FORECASTING OF SHIP’S CONSTRUCTION COST BY USING THE METHOD OF THE FUZZY SETS THEORY

In order to take a rational decision about construction of a ship it is necessary to have an adequate predictive estimate of a construction cost. Traditional forecasting methods do not provide the required level of reliability of a shipyard’s cost estimates. The method of cost forecasting based on f...

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Autores principales:	M. Y. Alekhin, V. V. Raev
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	RU
Publicado:	Real Economics Publishing House 2014
Materias:	fuzzy logic cost forecasting construction cost of a ship shipbuilding Risk in industry. Risk management HD61
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/f3d0c4a62b054936955fbcae66be088e
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:f3d0c4a62b054936955fbcae66be088e2021-11-19T10:41:57ZFORECASTING OF SHIP’S CONSTRUCTION COST BY USING THE METHOD OF THE FUZZY SETS THEORY2618-947X2618-998410.17747/2078-8886-2012-2-74-80https://doaj.org/article/f3d0c4a62b054936955fbcae66be088e2014-10-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.jsdrm.ru/jour/article/view/110https://doaj.org/toc/2618-947Xhttps://doaj.org/toc/2618-9984In order to take a rational decision about construction of a ship it is necessary to have an adequate predictive estimate of a construction cost. Traditional forecasting methods do not provide the required level of reliability of a shipyard’s cost estimates. The method of cost forecasting based on fuzzy logic system is proposed. This method has several advantages, including: use of fuzzy initial information for forecasting; increase of the result’s validity due to the potential of use all relevant information for forecasting. In view of the aforesaid it increases the validity of management decisions and has a positive impact on the overall economic sustainability of an enterprise.M. Y. AlekhinV. V. RaevReal Economics Publishing House articlefuzzy logiccost forecastingconstruction cost of a shipshipbuildingRisk in industry. Risk managementHD61RU Strategičeskie Rešeniâ i Risk-Menedžment, Vol 0, Iss 2, Pp 74-80 (2014)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	RU
topic	fuzzy logic cost forecasting construction cost of a ship shipbuilding Risk in industry. Risk management HD61
spellingShingle	fuzzy logic cost forecasting construction cost of a ship shipbuilding Risk in industry. Risk management HD61 M. Y. Alekhin V. V. Raev FORECASTING OF SHIP’S CONSTRUCTION COST BY USING THE METHOD OF THE FUZZY SETS THEORY
description	In order to take a rational decision about construction of a ship it is necessary to have an adequate predictive estimate of a construction cost. Traditional forecasting methods do not provide the required level of reliability of a shipyard’s cost estimates. The method of cost forecasting based on fuzzy logic system is proposed. This method has several advantages, including: use of fuzzy initial information for forecasting; increase of the result’s validity due to the potential of use all relevant information for forecasting. In view of the aforesaid it increases the validity of management decisions and has a positive impact on the overall economic sustainability of an enterprise.
format	article
author	M. Y. Alekhin V. V. Raev
author_facet	M. Y. Alekhin V. V. Raev
author_sort	M. Y. Alekhin
title	FORECASTING OF SHIP’S CONSTRUCTION COST BY USING THE METHOD OF THE FUZZY SETS THEORY
title_short	FORECASTING OF SHIP’S CONSTRUCTION COST BY USING THE METHOD OF THE FUZZY SETS THEORY
title_full	FORECASTING OF SHIP’S CONSTRUCTION COST BY USING THE METHOD OF THE FUZZY SETS THEORY
title_fullStr	FORECASTING OF SHIP’S CONSTRUCTION COST BY USING THE METHOD OF THE FUZZY SETS THEORY
title_full_unstemmed	FORECASTING OF SHIP’S CONSTRUCTION COST BY USING THE METHOD OF THE FUZZY SETS THEORY
title_sort	forecasting of ship’s construction cost by using the method of the fuzzy sets theory
publisher	Real Economics Publishing House
publishDate	2014
url	https://doaj.org/article/f3d0c4a62b054936955fbcae66be088e
work_keys_str_mv	AT myalekhin forecastingofshipsconstructioncostbyusingthemethodofthefuzzysetstheory AT vvraev forecastingofshipsconstructioncostbyusingthemethodofthefuzzysetstheory
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FORECASTING OF SHIP’S CONSTRUCTION COST BY USING THE METHOD OF THE FUZZY SETS THEORY

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