Spatial-temporal dynamics of deforestation and its drivers indicate need for locally-adapted environmental governance in Colombia

Characterizing and managing deforestation are some of the most urgent environmental challenges in the tropics. Forest loss depends on multiple drivers that relate to ecological and socio-economic conditions, and varies significantly in time and space. Understanding the causes and potential consequen...

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Autores principales:	Andrés González-González, Juan Camilo Villegas, Nicola Clerici, Juan Fernando Salazar
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Elsevier 2021
Materias:	Forest loss Deforestation modeling Biodiversity conservation Dinamica EGO Land transformation Ecology QH540-549.5
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/f7fe57547b4e43299393eef13fce1a3f
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:f7fe57547b4e43299393eef13fce1a3f2021-12-01T04:51:33ZSpatial-temporal dynamics of deforestation and its drivers indicate need for locally-adapted environmental governance in Colombia1470-160X10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.107695https://doaj.org/article/f7fe57547b4e43299393eef13fce1a3f2021-07-01T00:00:00Zhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X21003605https://doaj.org/toc/1470-160XCharacterizing and managing deforestation are some of the most urgent environmental challenges in the tropics. Forest loss depends on multiple drivers that relate to ecological and socio-economic conditions, and varies significantly in time and space. Understanding the causes and potential consequences of forest loss in a region, requires detailed knowledge of the spatial and temporal behavior of deforestation drivers. This is especially important in Colombia, a country with an immense geographical, ecological and cultural diversity. In this work we use a spatially-explicit modeling platform to identify the influence of multiple deforestation drivers in different biogeographical and planning regions of Colombia. Models were used to produce different deforestation scenarios, resulting in contrasting trends. Results suggest that agricultural activities have a significant role in deforestation in Colombia, although its influence largely varies among regions. Notably, the long-lasting internal conflict in the country, indicated here by a proxy variable, produced contrasting effects on historical deforestation, such that in some areas it acted as an attractor and in some others as a deterrent of deforestation. Our scenarios for the mid-21st century indicate that current trends in deforestation and its drivers (except the internal conflict due to a recent peace agreement) can potentially lead to major ecological impacts, such as fragmentation and loss of connectivity among ecosystems. In the Governance scenario, however, enforcement of conservation in protected areas ensures partial forest conservation, highlighting the key relevance of these areas for biodiversity conservation in the country and for controlling the expansion of deforestation. Given the high spatial and temporal variability of deforestation, and that the same drivers can lead to different responses in different geographic areas, decision-making needs a more efficient approach for designing locally-adapted measurements to face current challenges of conservation and management of forests and their services.Andrés González-GonzálezJuan Camilo VillegasNicola ClericiJuan Fernando SalazarElsevierarticleForest lossDeforestation modelingBiodiversity conservationDinamica EGOLand transformationEcologyQH540-549.5ENEcological Indicators, Vol 126, Iss , Pp 107695- (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Forest loss Deforestation modeling Biodiversity conservation Dinamica EGO Land transformation Ecology QH540-549.5
spellingShingle	Forest loss Deforestation modeling Biodiversity conservation Dinamica EGO Land transformation Ecology QH540-549.5 Andrés González-González Juan Camilo Villegas Nicola Clerici Juan Fernando Salazar Spatial-temporal dynamics of deforestation and its drivers indicate need for locally-adapted environmental governance in Colombia
description	Characterizing and managing deforestation are some of the most urgent environmental challenges in the tropics. Forest loss depends on multiple drivers that relate to ecological and socio-economic conditions, and varies significantly in time and space. Understanding the causes and potential consequences of forest loss in a region, requires detailed knowledge of the spatial and temporal behavior of deforestation drivers. This is especially important in Colombia, a country with an immense geographical, ecological and cultural diversity. In this work we use a spatially-explicit modeling platform to identify the influence of multiple deforestation drivers in different biogeographical and planning regions of Colombia. Models were used to produce different deforestation scenarios, resulting in contrasting trends. Results suggest that agricultural activities have a significant role in deforestation in Colombia, although its influence largely varies among regions. Notably, the long-lasting internal conflict in the country, indicated here by a proxy variable, produced contrasting effects on historical deforestation, such that in some areas it acted as an attractor and in some others as a deterrent of deforestation. Our scenarios for the mid-21st century indicate that current trends in deforestation and its drivers (except the internal conflict due to a recent peace agreement) can potentially lead to major ecological impacts, such as fragmentation and loss of connectivity among ecosystems. In the Governance scenario, however, enforcement of conservation in protected areas ensures partial forest conservation, highlighting the key relevance of these areas for biodiversity conservation in the country and for controlling the expansion of deforestation. Given the high spatial and temporal variability of deforestation, and that the same drivers can lead to different responses in different geographic areas, decision-making needs a more efficient approach for designing locally-adapted measurements to face current challenges of conservation and management of forests and their services.
format	article
author	Andrés González-González Juan Camilo Villegas Nicola Clerici Juan Fernando Salazar
author_facet	Andrés González-González Juan Camilo Villegas Nicola Clerici Juan Fernando Salazar
author_sort	Andrés González-González
title	Spatial-temporal dynamics of deforestation and its drivers indicate need for locally-adapted environmental governance in Colombia
title_short	Spatial-temporal dynamics of deforestation and its drivers indicate need for locally-adapted environmental governance in Colombia
title_full	Spatial-temporal dynamics of deforestation and its drivers indicate need for locally-adapted environmental governance in Colombia
title_fullStr	Spatial-temporal dynamics of deforestation and its drivers indicate need for locally-adapted environmental governance in Colombia
title_full_unstemmed	Spatial-temporal dynamics of deforestation and its drivers indicate need for locally-adapted environmental governance in Colombia
title_sort	spatial-temporal dynamics of deforestation and its drivers indicate need for locally-adapted environmental governance in colombia
publisher	Elsevier
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/f7fe57547b4e43299393eef13fce1a3f
work_keys_str_mv	AT andresgonzalezgonzalez spatialtemporaldynamicsofdeforestationanditsdriversindicateneedforlocallyadaptedenvironmentalgovernanceincolombia AT juancamilovillegas spatialtemporaldynamicsofdeforestationanditsdriversindicateneedforlocallyadaptedenvironmentalgovernanceincolombia AT nicolaclerici spatialtemporaldynamicsofdeforestationanditsdriversindicateneedforlocallyadaptedenvironmentalgovernanceincolombia AT juanfernandosalazar spatialtemporaldynamicsofdeforestationanditsdriversindicateneedforlocallyadaptedenvironmentalgovernanceincolombia
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Spatial-temporal dynamics of deforestation and its drivers indicate need for locally-adapted environmental governance in Colombia

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