Modeling the impact of climate change on streamflow and major hydrological components of an Iranian Wadi system

Climate change has pronounced impacts on water resources, especially in arid regions. This study aims at assessing the impacts of climate change on streamflow of the Wadi Halilrood Basin which feeds the Jazmorian wetland in southeastern Iran. To simulate streamflow and hydrological components in the...

Descripción completa

Guardado en:

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Nariman Mahmoodi, Paul D. Wagner, Jens Kiesel, Nicola Fohrer
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	IWA Publishing 2021
Materias:	climate change hydrological components streamflow wadi Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering TD1-1066 Environmental sciences GE1-350
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/f68b41e12d9d4d41b1529eb8cbf6977f
Etiquetas:	Agregar Etiqueta Sin Etiquetas, Sea el primero en etiquetar este registro!

id	oai:doaj.org-article:f68b41e12d9d4d41b1529eb8cbf6977f
record_format	dspace
spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:f68b41e12d9d4d41b1529eb8cbf6977f2021-11-05T19:01:38ZModeling the impact of climate change on streamflow and major hydrological components of an Iranian Wadi system2040-22442408-935410.2166/wcc.2020.098https://doaj.org/article/f68b41e12d9d4d41b1529eb8cbf6977f2021-08-01T00:00:00Zhttp://jwcc.iwaponline.com/content/12/5/1598https://doaj.org/toc/2040-2244https://doaj.org/toc/2408-9354Climate change has pronounced impacts on water resources, especially in arid regions. This study aims at assessing the impacts of climate change on streamflow of the Wadi Halilrood Basin which feeds the Jazmorian wetland in southeastern Iran. To simulate streamflow and hydrological components in the future periods (2030–2059 and 2070–2099), projections for the emission scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 from 11 global-regional climate models and two bias correction methods are used as input data for a hydrologic model that represents the daily streamflow with good accuracy (NSE: 0.76, PBIAS: 4.7, KGE: 0.87). The results indicate a slight increase of streamflow in January and March, due to the higher intensity of precipitation. However, according to the predicted flow duration curves, a decrease for high and very high flow and no remarkable changes for middle, low and very low flow is found under both emission scenarios for both future periods. Compared to the simulated hydrological components for the baseline, a slight increase of evapotranspiration of around 6 mm (4%) and 2 mm (<2%) for the mid- and end of the century is estimated, respectively. Moreover, a substantial drop of water yield of around 36 mm (63%) at mid-century and 39 mm (69%) at the end of the century are projected. HIGHLIGHTS Assess the impacts of climate change on streamflow of a Wadi system.; Evaluate the variation of major hydrological components to gain insights into the variation of streamflow.; Apply a set of different bias correction methods and climate models under two emission scenarios to deal with the potential uncertainties.; Provide valuable information on possible future changes in streamflow and major hydrological components.;Nariman MahmoodiPaul D. WagnerJens KieselNicola FohrerIWA Publishingarticleclimate changehydrological componentsstreamflowwadiEnvironmental technology. Sanitary engineeringTD1-1066Environmental sciencesGE1-350ENJournal of Water and Climate Change, Vol 12, Iss 5, Pp 1598-1613 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	climate change hydrological components streamflow wadi Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering TD1-1066 Environmental sciences GE1-350
spellingShingle	climate change hydrological components streamflow wadi Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering TD1-1066 Environmental sciences GE1-350 Nariman Mahmoodi Paul D. Wagner Jens Kiesel Nicola Fohrer Modeling the impact of climate change on streamflow and major hydrological components of an Iranian Wadi system
description	Climate change has pronounced impacts on water resources, especially in arid regions. This study aims at assessing the impacts of climate change on streamflow of the Wadi Halilrood Basin which feeds the Jazmorian wetland in southeastern Iran. To simulate streamflow and hydrological components in the future periods (2030–2059 and 2070–2099), projections for the emission scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 from 11 global-regional climate models and two bias correction methods are used as input data for a hydrologic model that represents the daily streamflow with good accuracy (NSE: 0.76, PBIAS: 4.7, KGE: 0.87). The results indicate a slight increase of streamflow in January and March, due to the higher intensity of precipitation. However, according to the predicted flow duration curves, a decrease for high and very high flow and no remarkable changes for middle, low and very low flow is found under both emission scenarios for both future periods. Compared to the simulated hydrological components for the baseline, a slight increase of evapotranspiration of around 6 mm (4%) and 2 mm (<2%) for the mid- and end of the century is estimated, respectively. Moreover, a substantial drop of water yield of around 36 mm (63%) at mid-century and 39 mm (69%) at the end of the century are projected. HIGHLIGHTS Assess the impacts of climate change on streamflow of a Wadi system.; Evaluate the variation of major hydrological components to gain insights into the variation of streamflow.; Apply a set of different bias correction methods and climate models under two emission scenarios to deal with the potential uncertainties.; Provide valuable information on possible future changes in streamflow and major hydrological components.;
format	article
author	Nariman Mahmoodi Paul D. Wagner Jens Kiesel Nicola Fohrer
author_facet	Nariman Mahmoodi Paul D. Wagner Jens Kiesel Nicola Fohrer
author_sort	Nariman Mahmoodi
title	Modeling the impact of climate change on streamflow and major hydrological components of an Iranian Wadi system
title_short	Modeling the impact of climate change on streamflow and major hydrological components of an Iranian Wadi system
title_full	Modeling the impact of climate change on streamflow and major hydrological components of an Iranian Wadi system
title_fullStr	Modeling the impact of climate change on streamflow and major hydrological components of an Iranian Wadi system
title_full_unstemmed	Modeling the impact of climate change on streamflow and major hydrological components of an Iranian Wadi system
title_sort	modeling the impact of climate change on streamflow and major hydrological components of an iranian wadi system
publisher	IWA Publishing
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/f68b41e12d9d4d41b1529eb8cbf6977f
work_keys_str_mv	AT narimanmahmoodi modelingtheimpactofclimatechangeonstreamflowandmajorhydrologicalcomponentsofaniranianwadisystem AT pauldwagner modelingtheimpactofclimatechangeonstreamflowandmajorhydrologicalcomponentsofaniranianwadisystem AT jenskiesel modelingtheimpactofclimatechangeonstreamflowandmajorhydrologicalcomponentsofaniranianwadisystem AT nicolafohrer modelingtheimpactofclimatechangeonstreamflowandmajorhydrologicalcomponentsofaniranianwadisystem
_version_	1718444077320503296

Modeling the impact of climate change on streamflow and major hydrological components of an Iranian Wadi system

Ejemplares similares