Fluctuations in waist circumference increase diabetes risk: a 4-year cohort study in 61,587 older adults

Abstract Purpose To evaluate the effect of fluctuations in waist circumference (WC), weight, and body mass index (BMI) on the incidence of diabetes in older adults. Patients and methods A prospective cohort of 61,587 older adults (age, 60–96 years) who did not have diabetes at study initiation was e...

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Autores principales: Linna Wu, Hongyan Liu, Zhuang Cui, Fang Hou, Xiaowen Gong, Yourui Zhang, Chunlan Lu, Hao Liu, Pei Yu
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Publicado: BMC 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:fe12a7ed55d340df842ccb593419b51e2021-11-14T12:15:19ZFluctuations in waist circumference increase diabetes risk: a 4-year cohort study in 61,587 older adults10.1186/s12986-021-00627-31743-7075https://doaj.org/article/fe12a7ed55d340df842ccb593419b51e2021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1186/s12986-021-00627-3https://doaj.org/toc/1743-7075Abstract Purpose To evaluate the effect of fluctuations in waist circumference (WC), weight, and body mass index (BMI) on the incidence of diabetes in older adults. Patients and methods A prospective cohort of 61,587 older adults (age, 60–96 years) who did not have diabetes at study initiation was examined. Data on weight, BMI, and WC were collected, and participants were followed up until 31 December 2018. The main end point was new-onset diabetes. A Cox regression model was used to estimate the risk of diabetes (hazard ratios [HRs] and confidence intervals [CI]) in these participants. Results During a mean follow-up of 3.6 years, being overweight (HR [95% CI] 1.87 [1.62–2.17]), obesity (1.41 [1.26–1.59]), abdominal obesity (1.42 [1.28–1.58]), and obesity plus abdominal obesity at baseline (1.93 [1.66–2.25]) increased the risk of diabetes onset. Compared with older adults who “maintained normal WC”, those who “remained abdominally obese” (HR = 1.66), “became abdominally obese” (HR = 1.58), or “achieved normal WC” (HR = 1.36) were at a higher risk of diabetes onset, as well as those with an increase in WC > 3 cm or > 5% compared with the baseline level. Weight gain or loss > 6 kg or weight gain > 5%, increase or decrease in BMI > 2 kg/m2, or an increase in BMI > 10% were associated with a higher diabetes risk. The diabetes risk was reduced by 19% in overweight older adults who exercised daily. Conclusion For older adults, WC, BMI, and healthy weight maintenance reduce the diabetes risk. The findings may provide evidence for developing guidelines of proper weight and WC control for older adults.Linna WuHongyan LiuZhuang CuiFang HouXiaowen GongYourui ZhangChunlan LuHao LiuPei YuBMCarticleFluctuationsWCOlder adultsDiabetesNutrition. Foods and food supplyTX341-641Nutritional diseases. Deficiency diseasesRC620-627ENNutrition & Metabolism, Vol 18, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Fluctuations
WC
Older adults
Diabetes
Nutrition. Foods and food supply
TX341-641
Nutritional diseases. Deficiency diseases
RC620-627
spellingShingle Fluctuations
WC
Older adults
Diabetes
Nutrition. Foods and food supply
TX341-641
Nutritional diseases. Deficiency diseases
RC620-627
Linna Wu
Hongyan Liu
Zhuang Cui
Fang Hou
Xiaowen Gong
Yourui Zhang
Chunlan Lu
Hao Liu
Pei Yu
Fluctuations in waist circumference increase diabetes risk: a 4-year cohort study in 61,587 older adults
description Abstract Purpose To evaluate the effect of fluctuations in waist circumference (WC), weight, and body mass index (BMI) on the incidence of diabetes in older adults. Patients and methods A prospective cohort of 61,587 older adults (age, 60–96 years) who did not have diabetes at study initiation was examined. Data on weight, BMI, and WC were collected, and participants were followed up until 31 December 2018. The main end point was new-onset diabetes. A Cox regression model was used to estimate the risk of diabetes (hazard ratios [HRs] and confidence intervals [CI]) in these participants. Results During a mean follow-up of 3.6 years, being overweight (HR [95% CI] 1.87 [1.62–2.17]), obesity (1.41 [1.26–1.59]), abdominal obesity (1.42 [1.28–1.58]), and obesity plus abdominal obesity at baseline (1.93 [1.66–2.25]) increased the risk of diabetes onset. Compared with older adults who “maintained normal WC”, those who “remained abdominally obese” (HR = 1.66), “became abdominally obese” (HR = 1.58), or “achieved normal WC” (HR = 1.36) were at a higher risk of diabetes onset, as well as those with an increase in WC > 3 cm or > 5% compared with the baseline level. Weight gain or loss > 6 kg or weight gain > 5%, increase or decrease in BMI > 2 kg/m2, or an increase in BMI > 10% were associated with a higher diabetes risk. The diabetes risk was reduced by 19% in overweight older adults who exercised daily. Conclusion For older adults, WC, BMI, and healthy weight maintenance reduce the diabetes risk. The findings may provide evidence for developing guidelines of proper weight and WC control for older adults.
format article
author Linna Wu
Hongyan Liu
Zhuang Cui
Fang Hou
Xiaowen Gong
Yourui Zhang
Chunlan Lu
Hao Liu
Pei Yu
author_facet Linna Wu
Hongyan Liu
Zhuang Cui
Fang Hou
Xiaowen Gong
Yourui Zhang
Chunlan Lu
Hao Liu
Pei Yu
author_sort Linna Wu
title Fluctuations in waist circumference increase diabetes risk: a 4-year cohort study in 61,587 older adults
title_short Fluctuations in waist circumference increase diabetes risk: a 4-year cohort study in 61,587 older adults
title_full Fluctuations in waist circumference increase diabetes risk: a 4-year cohort study in 61,587 older adults
title_fullStr Fluctuations in waist circumference increase diabetes risk: a 4-year cohort study in 61,587 older adults
title_full_unstemmed Fluctuations in waist circumference increase diabetes risk: a 4-year cohort study in 61,587 older adults
title_sort fluctuations in waist circumference increase diabetes risk: a 4-year cohort study in 61,587 older adults
publisher BMC
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/fe12a7ed55d340df842ccb593419b51e
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