Time Series Analysis of Total Suspended Solids Concentrations in Euphrates River in Al-Nasria Province

The monthly time series of the Total Suspended Solids (TSS) concentrations in Euphrates River at Nasria was analyzed as a time series. The data used for the analysis was the monthly series during (1977-2000).The series was tested for nonhomogenity and found to be nonhomogeneous. A significant positi...

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Autores principales: Ass.Lecturer. Tariq J.Al-Mosewi, Prof. Dr. Rafa Al-Suhaili
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Al-Khwarizmi College of Engineering – University of Baghdad 2008
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/fcebe1ef72b4470abe9f11b7e78ce696
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:fcebe1ef72b4470abe9f11b7e78ce6962021-12-02T02:42:17ZTime Series Analysis of Total Suspended Solids Concentrations in Euphrates River in Al-Nasria Province1818-1171https://doaj.org/article/fcebe1ef72b4470abe9f11b7e78ce6962008-01-01T00:00:00Zhttp://www.iasj.net/iasj?func=fulltext&aId=2297https://doaj.org/toc/1818-1171The monthly time series of the Total Suspended Solids (TSS) concentrations in Euphrates River at Nasria was analyzed as a time series. The data used for the analysis was the monthly series during (1977-2000).The series was tested for nonhomogenity and found to be nonhomogeneous. A significant positive jump was observed after 1988. This nonhomogenity was removed using a method suggested by Yevichevich (7). The homogeneous series was then normalized using Box and Cox (2) transformation. The periodic component of the series was fitted using harmonic analyses, and removed from the series to obtain the dependent stochastic component. This component was then modeled using first order autoregressive model (Markovian chain). The above analysis was conducted using the data for the period (1977-1997), the remaining 3-years (1998-2000) of the observed data was left for the verification of the model. The observed model was used to generate future series. Those series were compared with the observed series using t-test. The comparison indicates the capability of the model to produce acceptable future data. Ass.Lecturer. Tariq J.Al-MosewiProf. Dr. Rafa Al-SuhailiAl-Khwarizmi College of Engineering – University of BaghdadarticleTotal suspended solidsnonhomogeneousperiodic componentand dependent stochastic.Chemical engineeringTP155-156Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)TA1-2040ENAl-Khawarizmi Engineering Journal, Vol 4, Iss 2, Pp 27-36 (2008)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Total suspended solids
nonhomogeneous
periodic component
and dependent stochastic.
Chemical engineering
TP155-156
Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
TA1-2040
spellingShingle Total suspended solids
nonhomogeneous
periodic component
and dependent stochastic.
Chemical engineering
TP155-156
Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
TA1-2040
Ass.Lecturer. Tariq J.Al-Mosewi
Prof. Dr. Rafa Al-Suhaili
Time Series Analysis of Total Suspended Solids Concentrations in Euphrates River in Al-Nasria Province
description The monthly time series of the Total Suspended Solids (TSS) concentrations in Euphrates River at Nasria was analyzed as a time series. The data used for the analysis was the monthly series during (1977-2000).The series was tested for nonhomogenity and found to be nonhomogeneous. A significant positive jump was observed after 1988. This nonhomogenity was removed using a method suggested by Yevichevich (7). The homogeneous series was then normalized using Box and Cox (2) transformation. The periodic component of the series was fitted using harmonic analyses, and removed from the series to obtain the dependent stochastic component. This component was then modeled using first order autoregressive model (Markovian chain). The above analysis was conducted using the data for the period (1977-1997), the remaining 3-years (1998-2000) of the observed data was left for the verification of the model. The observed model was used to generate future series. Those series were compared with the observed series using t-test. The comparison indicates the capability of the model to produce acceptable future data.
format article
author Ass.Lecturer. Tariq J.Al-Mosewi
Prof. Dr. Rafa Al-Suhaili
author_facet Ass.Lecturer. Tariq J.Al-Mosewi
Prof. Dr. Rafa Al-Suhaili
author_sort Ass.Lecturer. Tariq J.Al-Mosewi
title Time Series Analysis of Total Suspended Solids Concentrations in Euphrates River in Al-Nasria Province
title_short Time Series Analysis of Total Suspended Solids Concentrations in Euphrates River in Al-Nasria Province
title_full Time Series Analysis of Total Suspended Solids Concentrations in Euphrates River in Al-Nasria Province
title_fullStr Time Series Analysis of Total Suspended Solids Concentrations in Euphrates River in Al-Nasria Province
title_full_unstemmed Time Series Analysis of Total Suspended Solids Concentrations in Euphrates River in Al-Nasria Province
title_sort time series analysis of total suspended solids concentrations in euphrates river in al-nasria province
publisher Al-Khwarizmi College of Engineering – University of Baghdad
publishDate 2008
url https://doaj.org/article/fcebe1ef72b4470abe9f11b7e78ce696
work_keys_str_mv AT asslecturertariqjalmosewi timeseriesanalysisoftotalsuspendedsolidsconcentrationsineuphratesriverinalnasriaprovince
AT profdrrafaalsuhaili timeseriesanalysisoftotalsuspendedsolidsconcentrationsineuphratesriverinalnasriaprovince
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