Insects overshoot the expected upslope shift caused by climate warming.

Along elevational gradients, climate warming may lead to an upslope shift of the lower and upper range margin of organisms. A recent meta-analysis concluded that these shifts are species specific and considerably differ among taxonomic lineages. We used the opportunity to compare upper range margins...

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Autores principales: Claus Bässler, Torsten Hothorn, Roland Brandl, Jörg Müller
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Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2013
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:ffd385b376e84d859c753f67b97ebfd82021-11-18T07:42:34ZInsects overshoot the expected upslope shift caused by climate warming.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0065842https://doaj.org/article/ffd385b376e84d859c753f67b97ebfd82013-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/23762439/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203Along elevational gradients, climate warming may lead to an upslope shift of the lower and upper range margin of organisms. A recent meta-analysis concluded that these shifts are species specific and considerably differ among taxonomic lineages. We used the opportunity to compare upper range margins of five lineages (plants, beetles, flies, hymenoptera, and birds) between 1902-1904 and 2006-2007 within one region (Bavarian Forest, Central Europe). Based on the increase in the regional mean annual temperature during this period and the regional lapse rate, the upslope shift is expected to be between 51 and 201 m. Averaged across species within lineages, the range margin of all animal lineages shifted upslope, but that of plants did not. For animals, the observed shifts were probably due to shifts in temperature and not to changes in habitat conditions. The range margin of plants is therefore apparently not constrained by temperature, a result contrasting recent findings. The mean shift of birds (165 m) was within the predicted range and consistent with a recent global meta-analysis. However, the upslope shift of the three insect lineages (>260 m) exceeded the expected shift even after considering several sources of uncertainty, which indicated a non-linear response to temperature. Our analysis demonstrated broad differences among lineages in their response to climate change even within one region. Furthermore, on the considered scale, the response of ectothermic animals was not consistent with expectations based on shifts in the mean annual temperature. Irrespective of the reasons for the overshooting of the response of the insects, these shifts lead to reorganizations in the composition of assemblages with consequences for ecosystem processes.Claus BässlerTorsten HothornRoland BrandlJörg MüllerPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 8, Iss 6, p e65842 (2013)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Claus Bässler
Torsten Hothorn
Roland Brandl
Jörg Müller
Insects overshoot the expected upslope shift caused by climate warming.
description Along elevational gradients, climate warming may lead to an upslope shift of the lower and upper range margin of organisms. A recent meta-analysis concluded that these shifts are species specific and considerably differ among taxonomic lineages. We used the opportunity to compare upper range margins of five lineages (plants, beetles, flies, hymenoptera, and birds) between 1902-1904 and 2006-2007 within one region (Bavarian Forest, Central Europe). Based on the increase in the regional mean annual temperature during this period and the regional lapse rate, the upslope shift is expected to be between 51 and 201 m. Averaged across species within lineages, the range margin of all animal lineages shifted upslope, but that of plants did not. For animals, the observed shifts were probably due to shifts in temperature and not to changes in habitat conditions. The range margin of plants is therefore apparently not constrained by temperature, a result contrasting recent findings. The mean shift of birds (165 m) was within the predicted range and consistent with a recent global meta-analysis. However, the upslope shift of the three insect lineages (>260 m) exceeded the expected shift even after considering several sources of uncertainty, which indicated a non-linear response to temperature. Our analysis demonstrated broad differences among lineages in their response to climate change even within one region. Furthermore, on the considered scale, the response of ectothermic animals was not consistent with expectations based on shifts in the mean annual temperature. Irrespective of the reasons for the overshooting of the response of the insects, these shifts lead to reorganizations in the composition of assemblages with consequences for ecosystem processes.
format article
author Claus Bässler
Torsten Hothorn
Roland Brandl
Jörg Müller
author_facet Claus Bässler
Torsten Hothorn
Roland Brandl
Jörg Müller
author_sort Claus Bässler
title Insects overshoot the expected upslope shift caused by climate warming.
title_short Insects overshoot the expected upslope shift caused by climate warming.
title_full Insects overshoot the expected upslope shift caused by climate warming.
title_fullStr Insects overshoot the expected upslope shift caused by climate warming.
title_full_unstemmed Insects overshoot the expected upslope shift caused by climate warming.
title_sort insects overshoot the expected upslope shift caused by climate warming.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2013
url https://doaj.org/article/ffd385b376e84d859c753f67b97ebfd8
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