The Asymmetric Effects of Oil Shocks on an Oil-exporting Economy

We estimate the effects of unexpected changes in oil prices on output for the case of Venezuela, an oil-exporting economy. Following Hamilton (2003), Lee et al. (1995), and Mork (1989), we estimate measures of oil shocks and determine the effect of these shocks on the Venezuelan economy. Our results...

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Autores principales: Mendoza,Omar, Vera,David
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Instituto de Economía, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile 2010
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Acceso en línea:http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0717-68212010000100001
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spelling oai:scielo:S0717-682120100001000012010-09-30The Asymmetric Effects of Oil Shocks on an Oil-exporting EconomyMendoza,OmarVera,David Oil Shocks Output Fluctuations Nonlinear Estimation We estimate the effects of unexpected changes in oil prices on output for the case of Venezuela, an oil-exporting economy. Following Hamilton (2003), Lee et al. (1995), and Mork (1989), we estimate measures of oil shocks and determine the effect of these shocks on the Venezuelan economy. Our results suggest that oil shocks have had positive and significant effects on output growth in Venezuela during the period 1984:1-2008:3. In line with previous findings for other countries, our results suggest that the Venezuelan economy is more responsive to increases in oil prices than to unexpected decreases. Our results are robust to an alternative measure of oil price shocks derived by using Kilian’s (2009) exogenous OPEC oil production shock series.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessInstituto de Economía, Pontificia Universidad Católica de ChileCuadernos de economía v.47 n.135 20102010-05-01text/htmlhttp://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0717-68212010000100001en10.4067/S0717-68212010000100001
institution Scielo Chile
collection Scielo Chile
language English
topic Oil Shocks
Output Fluctuations
Nonlinear Estimation
spellingShingle Oil Shocks
Output Fluctuations
Nonlinear Estimation
Mendoza,Omar
Vera,David
The Asymmetric Effects of Oil Shocks on an Oil-exporting Economy
description We estimate the effects of unexpected changes in oil prices on output for the case of Venezuela, an oil-exporting economy. Following Hamilton (2003), Lee et al. (1995), and Mork (1989), we estimate measures of oil shocks and determine the effect of these shocks on the Venezuelan economy. Our results suggest that oil shocks have had positive and significant effects on output growth in Venezuela during the period 1984:1-2008:3. In line with previous findings for other countries, our results suggest that the Venezuelan economy is more responsive to increases in oil prices than to unexpected decreases. Our results are robust to an alternative measure of oil price shocks derived by using Kilian’s (2009) exogenous OPEC oil production shock series.
author Mendoza,Omar
Vera,David
author_facet Mendoza,Omar
Vera,David
author_sort Mendoza,Omar
title The Asymmetric Effects of Oil Shocks on an Oil-exporting Economy
title_short The Asymmetric Effects of Oil Shocks on an Oil-exporting Economy
title_full The Asymmetric Effects of Oil Shocks on an Oil-exporting Economy
title_fullStr The Asymmetric Effects of Oil Shocks on an Oil-exporting Economy
title_full_unstemmed The Asymmetric Effects of Oil Shocks on an Oil-exporting Economy
title_sort asymmetric effects of oil shocks on an oil-exporting economy
publisher Instituto de Economía, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile
publishDate 2010
url http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0717-68212010000100001
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