A quantitative model of honey bee colony population dynamics.

Since 2006 the rate of honey bee colony failure has increased significantly. As an aid to testing hypotheses for the causes of colony failure we have developed a compartment model of honey bee colony population dynamics to explore the impact of different death rates of forager bees on colony growth...

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Autores principales: David S Khoury, Mary R Myerscough, Andrew B Barron
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2011
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/fea8aa8660a543048bda797d2bd79665
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:fea8aa8660a543048bda797d2bd796652021-11-18T06:55:37ZA quantitative model of honey bee colony population dynamics.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0018491https://doaj.org/article/fea8aa8660a543048bda797d2bd796652011-04-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/21533156/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203Since 2006 the rate of honey bee colony failure has increased significantly. As an aid to testing hypotheses for the causes of colony failure we have developed a compartment model of honey bee colony population dynamics to explore the impact of different death rates of forager bees on colony growth and development. The model predicts a critical threshold forager death rate beneath which colonies regulate a stable population size. If death rates are sustained higher than this threshold rapid population decline is predicted and colony failure is inevitable. The model also predicts that high forager death rates draw hive bees into the foraging population at much younger ages than normal, which acts to accelerate colony failure. The model suggests that colony failure can be understood in terms of observed principles of honey bee population dynamics, and provides a theoretical framework for experimental investigation of the problem.David S KhouryMary R MyerscoughAndrew B BarronPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 6, Iss 4, p e18491 (2011)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
David S Khoury
Mary R Myerscough
Andrew B Barron
A quantitative model of honey bee colony population dynamics.
description Since 2006 the rate of honey bee colony failure has increased significantly. As an aid to testing hypotheses for the causes of colony failure we have developed a compartment model of honey bee colony population dynamics to explore the impact of different death rates of forager bees on colony growth and development. The model predicts a critical threshold forager death rate beneath which colonies regulate a stable population size. If death rates are sustained higher than this threshold rapid population decline is predicted and colony failure is inevitable. The model also predicts that high forager death rates draw hive bees into the foraging population at much younger ages than normal, which acts to accelerate colony failure. The model suggests that colony failure can be understood in terms of observed principles of honey bee population dynamics, and provides a theoretical framework for experimental investigation of the problem.
format article
author David S Khoury
Mary R Myerscough
Andrew B Barron
author_facet David S Khoury
Mary R Myerscough
Andrew B Barron
author_sort David S Khoury
title A quantitative model of honey bee colony population dynamics.
title_short A quantitative model of honey bee colony population dynamics.
title_full A quantitative model of honey bee colony population dynamics.
title_fullStr A quantitative model of honey bee colony population dynamics.
title_full_unstemmed A quantitative model of honey bee colony population dynamics.
title_sort quantitative model of honey bee colony population dynamics.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2011
url https://doaj.org/article/fea8aa8660a543048bda797d2bd79665
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AT andrewbbarron aquantitativemodelofhoneybeecolonypopulationdynamics
AT davidskhoury quantitativemodelofhoneybeecolonypopulationdynamics
AT maryrmyerscough quantitativemodelofhoneybeecolonypopulationdynamics
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