Examining spillover effect of US monetary policy to European stock markets: A Markov-Switching approach

Abstract: This study empirically examines the spillover effect from US monetary policy to nineteen European economies using Markov-switching models. The results of the univariate Markov-switching models validate the presence of two distinct regimes for both US monetary policy and the stock markets....

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Autores principales: Zubair Mumtaz,Muhammad, Smith,Zachary Alexander
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Universidad de Chile. Departamento de Economía 2019
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Acceso en línea:http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-52862019000100089
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spelling oai:scielo:S0718-528620190001000892019-07-31Examining spillover effect of US monetary policy to European stock markets: A Markov-Switching approachZubair Mumtaz,MuhammadSmith,Zachary Alexander Spillover effect monetary policy Markov-switching models European stock markets JEL Classification: C22, E44, E52, G15 Abstract: This study empirically examines the spillover effect from US monetary policy to nineteen European economies using Markov-switching models. The results of the univariate Markov-switching models validate the presence of two distinct regimes for both US monetary policy and the stock markets. We find mixed results when applying the multivariate Markov-switching models. The results report a positive relationship between the US interest rate and developed stock markets except for the Finish, Swiss, Swedish and UK stock markets whereas our findings confirm a positive relationship with the developing stock markets except for the Slovenian and Ukraine stock markets. Importantly, the nature of this effect varies during the economic crisis period. This study also compares the spillover effect between Asian and European stock markets and concludes that the effect of US monetary policy varies from market to market, however, changes in US monetary policy have greater effects on developed markets.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessUniversidad de Chile. Departamento de EconomíaEstudios de economía v.46 n.1 20192019-06-01text/htmlhttp://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-52862019000100089en10.4067/S0718-52862019000100089
institution Scielo Chile
collection Scielo Chile
language English
topic Spillover effect
monetary policy
Markov-switching models
European stock markets
JEL Classification: C22, E44, E52, G15
spellingShingle Spillover effect
monetary policy
Markov-switching models
European stock markets
JEL Classification: C22, E44, E52, G15
Zubair Mumtaz,Muhammad
Smith,Zachary Alexander
Examining spillover effect of US monetary policy to European stock markets: A Markov-Switching approach
description Abstract: This study empirically examines the spillover effect from US monetary policy to nineteen European economies using Markov-switching models. The results of the univariate Markov-switching models validate the presence of two distinct regimes for both US monetary policy and the stock markets. We find mixed results when applying the multivariate Markov-switching models. The results report a positive relationship between the US interest rate and developed stock markets except for the Finish, Swiss, Swedish and UK stock markets whereas our findings confirm a positive relationship with the developing stock markets except for the Slovenian and Ukraine stock markets. Importantly, the nature of this effect varies during the economic crisis period. This study also compares the spillover effect between Asian and European stock markets and concludes that the effect of US monetary policy varies from market to market, however, changes in US monetary policy have greater effects on developed markets.
author Zubair Mumtaz,Muhammad
Smith,Zachary Alexander
author_facet Zubair Mumtaz,Muhammad
Smith,Zachary Alexander
author_sort Zubair Mumtaz,Muhammad
title Examining spillover effect of US monetary policy to European stock markets: A Markov-Switching approach
title_short Examining spillover effect of US monetary policy to European stock markets: A Markov-Switching approach
title_full Examining spillover effect of US monetary policy to European stock markets: A Markov-Switching approach
title_fullStr Examining spillover effect of US monetary policy to European stock markets: A Markov-Switching approach
title_full_unstemmed Examining spillover effect of US monetary policy to European stock markets: A Markov-Switching approach
title_sort examining spillover effect of us monetary policy to european stock markets: a markov-switching approach
publisher Universidad de Chile. Departamento de Economía
publishDate 2019
url http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-52862019000100089
work_keys_str_mv AT zubairmumtazmuhammad examiningspillovereffectofusmonetarypolicytoeuropeanstockmarketsamarkovswitchingapproach
AT smithzacharyalexander examiningspillovereffectofusmonetarypolicytoeuropeanstockmarketsamarkovswitchingapproach
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