Granger causality analysis of deviation in total electron content during geomagnetic storms in the equatorial region

Abstract The total electron content (TEC) in the ionosphere widely influences Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) especially for critical applications by inducing localized positional errors in the GNSS measurements. These errors can be mitigated by measuring TEC from stations located around...

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Autores principales: Sumitra Iyer, Alka Mahajan
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Publicado: SpringerOpen 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:fb62484124fa4e459954574ae6b12e3b2021-11-14T12:16:14ZGranger causality analysis of deviation in total electron content during geomagnetic storms in the equatorial region10.1186/s44147-021-00007-x1110-19032536-9512https://doaj.org/article/fb62484124fa4e459954574ae6b12e3b2021-08-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1186/s44147-021-00007-xhttps://doaj.org/toc/1110-1903https://doaj.org/toc/2536-9512Abstract The total electron content (TEC) in the ionosphere widely influences Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) especially for critical applications by inducing localized positional errors in the GNSS measurements. These errors can be mitigated by measuring TEC from stations located around the world at various temporal and spatial scales and using them for advanced forecasting of TEC. The TEC can be used as a tool in understanding space weather phenomena such as geomagnetic storms which cause disruptions in the ionosphere. This paper examines the causal relationship between perturbations in TEC caused by geomagnetic storms. The causality between two geomagnetic indices auroral electrojet (AE) and disturbed storm index (Dst) and TEC is investigated using Granger causality at two low-latitude stations, Bangalore and Hyderabad. The outcomes of this study strengthen the regional understanding and modeling of ionospheric parameters which can contribute towards the global efforts for modeling and reducing the ionospheric effects on trans-ionospheric communication and navigation. The causal inferences combined with the data-driven model can be useful in identifying the correct and informative physical quantities to improve the forecasting models.Sumitra IyerAlka MahajanSpringerOpenarticleGeomagnetic stormIonosphereTotal electron contentGlobal Positioning SystemGranger causalityCointegrationEngineering (General). Civil engineering (General)TA1-2040ENJournal of Engineering and Applied Science, Vol 68, Iss 1, Pp 1-25 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Geomagnetic storm
Ionosphere
Total electron content
Global Positioning System
Granger causality
Cointegration
Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
TA1-2040
spellingShingle Geomagnetic storm
Ionosphere
Total electron content
Global Positioning System
Granger causality
Cointegration
Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
TA1-2040
Sumitra Iyer
Alka Mahajan
Granger causality analysis of deviation in total electron content during geomagnetic storms in the equatorial region
description Abstract The total electron content (TEC) in the ionosphere widely influences Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) especially for critical applications by inducing localized positional errors in the GNSS measurements. These errors can be mitigated by measuring TEC from stations located around the world at various temporal and spatial scales and using them for advanced forecasting of TEC. The TEC can be used as a tool in understanding space weather phenomena such as geomagnetic storms which cause disruptions in the ionosphere. This paper examines the causal relationship between perturbations in TEC caused by geomagnetic storms. The causality between two geomagnetic indices auroral electrojet (AE) and disturbed storm index (Dst) and TEC is investigated using Granger causality at two low-latitude stations, Bangalore and Hyderabad. The outcomes of this study strengthen the regional understanding and modeling of ionospheric parameters which can contribute towards the global efforts for modeling and reducing the ionospheric effects on trans-ionospheric communication and navigation. The causal inferences combined with the data-driven model can be useful in identifying the correct and informative physical quantities to improve the forecasting models.
format article
author Sumitra Iyer
Alka Mahajan
author_facet Sumitra Iyer
Alka Mahajan
author_sort Sumitra Iyer
title Granger causality analysis of deviation in total electron content during geomagnetic storms in the equatorial region
title_short Granger causality analysis of deviation in total electron content during geomagnetic storms in the equatorial region
title_full Granger causality analysis of deviation in total electron content during geomagnetic storms in the equatorial region
title_fullStr Granger causality analysis of deviation in total electron content during geomagnetic storms in the equatorial region
title_full_unstemmed Granger causality analysis of deviation in total electron content during geomagnetic storms in the equatorial region
title_sort granger causality analysis of deviation in total electron content during geomagnetic storms in the equatorial region
publisher SpringerOpen
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/fb62484124fa4e459954574ae6b12e3b
work_keys_str_mv AT sumitraiyer grangercausalityanalysisofdeviationintotalelectroncontentduringgeomagneticstormsintheequatorialregion
AT alkamahajan grangercausalityanalysisofdeviationintotalelectroncontentduringgeomagneticstormsintheequatorialregion
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