HIV-Prevalence Mapping Using Small Area Estimation in Kenya, Tanzania, and Mozambique at the First Sub-National Level

Background: Local estimates of HIV-prevalence provide information that can be used to target interventions and consequently increase the efficiency of resources. This enhanced allocation can lead to better health outcomes, including the control of the disease spread, and for more people. Methods: In...

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Autor principal: Enrique M. Saldarriaga
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Publicado: Ubiquity Press 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/fa9fa13cf25e468fbf30b522af970f5c
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:fa9fa13cf25e468fbf30b522af970f5c2021-12-02T18:56:39ZHIV-Prevalence Mapping Using Small Area Estimation in Kenya, Tanzania, and Mozambique at the First Sub-National Level2214-999610.5334/aogh.3345https://doaj.org/article/fa9fa13cf25e468fbf30b522af970f5c2021-09-01T00:00:00Zhttps://annalsofglobalhealth.org/articles/3345https://doaj.org/toc/2214-9996Background: Local estimates of HIV-prevalence provide information that can be used to target interventions and consequently increase the efficiency of resources. This enhanced allocation can lead to better health outcomes, including the control of the disease spread, and for more people. Methods: In this study, we used the DHS data phase V to estimate HIV prevalence at the first-subnational level in Kenya, Tanzania, and Mozambique. We fitted the data to a spatial random effect intrinsic conditional autoregressive (ICAR) model to smooth the outcome. Further, we used a sampling specification from a multistage cluster design. Results: We found that Nyanza ('Pi' = 13.6%) and Nairobi ('Pi' = 7.1%) in Kenya, Iringa ('Pi' = 15.4%) and Mbeya ('Pi' = 9.3%) in Tanzania, and Gaza ('Pi' = 15.2%) and Maputo City ('Pi' = 12.9%) in Mozambique are the regions with the highest prevalence of HIV, within country. Our results are based on publicly available data that through statistically rigorous methods, allowed us to obtain an accurate visual representation of the HIV prevalence at a regional level. Conclusions: These results can help in identification and targeting of high-prevalent regions to increase the supply of healthcare services to reduce the spread of the disease and increase the health quality of people living with HIV.Enrique M. SaldarriagaUbiquity PressarticleInfectious and parasitic diseasesRC109-216Public aspects of medicineRA1-1270ENAnnals of Global Health, Vol 87, Iss 1 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Infectious and parasitic diseases
RC109-216
Public aspects of medicine
RA1-1270
spellingShingle Infectious and parasitic diseases
RC109-216
Public aspects of medicine
RA1-1270
Enrique M. Saldarriaga
HIV-Prevalence Mapping Using Small Area Estimation in Kenya, Tanzania, and Mozambique at the First Sub-National Level
description Background: Local estimates of HIV-prevalence provide information that can be used to target interventions and consequently increase the efficiency of resources. This enhanced allocation can lead to better health outcomes, including the control of the disease spread, and for more people. Methods: In this study, we used the DHS data phase V to estimate HIV prevalence at the first-subnational level in Kenya, Tanzania, and Mozambique. We fitted the data to a spatial random effect intrinsic conditional autoregressive (ICAR) model to smooth the outcome. Further, we used a sampling specification from a multistage cluster design. Results: We found that Nyanza ('Pi' = 13.6%) and Nairobi ('Pi' = 7.1%) in Kenya, Iringa ('Pi' = 15.4%) and Mbeya ('Pi' = 9.3%) in Tanzania, and Gaza ('Pi' = 15.2%) and Maputo City ('Pi' = 12.9%) in Mozambique are the regions with the highest prevalence of HIV, within country. Our results are based on publicly available data that through statistically rigorous methods, allowed us to obtain an accurate visual representation of the HIV prevalence at a regional level. Conclusions: These results can help in identification and targeting of high-prevalent regions to increase the supply of healthcare services to reduce the spread of the disease and increase the health quality of people living with HIV.
format article
author Enrique M. Saldarriaga
author_facet Enrique M. Saldarriaga
author_sort Enrique M. Saldarriaga
title HIV-Prevalence Mapping Using Small Area Estimation in Kenya, Tanzania, and Mozambique at the First Sub-National Level
title_short HIV-Prevalence Mapping Using Small Area Estimation in Kenya, Tanzania, and Mozambique at the First Sub-National Level
title_full HIV-Prevalence Mapping Using Small Area Estimation in Kenya, Tanzania, and Mozambique at the First Sub-National Level
title_fullStr HIV-Prevalence Mapping Using Small Area Estimation in Kenya, Tanzania, and Mozambique at the First Sub-National Level
title_full_unstemmed HIV-Prevalence Mapping Using Small Area Estimation in Kenya, Tanzania, and Mozambique at the First Sub-National Level
title_sort hiv-prevalence mapping using small area estimation in kenya, tanzania, and mozambique at the first sub-national level
publisher Ubiquity Press
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/fa9fa13cf25e468fbf30b522af970f5c
work_keys_str_mv AT enriquemsaldarriaga hivprevalencemappingusingsmallareaestimationinkenyatanzaniaandmozambiqueatthefirstsubnationallevel
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