An empirical analysis of long-term Brazilian interest rates.
This paper empirically models the dynamics of Brazilian government bond (BGB) yields based on monthly macroeconomic data, in the context of the evolution of the key macroeconomic variables in Brazil. The results show that the current short-term interest rate has a decisive influence on the long-term...
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Public Library of Science (PLoS)
2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:fdec82ddeb7f4e088a0fb6c19c9c75a12021-12-02T20:06:19ZAn empirical analysis of long-term Brazilian interest rates.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0257313https://doaj.org/article/fdec82ddeb7f4e088a0fb6c19c9c75a12021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0257313https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203This paper empirically models the dynamics of Brazilian government bond (BGB) yields based on monthly macroeconomic data, in the context of the evolution of the key macroeconomic variables in Brazil. The results show that the current short-term interest rate has a decisive influence on the long-term interest rate on BGBs, after controlling for various key macroeconomic variables, such as inflation and industrial production. These findings support John Maynard Keynes's claim that the central bank's actions influence the long-term interest rate on government bonds mainly through the current short-term interest rate. These findings have important policy implications for Brazil. This paper relates the findings of the estimated models to ongoing debates in fiscal and monetary policies.Tanweer AkramSyed Al-Helal UddinPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 9, p e0257313 (2021) |
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Medicine R Science Q Tanweer Akram Syed Al-Helal Uddin An empirical analysis of long-term Brazilian interest rates. |
description |
This paper empirically models the dynamics of Brazilian government bond (BGB) yields based on monthly macroeconomic data, in the context of the evolution of the key macroeconomic variables in Brazil. The results show that the current short-term interest rate has a decisive influence on the long-term interest rate on BGBs, after controlling for various key macroeconomic variables, such as inflation and industrial production. These findings support John Maynard Keynes's claim that the central bank's actions influence the long-term interest rate on government bonds mainly through the current short-term interest rate. These findings have important policy implications for Brazil. This paper relates the findings of the estimated models to ongoing debates in fiscal and monetary policies. |
format |
article |
author |
Tanweer Akram Syed Al-Helal Uddin |
author_facet |
Tanweer Akram Syed Al-Helal Uddin |
author_sort |
Tanweer Akram |
title |
An empirical analysis of long-term Brazilian interest rates. |
title_short |
An empirical analysis of long-term Brazilian interest rates. |
title_full |
An empirical analysis of long-term Brazilian interest rates. |
title_fullStr |
An empirical analysis of long-term Brazilian interest rates. |
title_full_unstemmed |
An empirical analysis of long-term Brazilian interest rates. |
title_sort |
empirical analysis of long-term brazilian interest rates. |
publisher |
Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/fdec82ddeb7f4e088a0fb6c19c9c75a1 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT tanweerakram anempiricalanalysisoflongtermbrazilianinterestrates AT syedalhelaluddin anempiricalanalysisoflongtermbrazilianinterestrates AT tanweerakram empiricalanalysisoflongtermbrazilianinterestrates AT syedalhelaluddin empiricalanalysisoflongtermbrazilianinterestrates |
_version_ |
1718375401192947712 |