Making Agriculture Carbon Neutral Amid a Changing Climate: The Case of South-Western Australia

Making Australian agriculture carbon neutral by 2050 is a goal espoused by several agricultural organisations in Australia. How costly might it be to attain that goal, especially when adverse climate change projections apply to agriculture in southern Australia? This study uses scenario analysis to...

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Autor principal:	Ross Kingwell
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	MDPI AG 2021
Materias:	carbon neutral climate change agriculture emissions reforestation Agriculture S
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/f4c126a786bf42f5a4552b0b974a5cef
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id	oai:doaj.org-article:f4c126a786bf42f5a4552b0b974a5cef
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:f4c126a786bf42f5a4552b0b974a5cef2021-11-25T18:10:06ZMaking Agriculture Carbon Neutral Amid a Changing Climate: The Case of South-Western Australia10.3390/land101112592073-445Xhttps://doaj.org/article/f4c126a786bf42f5a4552b0b974a5cef2021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/10/11/1259https://doaj.org/toc/2073-445XMaking Australian agriculture carbon neutral by 2050 is a goal espoused by several agricultural organisations in Australia. How costly might it be to attain that goal, especially when adverse climate change projections apply to agriculture in southern Australia? This study uses scenario analysis to examine agricultural emissions and their abatement via reforestation in south-western Australia under projected climate change. Most scenarios include the likelihood of agricultural emissions being reduced in the coming decades. However, the impact of projected adverse climate change on tree growth and tree survival means that the cost of achieving agricultural carbon neutrality via reforestation is forecast to increase in south-western Australia. Agricultural R&D and innovation that enable agricultural emissions to diminish in the coming decades will be crucial to lessen the cost of achieving carbon neutrality. On balance, the more likely scenarios reveal the real cost of achieving carbon neutrality will not greatly increase. The cost of achieving carbon neutrality under the various scenarios is raised by an additional AUD22 million to AUD100 million per annum in constant 2020 dollar terms. This magnitude of cost increase is very small relative to the region’s gross value of agricultural production that is regularly greater than AUD10 billion.Ross KingwellMDPI AGarticlecarbon neutralclimate changeagricultureemissionsreforestationAgricultureSENLand, Vol 10, Iss 1259, p 1259 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	carbon neutral climate change agriculture emissions reforestation Agriculture S
spellingShingle	carbon neutral climate change agriculture emissions reforestation Agriculture S Ross Kingwell Making Agriculture Carbon Neutral Amid a Changing Climate: The Case of South-Western Australia
description	Making Australian agriculture carbon neutral by 2050 is a goal espoused by several agricultural organisations in Australia. How costly might it be to attain that goal, especially when adverse climate change projections apply to agriculture in southern Australia? This study uses scenario analysis to examine agricultural emissions and their abatement via reforestation in south-western Australia under projected climate change. Most scenarios include the likelihood of agricultural emissions being reduced in the coming decades. However, the impact of projected adverse climate change on tree growth and tree survival means that the cost of achieving agricultural carbon neutrality via reforestation is forecast to increase in south-western Australia. Agricultural R&D and innovation that enable agricultural emissions to diminish in the coming decades will be crucial to lessen the cost of achieving carbon neutrality. On balance, the more likely scenarios reveal the real cost of achieving carbon neutrality will not greatly increase. The cost of achieving carbon neutrality under the various scenarios is raised by an additional AUD22 million to AUD100 million per annum in constant 2020 dollar terms. This magnitude of cost increase is very small relative to the region’s gross value of agricultural production that is regularly greater than AUD10 billion.
format	article
author	Ross Kingwell
author_facet	Ross Kingwell
author_sort	Ross Kingwell
title	Making Agriculture Carbon Neutral Amid a Changing Climate: The Case of South-Western Australia
title_short	Making Agriculture Carbon Neutral Amid a Changing Climate: The Case of South-Western Australia
title_full	Making Agriculture Carbon Neutral Amid a Changing Climate: The Case of South-Western Australia
title_fullStr	Making Agriculture Carbon Neutral Amid a Changing Climate: The Case of South-Western Australia
title_full_unstemmed	Making Agriculture Carbon Neutral Amid a Changing Climate: The Case of South-Western Australia
title_sort	making agriculture carbon neutral amid a changing climate: the case of south-western australia
publisher	MDPI AG
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/f4c126a786bf42f5a4552b0b974a5cef
work_keys_str_mv	AT rosskingwell makingagriculturecarbonneutralamidachangingclimatethecaseofsouthwesternaustralia
_version_	1718411595918344192

Making Agriculture Carbon Neutral Amid a Changing Climate: The Case of South-Western Australia

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