AN ANOMALY WITHIN AN ANOMALY: THE HALLOWEEN EFFECT IN THE LONG-TERM REVERSAL ANOMALY
In this paper, we investigate the presence of the Halloween effect in the long-term reversal anomaly in the US. When we examine the cross-sectional returns of winner-minus-loser portfolios formed on prior returns over the time period of 1931-2021, we find evidence of stronger returns during winter...
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2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:f429a7fb44a4422088b3d4ceb5f5b5c12021-12-01T16:48:00ZAN ANOMALY WITHIN AN ANOMALY: THE HALLOWEEN EFFECT IN THE LONG-TERM REVERSAL ANOMALY10.24135/afl.v10i.4652253-57992253-5802https://doaj.org/article/f429a7fb44a4422088b3d4ceb5f5b5c12021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://ojs.aut.ac.nz/applied-finance-letters/article/view/465https://doaj.org/toc/2253-5799https://doaj.org/toc/2253-5802 In this paper, we investigate the presence of the Halloween effect in the long-term reversal anomaly in the US. When we examine the cross-sectional returns of winner-minus-loser portfolios formed on prior returns over the time period of 1931-2021, we find evidence of stronger returns during winter months versus summer months. In particular, the effect appears to be driven by very strong winter-summer seasonality in the portfolio of small-capitalisation losers, and lack of Halloween effect in the portfolio of large-capitalisation winners. Our finding is robust to alternative measures of long-term reversal, differing sub-periods, the inclusion of the January effect and outlier considerations, as well as within small and large-sized companies. King Fuei LeeTuwhera Open Access PublisherarticleFinanceHG1-9999ENApplied Finance Letters, Vol 10 (2021) |
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Finance HG1-9999 King Fuei Lee AN ANOMALY WITHIN AN ANOMALY: THE HALLOWEEN EFFECT IN THE LONG-TERM REVERSAL ANOMALY |
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In this paper, we investigate the presence of the Halloween effect in the long-term reversal anomaly in the US. When we examine the cross-sectional returns of winner-minus-loser portfolios formed on prior returns over the time period of 1931-2021, we find evidence of stronger returns during winter months versus summer months. In particular, the effect appears to be driven by very strong winter-summer seasonality in the portfolio of small-capitalisation losers, and lack of Halloween effect in the portfolio of large-capitalisation winners. Our finding is robust to alternative measures of long-term reversal, differing sub-periods, the inclusion of the January effect and outlier considerations, as well as within small and large-sized companies.
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format |
article |
author |
King Fuei Lee |
author_facet |
King Fuei Lee |
author_sort |
King Fuei Lee |
title |
AN ANOMALY WITHIN AN ANOMALY: THE HALLOWEEN EFFECT IN THE LONG-TERM REVERSAL ANOMALY |
title_short |
AN ANOMALY WITHIN AN ANOMALY: THE HALLOWEEN EFFECT IN THE LONG-TERM REVERSAL ANOMALY |
title_full |
AN ANOMALY WITHIN AN ANOMALY: THE HALLOWEEN EFFECT IN THE LONG-TERM REVERSAL ANOMALY |
title_fullStr |
AN ANOMALY WITHIN AN ANOMALY: THE HALLOWEEN EFFECT IN THE LONG-TERM REVERSAL ANOMALY |
title_full_unstemmed |
AN ANOMALY WITHIN AN ANOMALY: THE HALLOWEEN EFFECT IN THE LONG-TERM REVERSAL ANOMALY |
title_sort |
anomaly within an anomaly: the halloween effect in the long-term reversal anomaly |
publisher |
Tuwhera Open Access Publisher |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/f429a7fb44a4422088b3d4ceb5f5b5c1 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT kingfueilee ananomalywithinananomalythehalloweeneffectinthelongtermreversalanomaly AT kingfueilee anomalywithinananomalythehalloweeneffectinthelongtermreversalanomaly |
_version_ |
1718404788454948864 |