The evolution of strategic timing in collective-risk dilemmas.

In collective-risk dilemmas, a group needs to collaborate over time to avoid a catastrophic event. This gives rise to a coordination game with many equilibria, including equilibria where no one contributes, and thus no measures against the catastrophe are taken. In this game, the timing of contribut...

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Autores principales: Christian Hilbe, Maria Abou Chakra, Philipp M Altrock, Arne Traulsen
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Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2013
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/f51e49312a294428ad6e84af008b18e7
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:f51e49312a294428ad6e84af008b18e72021-11-18T07:41:38ZThe evolution of strategic timing in collective-risk dilemmas.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0066490https://doaj.org/article/f51e49312a294428ad6e84af008b18e72013-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/23799109/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203In collective-risk dilemmas, a group needs to collaborate over time to avoid a catastrophic event. This gives rise to a coordination game with many equilibria, including equilibria where no one contributes, and thus no measures against the catastrophe are taken. In this game, the timing of contributions becomes a strategic variable that allows individuals to interact and influence one another. Herein, we use evolutionary game theory to study the impact of strategic timing on equilibrium selection. Depending on the risk of catastrophe, we identify three characteristic regimes. For low risks, defection is the only equilibrium, whereas high risks promote equilibria with sufficient contributions. Intermediate risks pose the biggest challenge for cooperation. In this risk regime, the option to interact over time is critical; if individuals can contribute over several rounds, then the group has a higher chance to succeed, and the expected welfare increases. This positive effect of timing is of particular importance in larger groups, where successful coordination becomes increasingly difficult.Christian HilbeMaria Abou ChakraPhilipp M AltrockArne TraulsenPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 8, Iss 6, p e66490 (2013)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Christian Hilbe
Maria Abou Chakra
Philipp M Altrock
Arne Traulsen
The evolution of strategic timing in collective-risk dilemmas.
description In collective-risk dilemmas, a group needs to collaborate over time to avoid a catastrophic event. This gives rise to a coordination game with many equilibria, including equilibria where no one contributes, and thus no measures against the catastrophe are taken. In this game, the timing of contributions becomes a strategic variable that allows individuals to interact and influence one another. Herein, we use evolutionary game theory to study the impact of strategic timing on equilibrium selection. Depending on the risk of catastrophe, we identify three characteristic regimes. For low risks, defection is the only equilibrium, whereas high risks promote equilibria with sufficient contributions. Intermediate risks pose the biggest challenge for cooperation. In this risk regime, the option to interact over time is critical; if individuals can contribute over several rounds, then the group has a higher chance to succeed, and the expected welfare increases. This positive effect of timing is of particular importance in larger groups, where successful coordination becomes increasingly difficult.
format article
author Christian Hilbe
Maria Abou Chakra
Philipp M Altrock
Arne Traulsen
author_facet Christian Hilbe
Maria Abou Chakra
Philipp M Altrock
Arne Traulsen
author_sort Christian Hilbe
title The evolution of strategic timing in collective-risk dilemmas.
title_short The evolution of strategic timing in collective-risk dilemmas.
title_full The evolution of strategic timing in collective-risk dilemmas.
title_fullStr The evolution of strategic timing in collective-risk dilemmas.
title_full_unstemmed The evolution of strategic timing in collective-risk dilemmas.
title_sort evolution of strategic timing in collective-risk dilemmas.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2013
url https://doaj.org/article/f51e49312a294428ad6e84af008b18e7
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