Modeling the implementation of NDCs and the scenarios below 2°C for the Belt and Road countries

In order to understand better on medium-and long-term climate change issues in international cooperation of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), this paper is meant to assess the implementation of National Determined Contributions (NDCs) of the BRI countries and the emission constraints under the Par...

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Autores principales:	Chai Qimin, Fu Sha, Wen Xinyuan
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Taylor & Francis Group 2020
Materias:	belt and road initiative national determined contributions paris agreement 2 degree celsius integrated assessment model Ecology QH540-549.5
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/fbef995dcf7442dcbc5be1167653bc86
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:fbef995dcf7442dcbc5be1167653bc862021-12-02T17:55:40ZModeling the implementation of NDCs and the scenarios below 2°C for the Belt and Road countries2332-887810.1080/20964129.2020.1766998https://doaj.org/article/fbef995dcf7442dcbc5be1167653bc862020-12-01T00:00:00Zhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1080/20964129.2020.1766998https://doaj.org/toc/2332-8878In order to understand better on medium-and long-term climate change issues in international cooperation of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), this paper is meant to assess the implementation of National Determined Contributions (NDCs) of the BRI countries and the emission constraints under the Paris Agreement to hold the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels, based on the Belt and Road Integrated Assessment Model (BRIAM) and the best available data. The results show that the BRI countries are expected to collectively reduce about 3.2 billion tons of CO2 emissions with the implementation of their NDCs by 2030. In order to achieve the global goal of 2°C, without appropriate mitigation burden sharing and enhanced climate finance support, the BRI countries will face big challenges to bridge the emission gaps. The investment in clean energy and related new infrastructures in BRI will rise sharply to above US$100 trillion by the end of this century accordingly with the increase in carbon price, which will also eventually have a significant impact on the price of electricity and oversea freight transport in a connecting world.Chai QiminFu ShaWen XinyuanTaylor & Francis Grouparticlebelt and road initiativenational determined contributionsparis agreement2 degree celsiusintegrated assessment modelEcologyQH540-549.5ENEcosystem Health and Sustainability, Vol 6, Iss 1 (2020)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	belt and road initiative national determined contributions paris agreement 2 degree celsius integrated assessment model Ecology QH540-549.5
spellingShingle	belt and road initiative national determined contributions paris agreement 2 degree celsius integrated assessment model Ecology QH540-549.5 Chai Qimin Fu Sha Wen Xinyuan Modeling the implementation of NDCs and the scenarios below 2°C for the Belt and Road countries
description	In order to understand better on medium-and long-term climate change issues in international cooperation of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), this paper is meant to assess the implementation of National Determined Contributions (NDCs) of the BRI countries and the emission constraints under the Paris Agreement to hold the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels, based on the Belt and Road Integrated Assessment Model (BRIAM) and the best available data. The results show that the BRI countries are expected to collectively reduce about 3.2 billion tons of CO2 emissions with the implementation of their NDCs by 2030. In order to achieve the global goal of 2°C, without appropriate mitigation burden sharing and enhanced climate finance support, the BRI countries will face big challenges to bridge the emission gaps. The investment in clean energy and related new infrastructures in BRI will rise sharply to above US$100 trillion by the end of this century accordingly with the increase in carbon price, which will also eventually have a significant impact on the price of electricity and oversea freight transport in a connecting world.
format	article
author	Chai Qimin Fu Sha Wen Xinyuan
author_facet	Chai Qimin Fu Sha Wen Xinyuan
author_sort	Chai Qimin
title	Modeling the implementation of NDCs and the scenarios below 2°C for the Belt and Road countries
title_short	Modeling the implementation of NDCs and the scenarios below 2°C for the Belt and Road countries
title_full	Modeling the implementation of NDCs and the scenarios below 2°C for the Belt and Road countries
title_fullStr	Modeling the implementation of NDCs and the scenarios below 2°C for the Belt and Road countries
title_full_unstemmed	Modeling the implementation of NDCs and the scenarios below 2°C for the Belt and Road countries
title_sort	modeling the implementation of ndcs and the scenarios below 2°c for the belt and road countries
publisher	Taylor & Francis Group
publishDate	2020
url	https://doaj.org/article/fbef995dcf7442dcbc5be1167653bc86
work_keys_str_mv	AT chaiqimin modelingtheimplementationofndcsandthescenariosbelow2cforthebeltandroadcountries AT fusha modelingtheimplementationofndcsandthescenariosbelow2cforthebeltandroadcountries AT wenxinyuan modelingtheimplementationofndcsandthescenariosbelow2cforthebeltandroadcountries
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Modeling the implementation of NDCs and the scenarios below 2°C for the Belt and Road countries

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