EVALUATION OF WORLD ENERGY SCENARIOS

What are the future global systems developments? It remains one the biggest unknown, especially in terms of energy, as it is globally considered as both cause and solution for multiple problems of the humanity. Therefore, nowadays a number of experts are exploring driving forces, critical uncertaint...

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Autores principales:	V. I. Salygin, I. I. Litvinyuk
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN RU
Publicado:	MGIMO University Press 2016
Materias:	modelling forecasting energy consumption scenarios fueland energy complex sustainable development energy energy security energy mix energy resources International relations JZ2-6530
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/fcc6ae3e45e545d59b2740b7fe77476d
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id	oai:doaj.org-article:fcc6ae3e45e545d59b2740b7fe77476d
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:fcc6ae3e45e545d59b2740b7fe77476d2021-11-23T14:51:01ZEVALUATION OF WORLD ENERGY SCENARIOS2071-81602541-909910.24833/2071-8160-2016-2-47-197-206https://doaj.org/article/fcc6ae3e45e545d59b2740b7fe77476d2016-04-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/jour/article/view/525https://doaj.org/toc/2071-8160https://doaj.org/toc/2541-9099What are the future global systems developments? It remains one the biggest unknown, especially in terms of energy, as it is globally considered as both cause and solution for multiple problems of the humanity. Therefore, nowadays a number of experts are exploring driving forces, critical uncertainties and unknowns that have an influence on future energy systems development. This article aims at providing a brief investigation of existing world energy scenarios that cover the range of plausible outcomes of future global energy system development. Those are represented by International Energy Agency, World Energy Council, Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, and others. The analysis covers both qualitative and quantitative indicators of the world energy system development that provide for future worldview formation. The article looks into various approaches to energy system development forecasting and scenario building employed by the abovementioned organisations, and discovers the motives for making assumptions as the means of attaining internal targets and the consequences of the distinction of individual attitude to the development trends within the expert community. The current assessment implies grouping of the most advanced of the existing energy system development models, identification their advantages and disadvantages, and shows differences in modeling approaches used in a number of specialized international organisations.V. I. SalyginI. I. LitvinyukMGIMO University Pressarticlemodellingforecastingenergy consumptionscenariosfueland energy complexsustainable developmentenergyenergy securityenergy mixenergy resourcesInternational relationsJZ2-6530ENRUVestnik MGIMO-Universiteta, Vol 0, Iss 2(47), Pp 197-206 (2016)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN RU
topic	modelling forecasting energy consumption scenarios fueland energy complex sustainable development energy energy security energy mix energy resources International relations JZ2-6530
spellingShingle	modelling forecasting energy consumption scenarios fueland energy complex sustainable development energy energy security energy mix energy resources International relations JZ2-6530 V. I. Salygin I. I. Litvinyuk EVALUATION OF WORLD ENERGY SCENARIOS
description	What are the future global systems developments? It remains one the biggest unknown, especially in terms of energy, as it is globally considered as both cause and solution for multiple problems of the humanity. Therefore, nowadays a number of experts are exploring driving forces, critical uncertainties and unknowns that have an influence on future energy systems development. This article aims at providing a brief investigation of existing world energy scenarios that cover the range of plausible outcomes of future global energy system development. Those are represented by International Energy Agency, World Energy Council, Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, and others. The analysis covers both qualitative and quantitative indicators of the world energy system development that provide for future worldview formation. The article looks into various approaches to energy system development forecasting and scenario building employed by the abovementioned organisations, and discovers the motives for making assumptions as the means of attaining internal targets and the consequences of the distinction of individual attitude to the development trends within the expert community. The current assessment implies grouping of the most advanced of the existing energy system development models, identification their advantages and disadvantages, and shows differences in modeling approaches used in a number of specialized international organisations.
format	article
author	V. I. Salygin I. I. Litvinyuk
author_facet	V. I. Salygin I. I. Litvinyuk
author_sort	V. I. Salygin
title	EVALUATION OF WORLD ENERGY SCENARIOS
title_short	EVALUATION OF WORLD ENERGY SCENARIOS
title_full	EVALUATION OF WORLD ENERGY SCENARIOS
title_fullStr	EVALUATION OF WORLD ENERGY SCENARIOS
title_full_unstemmed	EVALUATION OF WORLD ENERGY SCENARIOS
title_sort	evaluation of world energy scenarios
publisher	MGIMO University Press
publishDate	2016
url	https://doaj.org/article/fcc6ae3e45e545d59b2740b7fe77476d
work_keys_str_mv	AT visalygin evaluationofworldenergyscenarios AT iilitvinyuk evaluationofworldenergyscenarios
_version_	1718416314237714432

EVALUATION OF WORLD ENERGY SCENARIOS

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