A viral load-based model for epidemic spread on spatial networks
In this paper, we propose a Boltzmann-type kinetic model of the spreading of an infectious disease on a network. The latter describes the connections among countries, cities or districts depending on the spatial scale of interest. The disease transmission is represented in terms of the viral load of...
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2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:fe33b47190524aca9ef70be5e596729a2021-11-09T02:34:12ZA viral load-based model for epidemic spread on spatial networks10.3934/mbe.20212851551-0018https://doaj.org/article/fe33b47190524aca9ef70be5e596729a2021-06-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2021285?viewType=HTMLhttps://doaj.org/toc/1551-0018In this paper, we propose a Boltzmann-type kinetic model of the spreading of an infectious disease on a network. The latter describes the connections among countries, cities or districts depending on the spatial scale of interest. The disease transmission is represented in terms of the viral load of the individuals and is mediated by social contacts among them, taking into account their displacements across the nodes of the network. We formally derive the hydrodynamic equations for the density and the mean viral load of the individuals on the network and we analyse the large-time trends of these quantities with special emphasis on the cases of blow-up or eradication of the infection. By means of numerical tests, we also investigate the impact of confinement measures, such as quarantine or localised lockdown, on the diffusion of the disease on the network.Nadia LoyAndrea TosinAIMS Pressarticleboltzmann-type equationsmarkov-type jump processeslabel switchingcommutersquarantineBiotechnologyTP248.13-248.65MathematicsQA1-939ENMathematical Biosciences and Engineering, Vol 18, Iss 5, Pp 5635-5663 (2021) |
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boltzmann-type equations markov-type jump processes label switching commuters quarantine Biotechnology TP248.13-248.65 Mathematics QA1-939 |
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boltzmann-type equations markov-type jump processes label switching commuters quarantine Biotechnology TP248.13-248.65 Mathematics QA1-939 Nadia Loy Andrea Tosin A viral load-based model for epidemic spread on spatial networks |
description |
In this paper, we propose a Boltzmann-type kinetic model of the spreading of an infectious disease on a network. The latter describes the connections among countries, cities or districts depending on the spatial scale of interest. The disease transmission is represented in terms of the viral load of the individuals and is mediated by social contacts among them, taking into account their displacements across the nodes of the network. We formally derive the hydrodynamic equations for the density and the mean viral load of the individuals on the network and we analyse the large-time trends of these quantities with special emphasis on the cases of blow-up or eradication of the infection. By means of numerical tests, we also investigate the impact of confinement measures, such as quarantine or localised lockdown, on the diffusion of the disease on the network. |
format |
article |
author |
Nadia Loy Andrea Tosin |
author_facet |
Nadia Loy Andrea Tosin |
author_sort |
Nadia Loy |
title |
A viral load-based model for epidemic spread on spatial networks |
title_short |
A viral load-based model for epidemic spread on spatial networks |
title_full |
A viral load-based model for epidemic spread on spatial networks |
title_fullStr |
A viral load-based model for epidemic spread on spatial networks |
title_full_unstemmed |
A viral load-based model for epidemic spread on spatial networks |
title_sort |
viral load-based model for epidemic spread on spatial networks |
publisher |
AIMS Press |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/fe33b47190524aca9ef70be5e596729a |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT nadialoy aviralloadbasedmodelforepidemicspreadonspatialnetworks AT andreatosin aviralloadbasedmodelforepidemicspreadonspatialnetworks AT nadialoy viralloadbasedmodelforepidemicspreadonspatialnetworks AT andreatosin viralloadbasedmodelforepidemicspreadonspatialnetworks |
_version_ |
1718441443600629760 |