Spatiotemporal Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Incorporating the Effects of Heavy Rainfall: A Case Study of the Heavy Rainfall in August 2021 in Kitakyushu, Fukuoka, Japan

Landslide represents an increasing menace causing huge casualties and economic losses, and rainfall is a predominant factor inducing landslides. Landslide susceptibility assessment (LSA) is a commonly used and effective method to prevent landslide risk, however, the LSA does not analyze the impact o...

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Autores principales: Jiaying Li, Weidong Wang, Yange Li, Zheng Han, Guangqi Chen
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Publicado: MDPI AG 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:f901648800b54d5bad490f5738d4e77d2021-11-25T19:16:46ZSpatiotemporal Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Incorporating the Effects of Heavy Rainfall: A Case Study of the Heavy Rainfall in August 2021 in Kitakyushu, Fukuoka, Japan10.3390/w132233122073-4441https://doaj.org/article/f901648800b54d5bad490f5738d4e77d2021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/22/3312https://doaj.org/toc/2073-4441Landslide represents an increasing menace causing huge casualties and economic losses, and rainfall is a predominant factor inducing landslides. Landslide susceptibility assessment (LSA) is a commonly used and effective method to prevent landslide risk, however, the LSA does not analyze the impact of the rainfall on landslides which is significant and non-negligible. Therefore, the spatiotemporal LSA considering the inducing effect of rainfall is proposed to improve accuracy and applicability. In this study, the influencing factors are selected using the chi-square test, out-of-bag error and multicollinearity test. The spatial LSA are thus obtained using the random forest (RF) model, deep belief networks model and support vector machine, and compared using receiver operating characteristic curve and seed cell area index to determine the optimal assessment result. According to the heavy rainfall characteristics in the study area, the rainfall period is divided into four stages, and the effective rainfall model is employed to generate the rainfall impact (RI) maps of the four stages. The spatiotemporal LSAs are obtained by coupling the optimal spatial LSA and various RI maps and verified using the landslide warning map. The results demonstrate that the optimal spatiotemporal LSA is obtained using the spatial LSA of the RF model and temporal LSA of the rainfall data in the peak stage. It can predict the area where rainfall-induced landslides are likely to occur and prevent landslide risk.Jiaying LiWeidong WangYange LiZheng HanGuangqi ChenMDPI AGarticlelandslide susceptibilityRF modelDBN modelSVM modeleffective rainfall modelspatiotemporal LSAHydraulic engineeringTC1-978Water supply for domestic and industrial purposesTD201-500ENWater, Vol 13, Iss 3312, p 3312 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic landslide susceptibility
RF model
DBN model
SVM model
effective rainfall model
spatiotemporal LSA
Hydraulic engineering
TC1-978
Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes
TD201-500
spellingShingle landslide susceptibility
RF model
DBN model
SVM model
effective rainfall model
spatiotemporal LSA
Hydraulic engineering
TC1-978
Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes
TD201-500
Jiaying Li
Weidong Wang
Yange Li
Zheng Han
Guangqi Chen
Spatiotemporal Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Incorporating the Effects of Heavy Rainfall: A Case Study of the Heavy Rainfall in August 2021 in Kitakyushu, Fukuoka, Japan
description Landslide represents an increasing menace causing huge casualties and economic losses, and rainfall is a predominant factor inducing landslides. Landslide susceptibility assessment (LSA) is a commonly used and effective method to prevent landslide risk, however, the LSA does not analyze the impact of the rainfall on landslides which is significant and non-negligible. Therefore, the spatiotemporal LSA considering the inducing effect of rainfall is proposed to improve accuracy and applicability. In this study, the influencing factors are selected using the chi-square test, out-of-bag error and multicollinearity test. The spatial LSA are thus obtained using the random forest (RF) model, deep belief networks model and support vector machine, and compared using receiver operating characteristic curve and seed cell area index to determine the optimal assessment result. According to the heavy rainfall characteristics in the study area, the rainfall period is divided into four stages, and the effective rainfall model is employed to generate the rainfall impact (RI) maps of the four stages. The spatiotemporal LSAs are obtained by coupling the optimal spatial LSA and various RI maps and verified using the landslide warning map. The results demonstrate that the optimal spatiotemporal LSA is obtained using the spatial LSA of the RF model and temporal LSA of the rainfall data in the peak stage. It can predict the area where rainfall-induced landslides are likely to occur and prevent landslide risk.
format article
author Jiaying Li
Weidong Wang
Yange Li
Zheng Han
Guangqi Chen
author_facet Jiaying Li
Weidong Wang
Yange Li
Zheng Han
Guangqi Chen
author_sort Jiaying Li
title Spatiotemporal Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Incorporating the Effects of Heavy Rainfall: A Case Study of the Heavy Rainfall in August 2021 in Kitakyushu, Fukuoka, Japan
title_short Spatiotemporal Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Incorporating the Effects of Heavy Rainfall: A Case Study of the Heavy Rainfall in August 2021 in Kitakyushu, Fukuoka, Japan
title_full Spatiotemporal Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Incorporating the Effects of Heavy Rainfall: A Case Study of the Heavy Rainfall in August 2021 in Kitakyushu, Fukuoka, Japan
title_fullStr Spatiotemporal Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Incorporating the Effects of Heavy Rainfall: A Case Study of the Heavy Rainfall in August 2021 in Kitakyushu, Fukuoka, Japan
title_full_unstemmed Spatiotemporal Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Incorporating the Effects of Heavy Rainfall: A Case Study of the Heavy Rainfall in August 2021 in Kitakyushu, Fukuoka, Japan
title_sort spatiotemporal landslide susceptibility mapping incorporating the effects of heavy rainfall: a case study of the heavy rainfall in august 2021 in kitakyushu, fukuoka, japan
publisher MDPI AG
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/f901648800b54d5bad490f5738d4e77d
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