The cascading origin of the 2018 Kīlauea eruption and implications for future forecasting
Abstract The 2018 summit and flank eruption of Kīlauea Volcano was one of the largest volcanic events in Hawaiʻi in 200 years. Data suggest that a backup in the magma plumbing system at the long-lived Puʻu ʻŌʻō eruption site caused widespread pressurization in the volcano, driving magma into the low...
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Nature Portfolio
2020
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oai:doaj.org-article:fcfdb4b941df4db297c1f8dac87f6f6d2021-12-02T15:37:16ZThe cascading origin of the 2018 Kīlauea eruption and implications for future forecasting10.1038/s41467-020-19190-12041-1723https://doaj.org/article/fcfdb4b941df4db297c1f8dac87f6f6d2020-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-19190-1https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723Abstract The 2018 summit and flank eruption of Kīlauea Volcano was one of the largest volcanic events in Hawaiʻi in 200 years. Data suggest that a backup in the magma plumbing system at the long-lived Puʻu ʻŌʻō eruption site caused widespread pressurization in the volcano, driving magma into the lower flank. The eruption evolved, and its impact expanded, as a sequence of cascading events, allowing relatively minor changes at Puʻu ʻŌʻō to cause major destruction and historic changes across the volcano. Eruption forecasting is inherently challenging in cascading scenarios where magmatic systems may prime gradually and trigger on small events.M. R. PatrickB. F. HoughtonK. R. AndersonM. P. PolandE. Montgomery-BrownI. JohansonW. ThelenT. EliasNature PortfolioarticleScienceQENNature Communications, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-13 (2020) |
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Science Q M. R. Patrick B. F. Houghton K. R. Anderson M. P. Poland E. Montgomery-Brown I. Johanson W. Thelen T. Elias The cascading origin of the 2018 Kīlauea eruption and implications for future forecasting |
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Abstract The 2018 summit and flank eruption of Kīlauea Volcano was one of the largest volcanic events in Hawaiʻi in 200 years. Data suggest that a backup in the magma plumbing system at the long-lived Puʻu ʻŌʻō eruption site caused widespread pressurization in the volcano, driving magma into the lower flank. The eruption evolved, and its impact expanded, as a sequence of cascading events, allowing relatively minor changes at Puʻu ʻŌʻō to cause major destruction and historic changes across the volcano. Eruption forecasting is inherently challenging in cascading scenarios where magmatic systems may prime gradually and trigger on small events. |
format |
article |
author |
M. R. Patrick B. F. Houghton K. R. Anderson M. P. Poland E. Montgomery-Brown I. Johanson W. Thelen T. Elias |
author_facet |
M. R. Patrick B. F. Houghton K. R. Anderson M. P. Poland E. Montgomery-Brown I. Johanson W. Thelen T. Elias |
author_sort |
M. R. Patrick |
title |
The cascading origin of the 2018 Kīlauea eruption and implications for future forecasting |
title_short |
The cascading origin of the 2018 Kīlauea eruption and implications for future forecasting |
title_full |
The cascading origin of the 2018 Kīlauea eruption and implications for future forecasting |
title_fullStr |
The cascading origin of the 2018 Kīlauea eruption and implications for future forecasting |
title_full_unstemmed |
The cascading origin of the 2018 Kīlauea eruption and implications for future forecasting |
title_sort |
cascading origin of the 2018 kīlauea eruption and implications for future forecasting |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/fcfdb4b941df4db297c1f8dac87f6f6d |
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