On Social Forecasts Reliability
An abundance of social forecasts poses as urgent the problem of their assessment as to plausibility and reliability, not waiting for the test of time. Such an assessment is composed not only of an expert judgement based upon the resources and facilities of the corresponding specialized science, but...
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North-West institute of management of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
2018
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oai:doaj.org-article:fa31ee72d83d451d99d70061b997a4c02021-11-12T10:46:01ZOn Social Forecasts Reliability1726-11391816-8590https://doaj.org/article/fa31ee72d83d451d99d70061b997a4c02018-04-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.acjournal.ru/jour/article/view/311https://doaj.org/toc/1726-1139https://doaj.org/toc/1816-8590An abundance of social forecasts poses as urgent the problem of their assessment as to plausibility and reliability, not waiting for the test of time. Such an assessment is composed not only of an expert judgement based upon the resources and facilities of the corresponding specialized science, but as well as of a well-grounded verdict of a metatheory of a specific branch of scientific knowledge. This metatheory includes world-outlook principles applied, methodological premises, the validity of general scientific methods used as well as logical conformity of the chosen procedures and scientific methodology of cognition. It is possible to make sufficiently reliable estimations of many social forecasts plausibility only on the basis of a metatheory alone.Guerman Grigoryevich PhilippovNorth-West institute of management of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration articlesocial forecastsocial forecasts reliabilityassessment of social forecasts reliabilityPolitical institutions and public administration (General)JF20-2112ENRUУправленческое консультирование, Vol 0, Iss 4, Pp 167-175 (2018) |
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DOAJ |
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DOAJ |
| language |
EN RU |
| topic |
social forecast social forecasts reliability assessment of social forecasts reliability Political institutions and public administration (General) JF20-2112 |
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social forecast social forecasts reliability assessment of social forecasts reliability Political institutions and public administration (General) JF20-2112 Guerman Grigoryevich Philippov On Social Forecasts Reliability |
| description |
An abundance of social forecasts poses as urgent the problem of their assessment as to plausibility and reliability, not waiting for the test of time. Such an assessment is composed not only of an expert judgement based upon the resources and facilities of the corresponding specialized science, but as well as of a well-grounded verdict of a metatheory of a specific branch of scientific knowledge. This metatheory includes world-outlook principles applied, methodological premises, the validity of general scientific methods used as well as logical conformity of the chosen procedures and scientific methodology of cognition. It is possible to make sufficiently reliable estimations of many social forecasts plausibility only on the basis of a metatheory alone. |
| format |
article |
| author |
Guerman Grigoryevich Philippov |
| author_facet |
Guerman Grigoryevich Philippov |
| author_sort |
Guerman Grigoryevich Philippov |
| title |
On Social Forecasts Reliability |
| title_short |
On Social Forecasts Reliability |
| title_full |
On Social Forecasts Reliability |
| title_fullStr |
On Social Forecasts Reliability |
| title_full_unstemmed |
On Social Forecasts Reliability |
| title_sort |
on social forecasts reliability |
| publisher |
North-West institute of management of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration |
| publishDate |
2018 |
| url |
https://doaj.org/article/fa31ee72d83d451d99d70061b997a4c0 |
| work_keys_str_mv |
AT guermangrigoryevichphilippov onsocialforecastsreliability |
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