Multihazard susceptibility assessment: A case study – Municipality of Štrpce (Southern Serbia)

The municipality of Štrpce (Southern Serbia) is an area located within Šar Mountain National Park, which is of great ecological importance. Due to the vicinity of settlements, it is necessary to analyze the terrain's susceptibility to natural hazards. The main goal of this research was to deter...

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Autores principales: Durlević Uroš, Novković Ivan, Lukić Tin, Valjarević Aleksandar, Samardžić Ivan, Krstić Filip, Batoćanin Natalija, Mijatov Maja, Ćurić Vladimir
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Publicado: De Gruyter 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/fd138381102c4e988f92cb8ed7fd3549
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:fd138381102c4e988f92cb8ed7fd35492021-12-05T14:10:49ZMultihazard susceptibility assessment: A case study – Municipality of Štrpce (Southern Serbia)2391-544710.1515/geo-2020-0314https://doaj.org/article/fd138381102c4e988f92cb8ed7fd35492021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1515/geo-2020-0314https://doaj.org/toc/2391-5447The municipality of Štrpce (Southern Serbia) is an area located within Šar Mountain National Park, which is of great ecological importance. Due to the vicinity of settlements, it is necessary to analyze the terrain's susceptibility to natural hazards. The main goal of this research was to determine locations that are highly vulnerable at times of natural hazards (such as earthquakes, erosion, torrential flooding, snow avalanches, and forest fires). The first step in this research was to analyze seismic hazards for a 475 years return period (VII–VIII MCS for the observed area), which was possible by means of Geographic Information Systems. The second step was to determine the intensity of erosion and total sediment production using the Erosion Potential Model. The third step was related to the analysis of the potential of torrential floods using the Flash Flood Potential Index. The Avalanches Potential Index method was used as the fourth step. The fifth step included the analysis of a terrain susceptibility to the occurrence of forest fires. Following the five criteria analysis, weight coefficients were assigned to each of the analyzed parameters by using the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), which provided results of the total susceptibility to natural hazards of the territory of Štrpce. Results indicated that over 45% of the municipality is highly or very highly susceptible to various natural hazards. This article represents a significant step toward a better understanding of natural hazards and it provides a unique knowledge basis for establishing the management and mitigation guidelines and measures, not only within the researched area but at regional and national levels as well.Durlević UrošNovković IvanLukić TinValjarević AleksandarSamardžić IvanKrstić FilipBatoćanin NatalijaMijatov MajaĆurić VladimirDe Gruyterarticlenatural hazardsahpgisremote sensingšar mountainGeologyQE1-996.5ENOpen Geosciences, Vol 13, Iss 1, Pp 1414-1431 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic natural hazards
ahp
gis
remote sensing
šar mountain
Geology
QE1-996.5
spellingShingle natural hazards
ahp
gis
remote sensing
šar mountain
Geology
QE1-996.5
Durlević Uroš
Novković Ivan
Lukić Tin
Valjarević Aleksandar
Samardžić Ivan
Krstić Filip
Batoćanin Natalija
Mijatov Maja
Ćurić Vladimir
Multihazard susceptibility assessment: A case study – Municipality of Štrpce (Southern Serbia)
description The municipality of Štrpce (Southern Serbia) is an area located within Šar Mountain National Park, which is of great ecological importance. Due to the vicinity of settlements, it is necessary to analyze the terrain's susceptibility to natural hazards. The main goal of this research was to determine locations that are highly vulnerable at times of natural hazards (such as earthquakes, erosion, torrential flooding, snow avalanches, and forest fires). The first step in this research was to analyze seismic hazards for a 475 years return period (VII–VIII MCS for the observed area), which was possible by means of Geographic Information Systems. The second step was to determine the intensity of erosion and total sediment production using the Erosion Potential Model. The third step was related to the analysis of the potential of torrential floods using the Flash Flood Potential Index. The Avalanches Potential Index method was used as the fourth step. The fifth step included the analysis of a terrain susceptibility to the occurrence of forest fires. Following the five criteria analysis, weight coefficients were assigned to each of the analyzed parameters by using the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), which provided results of the total susceptibility to natural hazards of the territory of Štrpce. Results indicated that over 45% of the municipality is highly or very highly susceptible to various natural hazards. This article represents a significant step toward a better understanding of natural hazards and it provides a unique knowledge basis for establishing the management and mitigation guidelines and measures, not only within the researched area but at regional and national levels as well.
format article
author Durlević Uroš
Novković Ivan
Lukić Tin
Valjarević Aleksandar
Samardžić Ivan
Krstić Filip
Batoćanin Natalija
Mijatov Maja
Ćurić Vladimir
author_facet Durlević Uroš
Novković Ivan
Lukić Tin
Valjarević Aleksandar
Samardžić Ivan
Krstić Filip
Batoćanin Natalija
Mijatov Maja
Ćurić Vladimir
author_sort Durlević Uroš
title Multihazard susceptibility assessment: A case study – Municipality of Štrpce (Southern Serbia)
title_short Multihazard susceptibility assessment: A case study – Municipality of Štrpce (Southern Serbia)
title_full Multihazard susceptibility assessment: A case study – Municipality of Štrpce (Southern Serbia)
title_fullStr Multihazard susceptibility assessment: A case study – Municipality of Štrpce (Southern Serbia)
title_full_unstemmed Multihazard susceptibility assessment: A case study – Municipality of Štrpce (Southern Serbia)
title_sort multihazard susceptibility assessment: a case study – municipality of štrpce (southern serbia)
publisher De Gruyter
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/fd138381102c4e988f92cb8ed7fd3549
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