A scenario analysis of potential long-term impacts of COVID-19 on the Tunisian electricity sector

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected the economy of Tunisia, like that of many other countries. With electricity consumption dropping, consumption patterns changing, international fuel prices oscillating and uncertainty raging, the pandemic has affected not least the planning of investments in electri...

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Autores principales:	Francesco Gardumi, Nesrine Mhiri, Mark Howells, Franziska Bock, Thameur Necibi, Chiheb Bouden
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Elsevier 2021
Materias:	COVID-19 Tunisia Energy-economy OSeMOSYS Input-output Open source Energy industries. Energy policy. Fuel trade HD9502-9502.5
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/f8cdc15534a54f8bba43066647169e3b
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:f8cdc15534a54f8bba43066647169e3b2021-11-20T05:05:46ZA scenario analysis of potential long-term impacts of COVID-19 on the Tunisian electricity sector2211-467X10.1016/j.esr.2021.100759https://doaj.org/article/f8cdc15534a54f8bba43066647169e3b2021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X21001437https://doaj.org/toc/2211-467XThe COVID-19 pandemic has affected the economy of Tunisia, like that of many other countries. With electricity consumption dropping, consumption patterns changing, international fuel prices oscillating and uncertainty raging, the pandemic has affected not least the planning of investments in electricity supply. Although the government seems unlikely to revise the decarbonisation targets downwards, questions arise on whether the investments planned before the pandemic are still relevant in the changed global landscape and what effects they may have on the country's economy.In this study, we analyse post-pandemic scenarios for the electricity supply system of Tunisia with an energy-economy modelling framework, soft-linking the energy modelling tool OSeMOSYS and an open source Input-Output model. We extract insights on the cost-competitiveness of different – previously planned and new – electricity supply solutions and their impacts on job creation and loss in the entire economy. We find that renewable solutions based on solar photovoltaic remain highly competitive with gas-fired generation under different projections of gas prices and that several low-carbon and energy efficiency solutions have high potential for job creation. We also find that more ambitious investments in renewables and energy efficiency are needed to take Tunisia towards the path of deep decarbonisation.Francesco GardumiNesrine MhiriMark HowellsFranziska BockThameur NecibiChiheb BoudenElsevierarticleCOVID-19TunisiaEnergy-economyOSeMOSYSInput-outputOpen sourceEnergy industries. Energy policy. Fuel tradeHD9502-9502.5ENEnergy Strategy Reviews, Vol 38, Iss , Pp 100759- (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	COVID-19 Tunisia Energy-economy OSeMOSYS Input-output Open source Energy industries. Energy policy. Fuel trade HD9502-9502.5
spellingShingle	COVID-19 Tunisia Energy-economy OSeMOSYS Input-output Open source Energy industries. Energy policy. Fuel trade HD9502-9502.5 Francesco Gardumi Nesrine Mhiri Mark Howells Franziska Bock Thameur Necibi Chiheb Bouden A scenario analysis of potential long-term impacts of COVID-19 on the Tunisian electricity sector
description	The COVID-19 pandemic has affected the economy of Tunisia, like that of many other countries. With electricity consumption dropping, consumption patterns changing, international fuel prices oscillating and uncertainty raging, the pandemic has affected not least the planning of investments in electricity supply. Although the government seems unlikely to revise the decarbonisation targets downwards, questions arise on whether the investments planned before the pandemic are still relevant in the changed global landscape and what effects they may have on the country's economy.In this study, we analyse post-pandemic scenarios for the electricity supply system of Tunisia with an energy-economy modelling framework, soft-linking the energy modelling tool OSeMOSYS and an open source Input-Output model. We extract insights on the cost-competitiveness of different – previously planned and new – electricity supply solutions and their impacts on job creation and loss in the entire economy. We find that renewable solutions based on solar photovoltaic remain highly competitive with gas-fired generation under different projections of gas prices and that several low-carbon and energy efficiency solutions have high potential for job creation. We also find that more ambitious investments in renewables and energy efficiency are needed to take Tunisia towards the path of deep decarbonisation.
format	article
author	Francesco Gardumi Nesrine Mhiri Mark Howells Franziska Bock Thameur Necibi Chiheb Bouden
author_facet	Francesco Gardumi Nesrine Mhiri Mark Howells Franziska Bock Thameur Necibi Chiheb Bouden
author_sort	Francesco Gardumi
title	A scenario analysis of potential long-term impacts of COVID-19 on the Tunisian electricity sector
title_short	A scenario analysis of potential long-term impacts of COVID-19 on the Tunisian electricity sector
title_full	A scenario analysis of potential long-term impacts of COVID-19 on the Tunisian electricity sector
title_fullStr	A scenario analysis of potential long-term impacts of COVID-19 on the Tunisian electricity sector
title_full_unstemmed	A scenario analysis of potential long-term impacts of COVID-19 on the Tunisian electricity sector
title_sort	scenario analysis of potential long-term impacts of covid-19 on the tunisian electricity sector
publisher	Elsevier
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/f8cdc15534a54f8bba43066647169e3b
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A scenario analysis of potential long-term impacts of COVID-19 on the Tunisian electricity sector

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