The behavior of West Texas Intermediate crude-oil and refined products prices volatility before and after the 2008 financial crisis: an approach through analysis of futures contracts

By analyzing futures contracts, this paper examines the volatility of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil and refined product prices (short, medium and long-term) before and after the financial crisis of 2008. Daily historical data from January 2000 to June 2008 (pre-crisis period) and from May,...

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Autores principales: Azevedo,Thaís C, Aiube,Fernando. L, Samanez,Carlos.P, Bisso,Claudio S, Costa,Leticia A
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Universidad de Tarapacá. 2015
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Acceso en línea:http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-33052015000300008
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spelling oai:scielo:S0718-330520150003000082015-08-19The behavior of West Texas Intermediate crude-oil and refined products prices volatility before and after the 2008 financial crisis: an approach through analysis of futures contractsAzevedo,Thaís CAiube,Fernando. LSamanez,Carlos.PBisso,Claudio SCosta,Leticia A Volatility modeling crude oil prices GARCH models persistence of shocks By analyzing futures contracts, this paper examines the volatility of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil and refined product prices (short, medium and long-term) before and after the financial crisis of 2008. Daily historical data from January 2000 to June 2008 (pre-crisis period) and from May, 2009 to October, 2012 (post-crisis period) were evaluated. AR-GARCH models were adjusted to these series, with the purpose of estimating volatilities and the persistence of shocks. After the crisis, the short-term volatility of the three commodities diminished. The persistence of shocks increased for most contracts after the 2008 crisis. The relevance of this type of analysis is related to the importance of volatility, not only to the agents who negotiate the physical products but also to the traders and their daily positions on exchanges.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessUniversidad de Tarapacá.Ingeniare. Revista chilena de ingeniería v.23 n.3 20152015-09-01text/htmlhttp://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-33052015000300008en10.4067/S0718-33052015000300008
institution Scielo Chile
collection Scielo Chile
language English
topic Volatility modeling
crude oil prices
GARCH models
persistence of shocks
spellingShingle Volatility modeling
crude oil prices
GARCH models
persistence of shocks
Azevedo,Thaís C
Aiube,Fernando. L
Samanez,Carlos.P
Bisso,Claudio S
Costa,Leticia A
The behavior of West Texas Intermediate crude-oil and refined products prices volatility before and after the 2008 financial crisis: an approach through analysis of futures contracts
description By analyzing futures contracts, this paper examines the volatility of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil and refined product prices (short, medium and long-term) before and after the financial crisis of 2008. Daily historical data from January 2000 to June 2008 (pre-crisis period) and from May, 2009 to October, 2012 (post-crisis period) were evaluated. AR-GARCH models were adjusted to these series, with the purpose of estimating volatilities and the persistence of shocks. After the crisis, the short-term volatility of the three commodities diminished. The persistence of shocks increased for most contracts after the 2008 crisis. The relevance of this type of analysis is related to the importance of volatility, not only to the agents who negotiate the physical products but also to the traders and their daily positions on exchanges.
author Azevedo,Thaís C
Aiube,Fernando. L
Samanez,Carlos.P
Bisso,Claudio S
Costa,Leticia A
author_facet Azevedo,Thaís C
Aiube,Fernando. L
Samanez,Carlos.P
Bisso,Claudio S
Costa,Leticia A
author_sort Azevedo,Thaís C
title The behavior of West Texas Intermediate crude-oil and refined products prices volatility before and after the 2008 financial crisis: an approach through analysis of futures contracts
title_short The behavior of West Texas Intermediate crude-oil and refined products prices volatility before and after the 2008 financial crisis: an approach through analysis of futures contracts
title_full The behavior of West Texas Intermediate crude-oil and refined products prices volatility before and after the 2008 financial crisis: an approach through analysis of futures contracts
title_fullStr The behavior of West Texas Intermediate crude-oil and refined products prices volatility before and after the 2008 financial crisis: an approach through analysis of futures contracts
title_full_unstemmed The behavior of West Texas Intermediate crude-oil and refined products prices volatility before and after the 2008 financial crisis: an approach through analysis of futures contracts
title_sort behavior of west texas intermediate crude-oil and refined products prices volatility before and after the 2008 financial crisis: an approach through analysis of futures contracts
publisher Universidad de Tarapacá.
publishDate 2015
url http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-33052015000300008
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