Evaluación comparativa entre MELD y Child-Pugh como escalas pronósticas de sobrevida en pacientes con cirrosis hepática en Chile

Background: Currently, most liver units use the Child-Pugh (CP) or the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores to establish survival prognosis among patients with liver cirrhosis. Which classification is superior, is not well defined. Aim: To compare CP and MELD classification scores to pred...

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Autores principales: Sanhueza,Edgar, Contreras,Jorge, Zapata,Rodrigo, Sanhueza,Matías, Elgueta,Fabián, López,Constanza, Jerez,Sigrid, Jerez,Verónica, Delgado,Iris
Lenguaje:Spanish / Castilian
Publicado: Sociedad Médica de Santiago 2017
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Acceso en línea:http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0034-98872017000100003
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spelling oai:scielo:S0034-988720170001000032017-05-15Evaluación comparativa entre MELD y Child-Pugh como escalas pronósticas de sobrevida en pacientes con cirrosis hepática en ChileSanhueza,EdgarContreras,JorgeZapata,RodrigoSanhueza,MatíasElgueta,FabiánLópez,ConstanzaJerez,SigridJerez,VerónicaDelgado,Iris Liver Cirrhosis Liver Transplantation Survival Rate ROC Curve Background: Currently, most liver units use the Child-Pugh (CP) or the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores to establish survival prognosis among patients with liver cirrhosis. Which classification is superior, is not well defined. Aim: To compare CP and MELD classification scores to predict survival among adult patients with liver cirrhosis in Chile. Material and Methods: Follow-up of 137 consecutive adult patients with liver cirrhosis aged 59 ± 12 years (55% women). The diagnosis was reached by clinical, laboratory and image studies at three different centers of Santiago. Patients were staged with CP and MELD classification scores at baseline and followed over a period of 12 months. The predictive capacity of the scores for survival was analyzed using a multivariate statistical analysis (Kaplan-Meier curves). Results: The most common etiology was alcohol (37.9%). The actuarial survival rate was 79.6% at 12 months of follow-up. When comparing groups with areas under curve of receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROC), there was no statistically significant difference in survival between less severe and advanced disease, assessed with both survival scales. The AUROC for MELD and CP were 0.80 and 0.81, respectively. Conclusions: This clinical study did not find a statistically significant difference between the two classifications for the prediction of 12 months survival in patients with cirrhosis.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessSociedad Médica de SantiagoRevista médica de Chile v.145 n.1 20172017-01-01text/htmlhttp://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0034-98872017000100003es10.4067/S0034-98872017000100003
institution Scielo Chile
collection Scielo Chile
language Spanish / Castilian
topic Liver Cirrhosis
Liver Transplantation
Survival Rate
ROC Curve
spellingShingle Liver Cirrhosis
Liver Transplantation
Survival Rate
ROC Curve
Sanhueza,Edgar
Contreras,Jorge
Zapata,Rodrigo
Sanhueza,Matías
Elgueta,Fabián
López,Constanza
Jerez,Sigrid
Jerez,Verónica
Delgado,Iris
Evaluación comparativa entre MELD y Child-Pugh como escalas pronósticas de sobrevida en pacientes con cirrosis hepática en Chile
description Background: Currently, most liver units use the Child-Pugh (CP) or the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores to establish survival prognosis among patients with liver cirrhosis. Which classification is superior, is not well defined. Aim: To compare CP and MELD classification scores to predict survival among adult patients with liver cirrhosis in Chile. Material and Methods: Follow-up of 137 consecutive adult patients with liver cirrhosis aged 59 ± 12 years (55% women). The diagnosis was reached by clinical, laboratory and image studies at three different centers of Santiago. Patients were staged with CP and MELD classification scores at baseline and followed over a period of 12 months. The predictive capacity of the scores for survival was analyzed using a multivariate statistical analysis (Kaplan-Meier curves). Results: The most common etiology was alcohol (37.9%). The actuarial survival rate was 79.6% at 12 months of follow-up. When comparing groups with areas under curve of receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROC), there was no statistically significant difference in survival between less severe and advanced disease, assessed with both survival scales. The AUROC for MELD and CP were 0.80 and 0.81, respectively. Conclusions: This clinical study did not find a statistically significant difference between the two classifications for the prediction of 12 months survival in patients with cirrhosis.
author Sanhueza,Edgar
Contreras,Jorge
Zapata,Rodrigo
Sanhueza,Matías
Elgueta,Fabián
López,Constanza
Jerez,Sigrid
Jerez,Verónica
Delgado,Iris
author_facet Sanhueza,Edgar
Contreras,Jorge
Zapata,Rodrigo
Sanhueza,Matías
Elgueta,Fabián
López,Constanza
Jerez,Sigrid
Jerez,Verónica
Delgado,Iris
author_sort Sanhueza,Edgar
title Evaluación comparativa entre MELD y Child-Pugh como escalas pronósticas de sobrevida en pacientes con cirrosis hepática en Chile
title_short Evaluación comparativa entre MELD y Child-Pugh como escalas pronósticas de sobrevida en pacientes con cirrosis hepática en Chile
title_full Evaluación comparativa entre MELD y Child-Pugh como escalas pronósticas de sobrevida en pacientes con cirrosis hepática en Chile
title_fullStr Evaluación comparativa entre MELD y Child-Pugh como escalas pronósticas de sobrevida en pacientes con cirrosis hepática en Chile
title_full_unstemmed Evaluación comparativa entre MELD y Child-Pugh como escalas pronósticas de sobrevida en pacientes con cirrosis hepática en Chile
title_sort evaluación comparativa entre meld y child-pugh como escalas pronósticas de sobrevida en pacientes con cirrosis hepática en chile
publisher Sociedad Médica de Santiago
publishDate 2017
url http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0034-98872017000100003
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