The impact of exchange rate uncertainty on exports: a panel VAR analysis

Abstract: In this paper we analyze the impact of exchange rate uncertainty on export flows among a panel of 27 countries throughout the 1994/01-2014/12 period. In order to do this, we apply a panel vector autoregressive model approach. By dividing the panel into two subgroups that involve manufactur...

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Autores principales: Muinelo-Gallo,Leonel, Miranda Lescano,Ronald, Mordecki,Gabriela
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Universidad de Chile. Departamento de Economía 2020
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Acceso en línea:http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-52862020000200157
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spelling oai:scielo:S0718-528620200002001572020-12-28The impact of exchange rate uncertainty on exports: a panel VAR analysisMuinelo-Gallo,LeonelMiranda Lescano,RonaldMordecki,Gabriela Exchange rate uncertainty exports panel vector autoregressive manufacture-exporting economies commodity-exporting economies Abstract: In this paper we analyze the impact of exchange rate uncertainty on export flows among a panel of 27 countries throughout the 1994/01-2014/12 period. In order to do this, we apply a panel vector autoregressive model approach. By dividing the panel into two subgroups that involve manufacturing-exporting and commodity-exporting economies, we observe a different effect of exchange rate uncertainty on exports. This has a negative impact in manufacturing-exporting countries, but does not affect commodity exporting countries. This result appears to be explained by countries’ economics characteristics, involving the flexibility or rigidities of the export adjustment arising exchange rate uncertainty.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessUniversidad de Chile. Departamento de EconomíaEstudios de economía v.47 n.2 20202020-12-01text/htmlhttp://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-52862020000200157en10.4067/S0718-52862020000200157
institution Scielo Chile
collection Scielo Chile
language English
topic Exchange rate uncertainty
exports
panel vector autoregressive
manufacture-exporting economies
commodity-exporting economies
spellingShingle Exchange rate uncertainty
exports
panel vector autoregressive
manufacture-exporting economies
commodity-exporting economies
Muinelo-Gallo,Leonel
Miranda Lescano,Ronald
Mordecki,Gabriela
The impact of exchange rate uncertainty on exports: a panel VAR analysis
description Abstract: In this paper we analyze the impact of exchange rate uncertainty on export flows among a panel of 27 countries throughout the 1994/01-2014/12 period. In order to do this, we apply a panel vector autoregressive model approach. By dividing the panel into two subgroups that involve manufacturing-exporting and commodity-exporting economies, we observe a different effect of exchange rate uncertainty on exports. This has a negative impact in manufacturing-exporting countries, but does not affect commodity exporting countries. This result appears to be explained by countries’ economics characteristics, involving the flexibility or rigidities of the export adjustment arising exchange rate uncertainty.
author Muinelo-Gallo,Leonel
Miranda Lescano,Ronald
Mordecki,Gabriela
author_facet Muinelo-Gallo,Leonel
Miranda Lescano,Ronald
Mordecki,Gabriela
author_sort Muinelo-Gallo,Leonel
title The impact of exchange rate uncertainty on exports: a panel VAR analysis
title_short The impact of exchange rate uncertainty on exports: a panel VAR analysis
title_full The impact of exchange rate uncertainty on exports: a panel VAR analysis
title_fullStr The impact of exchange rate uncertainty on exports: a panel VAR analysis
title_full_unstemmed The impact of exchange rate uncertainty on exports: a panel VAR analysis
title_sort impact of exchange rate uncertainty on exports: a panel var analysis
publisher Universidad de Chile. Departamento de Economía
publishDate 2020
url http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-52862020000200157
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