Influential factors and spatial–temporal distribution of tuberculosis in mainland China

Abstract Tuberculosis (TB) is an infectious disease that threatens human safety. Mainland China is an area with a high incidence of tuberculosis, and the task of tuberculosis prevention and treatment is arduous. This paper aims to study the impact of seven influencing factors and spatial–temporal di...

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Autores principales:	Siyu Bie, Xijian Hu, Huiguo Zhang, Kai Wang, Zhihui Dou
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/fbdbdb44393f43bba8392dfad681fec9
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:fbdbdb44393f43bba8392dfad681fec92021-12-02T16:30:58ZInfluential factors and spatial–temporal distribution of tuberculosis in mainland China10.1038/s41598-021-85781-72045-2322https://doaj.org/article/fbdbdb44393f43bba8392dfad681fec92021-03-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-85781-7https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Tuberculosis (TB) is an infectious disease that threatens human safety. Mainland China is an area with a high incidence of tuberculosis, and the task of tuberculosis prevention and treatment is arduous. This paper aims to study the impact of seven influencing factors and spatial–temporal distribution of the relative risk (RR) of tuberculosis in mainland China using the spatial–temporal distribution model and INLA algorithm. The relative risks and confidence intervals (CI) corresponding to average relative humidity, monthly average precipitation, monthly average sunshine duration and monthly per capita GDP were 1.018 (95% CI 1.001–1.034), 1.014 (95% CI 1.006–1.023), 1.026 (95% CI 1.014–1.039) and 1.025 (95% CI 1.011–1.040). The relative risk for average temperature and pressure were 0.956 (95% CI 0.942–0.969) and 0.767 (95% CI 0.664–0.875). Spatially, the two provinces with the highest relative risks are Xinjiang and Guizhou, and the remaining provinces with higher relative risks were mostly concentrated in the Northwest and South China regions. Temporally, the relative risk decreased year by year from 2013 to 2015. It was higher from February to May each year and was most significant in March. It decreased from June to December. Average relative humidity, monthly average precipitation, monthly average sunshine duration and monthly per capita GDP had positive effects on the relative risk of tuberculosis. The average temperature and pressure had negative effects. The average wind speed had no significant effect. Mainland China should adapt measures to local conditions and develop tuberculosis prevention and control strategies based on the characteristics of different regions and time.Siyu BieXijian HuHuiguo ZhangKai WangZhihui DouNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-8 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Siyu Bie Xijian Hu Huiguo Zhang Kai Wang Zhihui Dou Influential factors and spatial–temporal distribution of tuberculosis in mainland China
description	Abstract Tuberculosis (TB) is an infectious disease that threatens human safety. Mainland China is an area with a high incidence of tuberculosis, and the task of tuberculosis prevention and treatment is arduous. This paper aims to study the impact of seven influencing factors and spatial–temporal distribution of the relative risk (RR) of tuberculosis in mainland China using the spatial–temporal distribution model and INLA algorithm. The relative risks and confidence intervals (CI) corresponding to average relative humidity, monthly average precipitation, monthly average sunshine duration and monthly per capita GDP were 1.018 (95% CI 1.001–1.034), 1.014 (95% CI 1.006–1.023), 1.026 (95% CI 1.014–1.039) and 1.025 (95% CI 1.011–1.040). The relative risk for average temperature and pressure were 0.956 (95% CI 0.942–0.969) and 0.767 (95% CI 0.664–0.875). Spatially, the two provinces with the highest relative risks are Xinjiang and Guizhou, and the remaining provinces with higher relative risks were mostly concentrated in the Northwest and South China regions. Temporally, the relative risk decreased year by year from 2013 to 2015. It was higher from February to May each year and was most significant in March. It decreased from June to December. Average relative humidity, monthly average precipitation, monthly average sunshine duration and monthly per capita GDP had positive effects on the relative risk of tuberculosis. The average temperature and pressure had negative effects. The average wind speed had no significant effect. Mainland China should adapt measures to local conditions and develop tuberculosis prevention and control strategies based on the characteristics of different regions and time.
format	article
author	Siyu Bie Xijian Hu Huiguo Zhang Kai Wang Zhihui Dou
author_facet	Siyu Bie Xijian Hu Huiguo Zhang Kai Wang Zhihui Dou
author_sort	Siyu Bie
title	Influential factors and spatial–temporal distribution of tuberculosis in mainland China
title_short	Influential factors and spatial–temporal distribution of tuberculosis in mainland China
title_full	Influential factors and spatial–temporal distribution of tuberculosis in mainland China
title_fullStr	Influential factors and spatial–temporal distribution of tuberculosis in mainland China
title_full_unstemmed	Influential factors and spatial–temporal distribution of tuberculosis in mainland China
title_sort	influential factors and spatial–temporal distribution of tuberculosis in mainland china
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/fbdbdb44393f43bba8392dfad681fec9
work_keys_str_mv	AT siyubie influentialfactorsandspatialtemporaldistributionoftuberculosisinmainlandchina AT xijianhu influentialfactorsandspatialtemporaldistributionoftuberculosisinmainlandchina AT huiguozhang influentialfactorsandspatialtemporaldistributionoftuberculosisinmainlandchina AT kaiwang influentialfactorsandspatialtemporaldistributionoftuberculosisinmainlandchina AT zhihuidou influentialfactorsandspatialtemporaldistributionoftuberculosisinmainlandchina
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Influential factors and spatial–temporal distribution of tuberculosis in mainland China

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