipyard’s cost estimates. The method of cost forecasting based on fuzzy logic system is proposed. This method has several advantages, including: use of fuzzy initial information for forecasting; increase of the result’s validity due to the potential of use all relevant information for forecasting. In view of the aforesaid it increases the validity of management decisions and has a positive impact on the overall economic sustainability of an enterprise. |
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