New estimations of child marriage: Evidence from 98 low- and middle-income countries

The Sustainable Development Goals include a target on eliminating child marriage, a human rights abuse. Yet, the indicator used in the SDG framework is a summary statistic and does not provide a full picture of the incidence of marriage at different ages. This paper aims to address this limitation b...

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Autores principales:	Mengjia Liang, Sandile Simelane, Satvika Chalasani, Rachel Snow
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/f6e641154b77476eaa3c875130ef8a58
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:f6e641154b77476eaa3c875130ef8a582021-11-04T06:49:44ZNew estimations of child marriage: Evidence from 98 low- and middle-income countries1932-6203https://doaj.org/article/f6e641154b77476eaa3c875130ef8a582021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8550406/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203The Sustainable Development Goals include a target on eliminating child marriage, a human rights abuse. Yet, the indicator used in the SDG framework is a summary statistic and does not provide a full picture of the incidence of marriage at different ages. This paper aims to address this limitation by providing an alternative method of measuring child marriage. The paper reviews recent data on nuptiality and captures evidence of changes in the proportion married and in the age at marriage, in 98 low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Using data collected from nationally representative Demographic and Health Surveys and Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys, survival analysis is applied to estimate (a) age-specific marriage hazard rates among girls before age 18; and (b) the number of girls that were married before age 18 in 2020. Results show that the vast majority of girls remain unmarried until age 10. Child marriage rates increase gradually until age 14 and accelerate significantly thereafter at ages 15–17. By accounting for both single-year-age-specific child marriage hazard rates and the age structure of the population with a survival analysis approach, lower estimates in countries with a rapid decrease in child marriage and higher estimates in countries with constant or slightly rising child marriage rates relative to the direct approach are obtained.Mengjia LiangSandile SimelaneSatvika ChalasaniRachel SnowPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 10 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Mengjia Liang Sandile Simelane Satvika Chalasani Rachel Snow New estimations of child marriage: Evidence from 98 low- and middle-income countries
description	The Sustainable Development Goals include a target on eliminating child marriage, a human rights abuse. Yet, the indicator used in the SDG framework is a summary statistic and does not provide a full picture of the incidence of marriage at different ages. This paper aims to address this limitation by providing an alternative method of measuring child marriage. The paper reviews recent data on nuptiality and captures evidence of changes in the proportion married and in the age at marriage, in 98 low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Using data collected from nationally representative Demographic and Health Surveys and Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys, survival analysis is applied to estimate (a) age-specific marriage hazard rates among girls before age 18; and (b) the number of girls that were married before age 18 in 2020. Results show that the vast majority of girls remain unmarried until age 10. Child marriage rates increase gradually until age 14 and accelerate significantly thereafter at ages 15–17. By accounting for both single-year-age-specific child marriage hazard rates and the age structure of the population with a survival analysis approach, lower estimates in countries with a rapid decrease in child marriage and higher estimates in countries with constant or slightly rising child marriage rates relative to the direct approach are obtained.
format	article
author	Mengjia Liang Sandile Simelane Satvika Chalasani Rachel Snow
author_facet	Mengjia Liang Sandile Simelane Satvika Chalasani Rachel Snow
author_sort	Mengjia Liang
title	New estimations of child marriage: Evidence from 98 low- and middle-income countries
title_short	New estimations of child marriage: Evidence from 98 low- and middle-income countries
title_full	New estimations of child marriage: Evidence from 98 low- and middle-income countries
title_fullStr	New estimations of child marriage: Evidence from 98 low- and middle-income countries
title_full_unstemmed	New estimations of child marriage: Evidence from 98 low- and middle-income countries
title_sort	new estimations of child marriage: evidence from 98 low- and middle-income countries
publisher	Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/f6e641154b77476eaa3c875130ef8a58
work_keys_str_mv	AT mengjialiang newestimationsofchildmarriageevidencefrom98lowandmiddleincomecountries AT sandilesimelane newestimationsofchildmarriageevidencefrom98lowandmiddleincomecountries AT satvikachalasani newestimationsofchildmarriageevidencefrom98lowandmiddleincomecountries AT rachelsnow newestimationsofchildmarriageevidencefrom98lowandmiddleincomecountries
_version_	1718445058533883904

New estimations of child marriage: Evidence from 98 low- and middle-income countries

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