Trade vulnerability assessment in the grain-importing countries: A case study of China.

Since the 2008 global food crisis, food security vulnerability has been a prominent topic in the food policy debate. However, vulnerability is inherently difficult to conceptualize and is more challenging to operationalize and measure. This study constructs a mathematical model and takes China as a...

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Autores principales: Jian Duan, Yong X U, Haining Jiang
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/ff74375675b1471aa84b4eee2b599ca6
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:ff74375675b1471aa84b4eee2b599ca62021-12-02T20:07:47ZTrade vulnerability assessment in the grain-importing countries: A case study of China.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0257987https://doaj.org/article/ff74375675b1471aa84b4eee2b599ca62021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0257987https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203Since the 2008 global food crisis, food security vulnerability has been a prominent topic in the food policy debate. However, vulnerability is inherently difficult to conceptualize and is more challenging to operationalize and measure. This study constructs a mathematical model and takes China as a case study to measure the vulnerability and sensitivity of China with its partners in the international grain trade. The results show that 1) the degree of interdependence between China and its grain trading partners is asymmetric, which generates trade vulnerability or economic power; 2) the vulnerability of China's food trade shows a high spatiotemporal heterogeneity among countries: the higher vulnerability zones are concentrated in North America and Northeast Asia, and the scope of the higher vulnerability zones tends to expand; 3) Our results also reveal that China also has different sensitivities to fluctuations in grain markets from different countries, and the higher sensitive zones of the grain trade in China are mainly distributed in America, Europe, and Oceania. The main contribution of this paper is the development of a methodology for food trade vulnerability assessment and examines the influence of international food trade on food security in importing countries, measured using the vulnerability index and sensitivity index. Nevertheless, the conclusions of this study can be considered preliminary, and there remains great potential for future studies to deepen and broaden our analyses further.Jian DuanYong X UHaining JiangPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 10, p e0257987 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Jian Duan
Yong X U
Haining Jiang
Trade vulnerability assessment in the grain-importing countries: A case study of China.
description Since the 2008 global food crisis, food security vulnerability has been a prominent topic in the food policy debate. However, vulnerability is inherently difficult to conceptualize and is more challenging to operationalize and measure. This study constructs a mathematical model and takes China as a case study to measure the vulnerability and sensitivity of China with its partners in the international grain trade. The results show that 1) the degree of interdependence between China and its grain trading partners is asymmetric, which generates trade vulnerability or economic power; 2) the vulnerability of China's food trade shows a high spatiotemporal heterogeneity among countries: the higher vulnerability zones are concentrated in North America and Northeast Asia, and the scope of the higher vulnerability zones tends to expand; 3) Our results also reveal that China also has different sensitivities to fluctuations in grain markets from different countries, and the higher sensitive zones of the grain trade in China are mainly distributed in America, Europe, and Oceania. The main contribution of this paper is the development of a methodology for food trade vulnerability assessment and examines the influence of international food trade on food security in importing countries, measured using the vulnerability index and sensitivity index. Nevertheless, the conclusions of this study can be considered preliminary, and there remains great potential for future studies to deepen and broaden our analyses further.
format article
author Jian Duan
Yong X U
Haining Jiang
author_facet Jian Duan
Yong X U
Haining Jiang
author_sort Jian Duan
title Trade vulnerability assessment in the grain-importing countries: A case study of China.
title_short Trade vulnerability assessment in the grain-importing countries: A case study of China.
title_full Trade vulnerability assessment in the grain-importing countries: A case study of China.
title_fullStr Trade vulnerability assessment in the grain-importing countries: A case study of China.
title_full_unstemmed Trade vulnerability assessment in the grain-importing countries: A case study of China.
title_sort trade vulnerability assessment in the grain-importing countries: a case study of china.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/ff74375675b1471aa84b4eee2b599ca6
work_keys_str_mv AT jianduan tradevulnerabilityassessmentinthegrainimportingcountriesacasestudyofchina
AT yongxu tradevulnerabilityassessmentinthegrainimportingcountriesacasestudyofchina
AT hainingjiang tradevulnerabilityassessmentinthegrainimportingcountriesacasestudyofchina
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