Spillover effects of economic complexity on the per capita GDP growth rates of Mexican states, 1993-2013

Abstract: The opening up of the Mexican economy completely transformed the growth dynamics of the per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the country’s various states, with a clear tendency towards growth being concentrated in specific regions. In this study, we quantify the indirect or...

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Autores principales: Gómez-Zaldívar,Manuel, Fonseca,Felipe J, Mosqueda,Marco T., Gómez-Zaldívar,Fernando
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Universidad de Chile. Departamento de Economía 2020
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Acceso en línea:http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-52862020000200221
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spelling oai:scielo:S0718-528620200002002212020-12-28Spillover effects of economic complexity on the per capita GDP growth rates of Mexican states, 1993-2013Gómez-Zaldívar,ManuelFonseca,Felipe JMosqueda,Marco T.Gómez-Zaldívar,Fernando Economic complexity spillover effects spatial econometrics Abstract: The opening up of the Mexican economy completely transformed the growth dynamics of the per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the country’s various states, with a clear tendency towards growth being concentrated in specific regions. In this study, we quantify the indirect or spillover effect of economic complexity on growth based on the following two facts: i) economic complexity is an important factor in explaining GDP growth rates, and ii) there is a clear regional pattern in the states’ economic complexity, i.e., the economic complexity variable shows a positive spatial autocorrelation. Our results provide two insights: first, that the estimated positive spillover effect of complexity on growth is not negligible, particularly for states in the north of the country, whose own economic complexity is as important as that of their neighbors. In contrast, the spillover effect in southern states is negative. Being located next to states with low levels of economic complexity has a significant negative externality that almost overrides the positive effect of a state’s own level of complexity. Our findings lead us to conclude that spillover effects may have played a more important role in explaining the diverse pattern of growth between northern and southern Mexico than previously thought.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessUniversidad de Chile. Departamento de EconomíaEstudios de economía v.47 n.2 20202020-12-01text/htmlhttp://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-52862020000200221en10.4067/S0718-52862020000200221
institution Scielo Chile
collection Scielo Chile
language English
topic Economic complexity
spillover effects
spatial econometrics
spellingShingle Economic complexity
spillover effects
spatial econometrics
Gómez-Zaldívar,Manuel
Fonseca,Felipe J
Mosqueda,Marco T.
Gómez-Zaldívar,Fernando
Spillover effects of economic complexity on the per capita GDP growth rates of Mexican states, 1993-2013
description Abstract: The opening up of the Mexican economy completely transformed the growth dynamics of the per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the country’s various states, with a clear tendency towards growth being concentrated in specific regions. In this study, we quantify the indirect or spillover effect of economic complexity on growth based on the following two facts: i) economic complexity is an important factor in explaining GDP growth rates, and ii) there is a clear regional pattern in the states’ economic complexity, i.e., the economic complexity variable shows a positive spatial autocorrelation. Our results provide two insights: first, that the estimated positive spillover effect of complexity on growth is not negligible, particularly for states in the north of the country, whose own economic complexity is as important as that of their neighbors. In contrast, the spillover effect in southern states is negative. Being located next to states with low levels of economic complexity has a significant negative externality that almost overrides the positive effect of a state’s own level of complexity. Our findings lead us to conclude that spillover effects may have played a more important role in explaining the diverse pattern of growth between northern and southern Mexico than previously thought.
author Gómez-Zaldívar,Manuel
Fonseca,Felipe J
Mosqueda,Marco T.
Gómez-Zaldívar,Fernando
author_facet Gómez-Zaldívar,Manuel
Fonseca,Felipe J
Mosqueda,Marco T.
Gómez-Zaldívar,Fernando
author_sort Gómez-Zaldívar,Manuel
title Spillover effects of economic complexity on the per capita GDP growth rates of Mexican states, 1993-2013
title_short Spillover effects of economic complexity on the per capita GDP growth rates of Mexican states, 1993-2013
title_full Spillover effects of economic complexity on the per capita GDP growth rates of Mexican states, 1993-2013
title_fullStr Spillover effects of economic complexity on the per capita GDP growth rates of Mexican states, 1993-2013
title_full_unstemmed Spillover effects of economic complexity on the per capita GDP growth rates of Mexican states, 1993-2013
title_sort spillover effects of economic complexity on the per capita gdp growth rates of mexican states, 1993-2013
publisher Universidad de Chile. Departamento de Economía
publishDate 2020
url http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-52862020000200221
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