The economic impacts of climate change on the Chilean agricultural sector: A non-linear agricultural supply model

Agriculture could be one of the most vulnerable economic sectors to the impacts of climate change in the coming decades, with impacts threatening agricultural production in general and food security in particular. Within this context, climate change will impose a challenge to policy makers, especial...

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Autores principales:	Ponce,Roberto, Blanco,Maria, Giupponi,Carlo
Lenguaje:	English
Publicado:	Instituto de Investigaciones Agropecuarias, INIA 2014
Materias:	Climate change farming model irrigation uncertainty
Acceso en línea:	http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-58392014000400005
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spelling	oai:scielo:S0718-583920140004000052018-10-01The economic impacts of climate change on the Chilean agricultural sector: A non-linear agricultural supply modelPonce,RobertoBlanco,MariaGiupponi,Carlo Climate change farming model irrigation uncertainty Agriculture could be one of the most vulnerable economic sectors to the impacts of climate change in the coming decades, with impacts threatening agricultural production in general and food security in particular. Within this context, climate change will impose a challenge to policy makers, especially in those countries that based their development on primary sectors. In this paper we present a non-linear agricultural supply model for the analysis of the economic impacts of changes in crop yields due to climate change. The model accounts for uncertainty through the use of Monte Carlo simulations about crop yields. According to our results, climate change impacts on the Chilean agricultural sector are widespread, with considerable distributional consequences across regions, and with fruits producers being worst-off than crops producers. In general, the results reported here are consistent with those reported by previous studies showing large economic impacts on the northern zone. However, our model does not simulate remarkable economic consequences at the country level as previous studies did.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessInstituto de Investigaciones Agropecuarias, INIAChilean journal of agricultural research v.74 n.4 20142014-12-01text/htmlhttp://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-58392014000400005en10.4067/S0718-58392014000400005
institution	Scielo Chile
collection	Scielo Chile
language	English
topic	Climate change farming model irrigation uncertainty
spellingShingle	Climate change farming model irrigation uncertainty Ponce,Roberto Blanco,Maria Giupponi,Carlo The economic impacts of climate change on the Chilean agricultural sector: A non-linear agricultural supply model
description	Agriculture could be one of the most vulnerable economic sectors to the impacts of climate change in the coming decades, with impacts threatening agricultural production in general and food security in particular. Within this context, climate change will impose a challenge to policy makers, especially in those countries that based their development on primary sectors. In this paper we present a non-linear agricultural supply model for the analysis of the economic impacts of changes in crop yields due to climate change. The model accounts for uncertainty through the use of Monte Carlo simulations about crop yields. According to our results, climate change impacts on the Chilean agricultural sector are widespread, with considerable distributional consequences across regions, and with fruits producers being worst-off than crops producers. In general, the results reported here are consistent with those reported by previous studies showing large economic impacts on the northern zone. However, our model does not simulate remarkable economic consequences at the country level as previous studies did.
author	Ponce,Roberto Blanco,Maria Giupponi,Carlo
author_facet	Ponce,Roberto Blanco,Maria Giupponi,Carlo
author_sort	Ponce,Roberto
title	The economic impacts of climate change on the Chilean agricultural sector: A non-linear agricultural supply model
title_short	The economic impacts of climate change on the Chilean agricultural sector: A non-linear agricultural supply model
title_full	The economic impacts of climate change on the Chilean agricultural sector: A non-linear agricultural supply model
title_fullStr	The economic impacts of climate change on the Chilean agricultural sector: A non-linear agricultural supply model
title_full_unstemmed	The economic impacts of climate change on the Chilean agricultural sector: A non-linear agricultural supply model
title_sort	economic impacts of climate change on the chilean agricultural sector: a non-linear agricultural supply model
publisher	Instituto de Investigaciones Agropecuarias, INIA
publishDate	2014
url	http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-58392014000400005
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The economic impacts of climate change on the Chilean agricultural sector: A non-linear agricultural supply model

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