A Critical Analysis of Volatility Surprise in Bitcoin Cryptocurrency and Other Financial Assets

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the viability as compared with other financial assets of cryptocurrencies as a currency or as an asset investment. This paper also aims to see which macro variable relates more to the price of cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin. Since the whole concept o...

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Autores principales: Yianni Doumenis, Javad Izadi, Pradeep Dhamdhere, Epameinondas Katsikas, Dimitrios Koufopoulos
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: MDPI AG 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/f51a7814a71940d7b0475fc9a896a992
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:f51a7814a71940d7b0475fc9a896a9922021-11-25T18:56:14ZA Critical Analysis of Volatility Surprise in Bitcoin Cryptocurrency and Other Financial Assets10.3390/risks91102072227-9091https://doaj.org/article/f51a7814a71940d7b0475fc9a896a9922021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/9/11/207https://doaj.org/toc/2227-9091The purpose of this paper is to investigate the viability as compared with other financial assets of cryptocurrencies as a currency or as an asset investment. This paper also aims to see which macro variable relates more to the price of cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin. Since the whole concept of cryptocurrencies is quite novel, an attempt has been made to briefly explain the underlying blockchain technology that forms the bedrock of cryptocurrencies. In this study, we use secondary data, i.e., the price history of Bitcoin from September 2014 to September 2021 for the last seven years, captured from trading exchanges. We predicted monthly returns of Bitcoin with that of Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (S&P 500), gold, and Treasury Bonds. Our findings show that Bitcoin has very high volatility compared to S&P 500, Gold and Treasury Bonds. Also, our findings show that there is a positive correlation between Bitcoin’s price volatility and the other three financial assets before and during COVID-19. Hence, Bitcoin is acting more as a speculative asset rather than a steady store of value. This can be drawn from the comparison with the debt market i.e., a Treasury Bond that invests in long-dated (30 years) US treasuries with which Bitcoin shows no relationship. The findings of this study could help with understanding the future of Bitcoin. This has important implications for Bitcoin investors. The current study contributes to the extant literature by providing empirical evidence on long-term social sustainability vis-à-vis supply chain traceability.Yianni DoumenisJavad IzadiPradeep DhamdhereEpameinondas KatsikasDimitrios KoufopoulosMDPI AGarticlecryptocurrenciesBitcoininvestment price volatilityInsuranceHG8011-9999ENRisks, Vol 9, Iss 207, p 207 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin
investment price volatility
Insurance
HG8011-9999
spellingShingle cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin
investment price volatility
Insurance
HG8011-9999
Yianni Doumenis
Javad Izadi
Pradeep Dhamdhere
Epameinondas Katsikas
Dimitrios Koufopoulos
A Critical Analysis of Volatility Surprise in Bitcoin Cryptocurrency and Other Financial Assets
description The purpose of this paper is to investigate the viability as compared with other financial assets of cryptocurrencies as a currency or as an asset investment. This paper also aims to see which macro variable relates more to the price of cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin. Since the whole concept of cryptocurrencies is quite novel, an attempt has been made to briefly explain the underlying blockchain technology that forms the bedrock of cryptocurrencies. In this study, we use secondary data, i.e., the price history of Bitcoin from September 2014 to September 2021 for the last seven years, captured from trading exchanges. We predicted monthly returns of Bitcoin with that of Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (S&P 500), gold, and Treasury Bonds. Our findings show that Bitcoin has very high volatility compared to S&P 500, Gold and Treasury Bonds. Also, our findings show that there is a positive correlation between Bitcoin’s price volatility and the other three financial assets before and during COVID-19. Hence, Bitcoin is acting more as a speculative asset rather than a steady store of value. This can be drawn from the comparison with the debt market i.e., a Treasury Bond that invests in long-dated (30 years) US treasuries with which Bitcoin shows no relationship. The findings of this study could help with understanding the future of Bitcoin. This has important implications for Bitcoin investors. The current study contributes to the extant literature by providing empirical evidence on long-term social sustainability vis-à-vis supply chain traceability.
format article
author Yianni Doumenis
Javad Izadi
Pradeep Dhamdhere
Epameinondas Katsikas
Dimitrios Koufopoulos
author_facet Yianni Doumenis
Javad Izadi
Pradeep Dhamdhere
Epameinondas Katsikas
Dimitrios Koufopoulos
author_sort Yianni Doumenis
title A Critical Analysis of Volatility Surprise in Bitcoin Cryptocurrency and Other Financial Assets
title_short A Critical Analysis of Volatility Surprise in Bitcoin Cryptocurrency and Other Financial Assets
title_full A Critical Analysis of Volatility Surprise in Bitcoin Cryptocurrency and Other Financial Assets
title_fullStr A Critical Analysis of Volatility Surprise in Bitcoin Cryptocurrency and Other Financial Assets
title_full_unstemmed A Critical Analysis of Volatility Surprise in Bitcoin Cryptocurrency and Other Financial Assets
title_sort critical analysis of volatility surprise in bitcoin cryptocurrency and other financial assets
publisher MDPI AG
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/f51a7814a71940d7b0475fc9a896a992
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